Title Game Betting Info

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  • New York Knight
    IWS Member
    • Aug 2017
    • 4965

    #16
    Bookmaker‏ ...


    Opening Odds (-4, 47')
    Current Odds (-3', 44')


    Public all over Bama, but 85% of sharp action is on UGA. Always the possibility they're driving it down to take the other side.

    Most of the total $$$ is on the under.

    Comment

    • New York Knight
      IWS Member
      • Aug 2017
      • 4965

      #17
      Prop thoughts ...


      Hurts hasn’t thrown for more than 131 yards in any of his 3 CFP games.

      O/U is 174.5

      Comment

      • New York Knight
        IWS Member
        • Aug 2017
        • 4965

        #18
        Prop thoughts ...


        Longest TD set at 43 yards.

        Last two years there has been 5 TDs of 50+ yards.

        With two great defenses, might not get long scoring drives but one big play, even on D/ST

        Comment

        • New York Knight
          IWS Member
          • Aug 2017
          • 4965

          #19
          Hard to think this will be a high scoring game, but last 5 title game winners scored at least 34 points and there were at least 56 combined points in each game.

          Comment

          • New York Knight
            IWS Member
            • Aug 2017
            • 4965

            #20
            In last 3 games vs SEC teams, Alabama allowed 150+ rush yards and 6 rush TD.

            In previous 19 games vs SEC teams, Bama allowed 6 rush TD and 100+ rush yards 3 times.

            Comment

            • New York Knight
              IWS Member
              • Aug 2017
              • 4965

              #21
              Can Jake Fromm continue 1st down success vs one of the best defenses in country?


              Last 4 games ... 23-28 ... 4 TD ... (6) 20-yard comp on 1st down ... 9-10 in Rose Bowl.

              Comment

              • New York Knight
                IWS Member
                • Aug 2017
                • 4965

                #22
                CG Technology ...


                "Took our 2nd $100,000 bet on Bama ML at -190 today. Also took another $50,000 bet on Bama spread this morning. Bama starting to become a pretty big liability for us tonight.

                "Also had one guy buy half point from Bama -3.5 to Bama -3 twice yesterday for $50,000 a piece.


                Unless some HUGE bets come in today we are probably going to have $500,000 liability to Bama

                Comment

                • New York Knight
                  IWS Member
                  • Aug 2017
                  • 4965

                  #23
                  Saban is 11-0 vs. his former assistants, but these have been the spreads:

                  -7
                  -24
                  -10
                  -16.5
                  -14
                  -40
                  -19
                  -7.5
                  -3.5
                  -29
                  -17


                  Average spread: -17

                  Spreads under a TD: 1

                  Comment

                  • New York Knight
                    IWS Member
                    • Aug 2017
                    • 4965

                    #24
                    Consensus line just ticked up:

                    Alabama -4

                    Anything from -3.5 to -5 is available around the market currently.

                    Comment

                    • New York Knight
                      IWS Member
                      • Aug 2017
                      • 4965

                      #25
                      Sports Insights‏ ...

                      Updated Action


                      Spread: 65% on Bama -3.5

                      ML: 60% on Bama -181

                      OU: 51% on Over 45.5


                      38,713 total bets

                      Comment

                      • New York Knight
                        IWS Member
                        • Aug 2017
                        • 4965

                        #26
                        Caesars Palace ...

                        Alabama (-4, 45.5)


                        65% of bets, and 54% of money is on the Crimson Tide

                        Lot of money-line support for Alabama, as well.

                        Comment

                        • New York Knight
                          IWS Member
                          • Aug 2017
                          • 4965

                          #27
                          CG Technology ...


                          Bigger Prop Liabilities as of now are as follows:

                          Scarbrough to score a TD Yes

                          Calvin Ridley more receiving yards than Javon Wims

                          Team to commit 1st turnover Alabama

                          1st Team to score 15 points Alabama

                          Comment

                          • New York Knight
                            IWS Member
                            • Aug 2017
                            • 4965

                            #28
                            CG Technology ...


                            "Just took another $100,000 bet on Alabama -4 ... Liability really starting to creep up pretty high now"

                            Comment

                            • New York Knight
                              IWS Member
                              • Aug 2017
                              • 4965

                              #29
                              South Point ...


                              "Player just laid $277,500 to win $150,000 on Bama ML -185 and $285,000 to win $150,000 on Bama ML -190"

                              Comment

                              • New York Knight
                                IWS Member
                                • Aug 2017
                                • 4965

                                #30
                                CG Technology ...


                                "While the Alabama spread liability is still creeping upwards, we have seen some Georgia ML the last 30 minutes taking down the ML Liability a bit"

                                Comment

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