Saturday 4/26/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358238

    Saturday 4/26/25 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358238

    #2
    Race of the Week: Santa Anita's Royal Heroine Stakes | Saturday


    April 23, 2025 | By Jeremy Plonk

    The Lead:
    Named for the first Breeders' Cup Mile winner, the Grade 3 $100,000 Royal Heroine Stakes is the featured race this weekend at Santa Anita. Saturday's Race 7 main event drew a massive field of 13, including a quartet from trainer Phil D'Amato. He's won this race a record 4 times, including 3 of the last 4 years, and once again will play a strong hand.

    Field Depth:
    Defending Royal Heroine champ UNCORKED and TIRUPATI are the field's Grade 3 winners. HAMWOOD FLIER and VENGANZA are graded stakes-placed, while MUCHO MACHO GIRL and VALENCE are listed stakes winners. SUN OF HILL was a Group 1 stakes winner in her native Brazil. UNCORKED, TIRUPATI and HAMWOOD FLIER have kept consistently a much stronger schedule than the others.
    ​​
    Pace:
    SNEAKER, TIRUPATI, MUCHO MACHO GIRL and HAMWOOD FLIER all possess the ability to hit the front. VALENCE adds depth to what should be a fast pace. A strong finisher should have every opportunity.

    Our Eyes:
    Here are my horse-by-horse notes.

    #1-PUBLIC ASSEMBLY: New York transplant won her first start at Santa Anita after moving from Chad Brown to Phil D'Amato and now gets her first stakes attempt. Mile distance might be too sharp for true router, but Antonio Fresu opting to ride here is not insignificant as he piloted 3 of 4 D'Amato charges in their most recent starts.

    #2-RAW ABILITY: Undefeated Irish export aims for her fourth straight win and third since joining John Sadler's barn. Won with a reasonable pace and with a dawdling pace, showing versatility. Now gets tested for class. Those 101 and 97 BRIS late pace figures stand out in a race with a lot of speed to set the table.

    #3-SNEAKER: Patented miler goes sprint-to-route while second off the layoff in a proimising form cycle for trainer George Papaprodromou. But she's 0-4 in stakes with some minor checks cashed and catches a fast pace here to overcome.

    #4-UNCORKED: Last year's winner was a Maryland export to the Phil D'Amato barn making her first west coast start and pulled a 5-1 minor surprise. She'll be among the favorites this time, but note regular rider Antonio Fresu opts to ride Public Assembly here for D'Amato.

    #5-VENGANZA: Exits 3 straight turf sprints and was in a similar form cycle at Del Mar in November when not carrying her speed on the stretchout. Trainer Richard Mandella seems to have a better turf sprinter on this hands, but is going for the Grade 3 black-type.

    #6-TIRUPATI: Former claimer does her best running on the front end, witnessed by her Grade 3 Wilshire wire job last out. She doesn't need the lead to be in the hunt, but hasn't won without that kind of trip. She's had a long winter-spring at Santa Anita and may be a candidate to regress a bit under pressure.

    #7-SUN OF HILL: Third of 4 D'Amato entrants and yet another transfer, this one 0-5 since arriving from Brazil. She's shown consistency over any distance or shurface and can be trusted for an honest effort. But that knockout instinct has lacked when it counts late.

    #8-MUCHO MACHO GIRL: Leonard Powell sent this one to Turf Paradise for a March 22 stakes win, getting black type on the resume for a mare claimed in December for $50,000 at Fair Grounds. Former midwest dirt sprinter wasn't able to keep up in the Megahertz vs. similar in her only Santa Anita turf start.

    #9-ETERNAL REIGN: Last of the D'Amato quartet, this Irish export is 3: 1-2-0 since coming to Santa Anita and gets tested for stakes credentials for the first time. Hasn't shown a blistering late turn of foot that wins top-class miles so far, but could land a first-over run before the deeper closers come calling.

    #10-VALENCE: Zia Park Oaks winner on dirt makes her first west coast appearance with the OJ Jauregui barn. She shipped west for the American Oaks in December and backed up at 58-1 over 10 furlongs when with her midwestern trainer Ty Garrett. Juaregui had this one in Northern California to start her career. Appears to be a no lead, no pass situation from a tough draw.

    #11-HAMWOOD FLIER: 7-year-old burner knows only one tactic and that's pedal to the metal from the start. She'd match 2011 winner Celtic Princess as the oldest to win this race. She's 6: 1-1-1 in turf mile stakes since arriving from Ireland, bouncing between trainers George Papaprodromou, Phil D'Amato and now appearing for Peter Eurton. Fast works and 11-hole draw indicate she's got to use all the gas in the tank from the jump.

    #12-BALTIC FIRE: Simon Callaghan trainee is just 2-for-9 and was throttled at 81-1 in the American Oaks in her only stakes try. Probably appreciates the cut-back to a mile somewhat, but from this post and her lack of finishing flair, there aren't a lot of roadmaps to victory.

    #13-LUNAR IMPACT: Out 9 months since last summer's Osunitas at Del Mar, this pace-presser feels almost assured to lose ground on the clubhouse turn. Dan Blacker barn has been bizarrely effective with a microscopic amount of starters in 2025. Picture-perfect workout tab in terms of spacing with 6 drills every week on cue in the lead-up. Asking a lot to finish with her style and projected trip.

    Most Certain Exotics Contender:
    RAW ABILITY gets a delicious set-up and saves ground before being unleashed.

    Best Longshot Exotics Contender:
    SON OF HILL at 20-1 morning line has a legit chance for the bottom in the trifecta or superfecta. She's had 8 straight top-4 efforts at a whirlwind of different situations.

    Sending it in ($100 bankroll):
    $89 win 2. $1 trifecta part-wheel 2 with ALL with 7 ($11).
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358238

      #3
      Scott Shapiro: Churchill Downs Triple-Tri Split Promo Picks


      April 26, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

      It is not quite Kentucky Derby week in Louisville, but it is Opening Night under the twin spires at Churchill Downs. The 10-race card has a special 5PM eastern start time and to celebrate 1/ST BET and Xpressbet have a new promotion for the evening. The name is the “$2500 Triple Tri Split” and the goal is to connect on at least three ($1 base minimum) trifectas over the course of the night. Those who register on the promotional landing page and do so, will split the $2500 prize.

      Here are a couple of races I will definitely be including as part of my attempt to earn a share of the pool.


      Race 6:

      The sixth is a $50k maiden claimer for 3YOs+ going 6.5-furlongs over the main track. I will build my wagers around the most experienced runner in the field #3 Holster. The $550k FTK October 2022 purchase did not pan out as planned for the high-profile team of Steve Asmussen and Winchell Thoroughbreds. The son of Gun Runner raced three times for those connections before being claimed by trainer Lane Johnston. Johnston tried him over the all-weather at Turfway Park over the winter, but he appears to be rounding into his best form since moving back to the dirt over his last couple of races. Holster battled along the inside on a day where the outside was the place to be two-back at Oaklawn Park before trying hard to the wire at a big price at Keeneland last out. Expect him to find his way to the front in this winnable spot and have enough left late to be right there at the wire.

      I am definitely using #2 Shadow Coast with my key horse. The Dallas Stewart trainee cuts back to one-turn, drops in for a tag for the first time, and attracts Luis Saez. #4 Tapakena has disappointed thus far for Brian Lynch, but cuts back to a sprint, tries claimers for the first time, and moves from turf-to-dirt. Lynch has made this move 5 times dating back to the start of 2023. 2 of them have won making the son of Tapit definitely worth including with Holster against this group. #11 Classsy War is tough to omit dropping and attracting Jose Ortiz after 4 starts in Florida for Mark Casse while 12-1 morning line shot #5 Lemon Sohn hopefully is the one to beef up the payout. Trainer Lindsay Schultz is 11 for 50-lifetime at Churchill Downs and this colt put forth his first in the money performance last out in his initial start over the main track. Hopefully, he can grind away another minor share.

      Plays:
      $1 Trifecta Key
      3 with 2+4+5+11

      $1 Trifecta Wheel
      2+4+11 with 3 with 2+4+5+11


      //


      Race 9: Roxelana

      The Opening Night feature in Louisville drew a field of 8 where oddsmaker Mike Battaglia made #2 Sandy Bottom the morning line favorite, but I prefer second choice #6 Harbor Springs. The Greg Foley runner took advantage of racing on the favorable part of the Churchill Downs main track in her win over this surface last November, but still did it nicely. Then, off a 3-month break put in a very solid return race in New Orleans. She is the up and comer in this group and very likely to run her race.

      In terms of value, I like #5 Miuccia. The Gustavo Delgado trainee has been given nearly 3 months since chasing the fast pace of Dazzling Blue in a stake at Tampa Bay Downs in early February. The Mitole filly has a few races that probably beat this field and attracts Brian Hernandez Jr. for the first time. She should sit a favorable stalking voyage in a race that is likely to have an honest, but not overly fast pace. Hopefully she can be in the mix with Harbor Springs at the wire.


      Plays:

      $1 Trifecta Wheel
      5+6 with 5+6 with 2+3+4+7

      $1 Trifecta Wheel
      5+6 with 2+3+4+7 with 5+6
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358238

        #4
        Johnny Burke: Sha Tin's FWD Champions Day Analysis


        April 26, 2025 | By 1/ST BET

        An enormous day is upon us this Sunday at Sha Tin! FWD Champions Day comes with three Group 1’s in the World Pool, promising for some massive pools and top-tier racing. If you’re looking for a root, Hong Kong legend Ka Ying Rising is seeking his thirteenth win in fifteen starts in the Chairman’s Sprint (G1) and is a must-watch.

        Rather than a pair of spot plays, I’m going to try to equip you with some resources to help you find bet-worthy races across the card. Using my power ratings, I’m looking for most likely winners, potential price plays, and keys for your exotic tickets.

        Helpful Resources
        Sha Tin – April 27
        Past Performances https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/conte...tarter_all.pdf
        Speed Pro Pace Projections https://racing.hkjc.com/racing/speed...de.html?race=1

        Methodology
        Power ratings are calculated by a mix of runner performance versus historical average, quality of the field in each race, weight-based handicaps, and lengths beaten or won. This is how I value past performance of each horse, and it helps me isolate horses worth handicapping further. Then I turn to classic pen-and-paper handicapping to see if there are any plays worth making.

        Most Likely Winners
        These are the runners that top the Power Rating charts by sizeable margins. While short prices are expected, keying these runners with big prices is still a viable way to walk away a big winner. Exactas paying 25/1 or better aren’t uncommon even with clear choices on top. I may be pointing out some chalk here, but use them wisely and you’ll be glad you did!

        R3 | Class 4 | 1400M (7 Furlongs) | #1 SUPER EXPRESS – 106.43 Power Rating (PR)
        Notes: One race, one win, rates ten points higher than competition; should benefit from moderate pace with one of the world’s top jockeys aboard in James McDonald

        R5 | Chairman’s Sprint (G1) | 1200M (6 Furlongs) | #1 KA YING RISING – 121.72 PR
        Notes: Local legend with a record of 14-12-2-0 in Hong Kong; this is the performance to watch on Sunday with this runner nine points better than this Group 1 field

        R7 | FWD Champions Mile (G1) | 1600M (1 Mile) | #2 VOYAGE BUBBLE – 119.43 PR
        Notes: Gold Cup (G1) Champion seeking fourth G1 and fifth group stakes win in a row; rates eight full points ahead of next best

        Potential Price Plays
        As the name suggests, these are horses worth sprinkling a little bankroll on to shock the field. Hong Kong is a racing circuit with a lot of variance, which can be difficult to predict but can be very beneficial to your wallet. Take a couple shots and let’s hope at least one sticks.

        R1 | Class 4 | 1800M (1 1/8 Miles) | #5 VOLCANIC SPARK (11/1 ML) – 99.21 PR
        Notes: Rates top of this Class 4 group but has been 0-for-8 in this campaign; finishing just short but seems to perform best at this distance and gets great mount

        R8 | FWD QEII CUP (G1) | 2000M (1 1/14 Miles) | #8 MOMENTS IN TIME (43/1 ML) – 114.09 PR
        Notes: Chilean gelding by LOOKIN AT LUCKY could be the “local” surprise; will need to run the race of his life, but has been in very good form and rates highest of the local entries

        R9 | Class 3 | 1600M (1 Mile) | #5 WINNING GOLD (22/1 ML) – 104.07 PR
        Notes: Rates third best of the field in the power ratings, but does so by less than a point; returns to distance after two tough trips and should be game to hit the board

        R10 | Class 3 | 1400M (7 Furlongs) | #1 CHARMING LEGEND (22/1 ML) – 104.54 PR
        Notes: J-Mac back on board over the “A” course at Sha Tin where this horse has been at his best; playing horse for course with best rating in the field and a great rider in the irons

        Keys For Exotics

        I will preface this by saying price plays and most-likely winners are by default in this category as well. Price plays for the, well, price, and likely winners because you still have to hit the board to cash a ticket. However, there are some other highly rated runners that should be on Quinella, Exacta, and Trifecta tickets. If you play Omnis, Trios, or even Double Trios, keep these in consideration as well.

        R2 | Class 4 | 1200M (6 Furlongs)
        #2 PARTERRE (17/2 ML)

        R3 | Class 4 | 1400M (7 Furlongs)
        #2 SUPER LOVE (8/1 ML)
        #4 FORERUNNER (22/1 ML)

        R4 | Class 2 | 1400M (7 Furlongs)
        #1 TAJ DRAGON (13/1 ML)
        #9 SWIFT ASCEND (26/1 ML)

        R5 | Chairman’s Sprint (G1) | 1200M (6 Furlongs)
        #2 SATONO REVE (8/1 ML)
        #3 LUCKY SWEYNESSE (21/1 ML)
        #6 HELIOS EXPRESS (17/1 ML)
        #9 LUCKY WITH YOU (21/1 ML)

        R10 | Class 3 | 1400M (7 Furlongs)
        #2 SILO (35/1 ML)

        The Past Performances are free, the racing is packed with international championship talent, the pools are going to be massive, and now you’ve got a head start on your handicapping. You can put your bets in before bed on Xpressbet or 1/ST BET and wake up to a fresh bankroll for your Sunday racing. We’re just a week from the Kentucky Derby and there won’t be a better shot at a big score before the first Saturday in May. With no reason not to play, get involved and good luck!
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358238

          #5
          Al Cimaglia: Cal Expo Late Pick 4 Analysis


          April 26, 2025 | By Al Cimaglia

          Cal Expo had an 11-race card with the 0.20 Late Pick 4 starting in Race 8. The sequence has a $25,000 pool with a 16% takeout, and it will be my focus. Comments and selections below are based on a fast track.

          Race 8 (9:02 PM PDT)

          3-Wind Me Up Blue (5-1)-Steps up after an efficient win and they went to the half in 103.2. Did roll the back half in 57.1 and could end up getting a similar ground saving trip this time.
          8-The Minnesota Kid (1/1)-This is the winner unless the trip is bumpy and has an off night. This post draw stops me from singling, but many will. Should make it 3 straight unless leaving slowly is an issue and is too far back early.

          Race 9 (9:22 PM PDT)

          3-Reagan Blue Chip (5-1)-Found the water too deep in last when facing Open company. Drops to the level of its last win, which came 2 back. Likes to race near the top of the stack and that is a workable plan tonight.
          4-Semicolon (3-1)-Winner of 3 straight has also won 6 of 19 at CalX and will be taking on better in this affair. Will look for an aggressive steer and to be on the point or in the pocket early on. Needs another big try but best to not overlook.

          Race 10 (9:42 PM PDT)

          1-Aston Hill Dave (3-1)-Steps up after finishing 2nd but did beat this kind back on 3-14. Needs an efficient trip and that can happen. Looks like a player and should offer a fair price.
          5-Spartacus Bluechip (5/2)-Stayed inside after stepping up to this level and closed to finish 2nd. Should get a similar trip and Nick Roland could have in striking range down the lane.
          7-Mystery Dragon (6-1)-This level has been a challenge but is worth a swing at the program price. Will look for Luke Plano to leave and this field isn't loaded with gate speed. Could surprise with a sharp start.

          Race 11 (10:02 PM PDT)

          1-River Lassena (12-1)-Has been racing wide and trying to grind it out. That doesn't seem to be the path to the winner's circle. The price shot has one big move and could use it here off a cozy trip.
          3-Marced In Faith (2-1)-Beaten 4/5 chalk has been a bridesmaid in the last 2. Team Plano entry is a logical use at a small price.
          7-Senorita Draco (5/2)-Cashed a 3rd place check last time versus a better field. Lands at the same level as its last win which came 2 back. Could beat this group but probably needs to be leading or in the pocket turning for the wire. John MacDonald steers and he should be out and rolling to land a close-up seat when the wings fold.

          0.60 Late Pick 4

          3,8/3,4/1,5,7/1,3,7
          Total Bet=$21.60
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358238

            #6
            Brian W. Spencer's Daily Picks


            Santa Anita - Race #1
            #5 Unrivaled Hero He handled the step back into special weight company pretty well last out, and he should keep tabs on the rail runner throughout again today. Gets up today.
            #1 Broski Inside pace has been staying OK in those route races, and it wouldn't be a shock to see him stay today in a race without a ton of serious early burn.
            #9 Mutaz He's got a big pedigree and goes for a capable barn, and it appears that he has been working pretty forwardly for this. Get a look at him on the tote and track.
            Race Summary Unrivaled Hero should get a perfect trip up on the splits again today, and I think he'll be the right one unless a fresh face like Mutaz shows up to land this.
            Santa Anita - Race #7
            #1 Public Assembly She gets the edge in what feels like a really fun and competitive stakes spot. Think she'll get a really cozy trip from the fence with a couple potential forward players likely to cross over. Can sit whatever trip presents itself.
            #2 Raw Ability Nothing wrong with three wins from as many starts, and she gets a reasonable enough class test today while making her stakes debut. Wouldn't argue too hard with anyone landing here.
            #6 Tirupati She has enough speed to get first jump on Hamwood Flier if that one has a go on the engine, but I wouldn't want to be here at too short a price in a good spot.
            Race Summary Public Assembly goes second off the bench after scoring nicely in the comeback run, and I think she'll find a really good trip while in touch and saving ground.
            Santa Anita - Race #11
            #11 Miss Mrazek Her Del Mar debut was pretty solid last fall, and it's fairly reasonable to think she can come forward here into this first start of her 3-year-old season.
            #5 Godavri She's back fresh with an OK Los Al debut run on her page from last summer, and she's bred to handle the new footing just fine. One of the ones.
            #10 Have Patience Forward player cuts back but has shown enough pace to keep up at this kind of trip in the past. Not the worst play if she's something like the 7/2 ML offering.
            Race Summary Miss Mrazek already owns a solid turf start and may be returning a better version of herself into this first start of her sophomore year.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358238

              #7
              Frank Carulli's Daily Picks


              Tampa Bay Downs - Race #1
              #3 PRACTICAL WAY (4-1) Lacked stretch kick going long against short-priced winners.
              #4 CHROMED IMPULSE (8-5) Class drops after voided vet claim, towers over field on best.
              #7 MEAN TWEETS (6-1) Rallied for minor awards in pair of shorter sprints recently.
              Race Summary PRACTICAL WAY, a two-time winner at this distance, was first or second at the stretch call in his last three starts, all going a route of ground, before he tired. The favorites won two of those races and a 3-1 shot won the other. Bet to win and place and play 3-4 and 3-7 exactas.
              Tampa Bay Downs - Race #2
              #5 TWELVE TREASURES (6-1) Anxious to go while wearing blinks in MSW ranks, goes well on class drop.
              #3 IRON EDGE (2-1) In range for a half mile from post 10 against better, barn excels with these types.
              #8 GRAND LIAM (8-1) Hit board in four consecutive grass routes, changes pilots again.
              Race Summary In a field that is a combined 23/0-3-4 on turf, TWELVE TREASURES is a good value play. He ‘fought the rider’ on the backstretch from forward stalking position and flattened out in the stretch in MSW company at this distance. He gets Camacho to ride and gets the call for a win and place bet.
              Tampa Bay Downs - Race #4
              #1 FIRSTFLASHOFMOON (5-2) Sustained wide rally for second, adds blinkers, today’s Best Bet.
              #6 PROTEST (6-1) Gets in light-weighted, takes some catching in first long sprint attempt.
              #11 MUCHOMACHOMAC (3-1) Burning money, gets class relief, draws outside for dirt debut.
              Race Summary FIRSTFLASHOFMOON, bumped widest at the start, raced 6-wide on the backstretch, drew abreast of the leaders on the turn and stayed on willingly to finish second. He is rounding to a victory since he was claimed and the move to the rail could make the difference. Bet to win and place and play 1-6 and 1-11 exactas.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358238

                #8
                F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunray Park
                PURCHASE
                Sunray Park - Race 9 $1 Exacta /50 Cent Trifecta /10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (9,10, 11) Second Leg Pick 4
                Claiming $12,500 • 4 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up CR: 80 • Purse: $15,660 • Post: 4:35P
                FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.
                Contenders Race Analysis
                P# Horse Morn
                Line
                Accept
                Odds
                Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. JONAS' DREAM is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * JONAS' DREAM: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
                5 JONAS' DREAM 7/2 7/5

                P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                Line
                Running Style Good
                Class
                Good
                Speed
                Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                Figure
                5 JONAS' DREAM 5 7/2 Front-runner 80 72 91.4 70.2 66.2
                8 CODIS BREAKER 8 9/2 Alternator/Front-runner 71 58 59.3 56.2 48.2
                7 OL' MCCLINTOCK 7 5/2 Stalker 80 75 67.8 63.2 58.2
                1 WALKIN TALKIN BOB 1 3/1 Alternator/Stalker 77 66 56.6 63.6 56.6
                3 PRO SPECIAL 3 8/1 Trailer 47 51 37.0 38.3 24.8
                4 CHECKSFORCHARLIE 4 20/1 Alternator/Non-contender 56 56 61.2 51.0 38.5
                2 RUNNING BEAR 2 12/1 Alternator/Non-contender 48 47 47.0 34.0 20.0
                6 MOHAY PLEASE 6 10/1 Alternator/Non-contender 87 82 41.2 44.5 38.5
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358238

                  #9
                  F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sam Houston Race Park
                  PURCHASE
                  Sam Houston Race Park - Race 9 WPS / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 9-10)
                  Trial • 350 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 CR: 84 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 9:58P
                  QUARTER HORSE 350Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS THAT HAVE NOMINATED AND REMAIN ELIGIBLE. WEIGHT- 124 LBS.
                  Contenders Race Analysis
                  P# Horse Morn
                  Line
                  Accept
                  Odds
                  Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KISS MI SOX: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. SHENOSHERCOWBOY: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackM aster Power Rating.
                  6 SHENOSHERCOWBOY 3/1 7/1
                  4 KISS MI SOX 6/1 7/1
                  3 GOLDEN LATTE 15/1 10/1

                  P# Horse (In Running Style Order) Post Morn
                  Line
                  Running Style Good
                  Class
                  Good
                  Speed
                  Early Figure Finish Figure Platinum
                  Figure
                  6 SHENOSHERCOWBOY 6 3/1 Slow 0 0 8.1 0.0 0.0
                  Unknown Running Style: HONEY CREEK (20/1) [Jockey: Candanosa Bryan - Trainer: Lewis Arnold], CR LAUNICA (5/2) [Jockey: Villatoro Noe - Trainer: Garcia Luis Daniel], GOLDEN LATTE (15/1) [Jockey: Ramos Christian - Trainer: Jungers Marc E], KISS MI SOX
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358238

                    #10

                    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

                    PURCHASE
                    Always check program numbers.
                    Odds shown are morning line odds.



                    Race 2 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 33

                    FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. 1# A INFERIORES ALLOWED 1 LBS. 2# A DEBTS ALLOWED 2 LBS.
                    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                    # 1 SONAJERO 2/5
                    # 3 PECULIAR 3/1
                    # 5 ORANTE 9/2
                    I think SONAJERO is a quite good choice. Must be given a shot as he drops to compete against this softer field. Earnings per start in dirt sprint races is reliable for this racer. With Santiago getting the mount, watch out for this equine. PECULIAR - There is a decent chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix. With Velez uptop him, this colt ought to be able to break out early here. ORANTE - This colt looks strong here since Riveralopez has a strong win percent with horses going this distance. His chances to prove victorious are much better this time out facing this less demanding field of horses.
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358238

                      #11

                      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Equibase Special

                      PURCHASE
                      Always check program numbers.
                      Odds shown are morning line odds.



                      Race 2 - Stakes - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $75000 Class Rating: 102

                      MONROE S. GP - R9 - FILLIES AND MARES, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. FREE NOMINATION BY SUNDAY, APRIL 13. $750 TO ENTER. A $100 SUPPLEMENTAL NOMINATION MAY BE MADE AT TIME OF ENTRY. AFTER PAYMENT OF 1% TO ALL OWNERS OF HORSES FINISHING SIXTH THROUGH LAST, 60% OF THE REMAINING PURSE SHALL BE PAID TO THE OWNER OF THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 12% TO THIRD, 5% TO FOURTH, AND 3% TO
                      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
                      # 7 BREATH AWAY (GB) 2/1
                      # 9 OZARA (IRE) 5/2
                      # 6 LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE 6/1
                      I think BREATH AWAY (GB) is a formidable choice. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look competitive in this contest. Is a definite contender - given the 100 speed figure from her most recent race. The average class fig of 98 makes this horse hard to beat. OZARA (IRE) - Ought to be given consideration here on the basis of the figures in the speed realm alone. Is a solid choice - given the 101 Equibase Speed Fig from her most recent race. LIFE'S AN AUDIBLE - Overall the speed figures of this pony look formidable in this race. Is hard not to look at given the company run in lately.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358238

                        #12

                        Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                        PURCHASE





                        Oaklawn Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $40,000 Class Rating: 71

                        Rating:

                        #3 BLUE DAZZLER (ML=6/1)
                        #4 CRUEL (ML=15/1)
                        #9 BUZZWORTHY (ML=6/1)


                        BLUE DAZZLER - Ranked at the very top in earnings per race. Another sign that this animal is the class of the field. CRUEL - I like that this first-timer has been working over the Oaklawn Park oval and makes her debut here today. Gets help from Ashford with the addition of Lasix. BUZZWORTHY - Taking a drop in class figure points from her April 4th race at Oaklawn Park. Based on that key piece of info, I will give this animal the advantage. Last time around the track, finished seventh in the mud at Oaklawn Park. I'd expect a better race right here in this race.

                        Vulnerable Contenders: #13 ST. ALBANS RAID (ML=5/2), #12 BRISCOE COUNTY (ML=4/1), #10 LET'SGOJLO (ML=9/2),

                        ST. ALBANS RAID - This filly hasn't had any strong efforts in short distance affairs in the last couple of months. This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last two efforts. BRISCOE COUNTY - The Brain cautions me to keep away from horses in sprint races that haven't hit the board in sprint contests recently. LET'SGOJLO - Really had to show me more than that in the last race. Never made much of an impact.
                        STRAIGHT WAGERS: Putting our cash on #3 BLUE DAZZLER to win. Have to have odds of at least 2/1 or better though
                        EXACTA WAGERS: 3 with [4,9]
                        TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [3,4,9] Total Cost: $6
                        SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Skip
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358238

                          #13

                          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                          PURCHASE





                          Evangeline Downs - Race #7 - Post: 8:13pm - Maiden Special - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $34,000 Class Rating: 74

                          Rating:

                          #1 CAJUN COASTER (ML=3/1)
                          #3 FORTY THREE CENTS (ML=5/1)


                          CAJUN COASTER - Last time, was entered in a race at Fair Grounds in a race with a class number of 80. Dropping significantly in class figure this time puts him in a solid position right here in this race. Don't throw out based on last race finish. He didn't hit the board, but made a nice move down the lane making up ground. Could be dangerous at a possible price. Three consecutive improved Equibase speed figs (56-59-70) make this one a solid contender. FORTY THREE CENTS - I like this first-timer mainly because his workouts for this have been here at Evangeline Downs. Generally speaking, horses on Lasix for the first time should be considered. That's what we have here.

                          Vulnerable Contenders: #6 RUNNING RAGGED (ML=5/2), #8 TOMBIGBEE (ML=4/1), #2 QUINNSALTYOFFICER (ML=8/1),

                          RUNNING RAGGED - This probable favorite may be out of form without any recent morning blow outs. TOMBIGBEE - Almost certainly won't make much of a mark today. QUINNSALTYOFFICER - Can't play this steed in today's sprint of 5 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a sprint affair lately. Pace makes the race. Tough for this early speedball to be able to handle the suicidal fractions from the rest of this field.

                          GUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CAJUN COASTER - Comparing last speed ratings in this field, nobody beats this gelding. Tops in the field with a last speed rating of 70 on March 22nd.


                          STRAIGHT WAGERS: Have to go with #1 CAJUN COASTER on the win end if we get at least 7/5 odds
                          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,3]
                          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Pass
                          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: Pass
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