Divisional Playoffs Betting Info

[New York Knight]

Drew Brees: 12 career playoff starts
Case Keenum: 0 career playoff starts

The last quarterback without a playoff start to beat a QB with 10+ playoff starts
in a postseason game?

Tim Tebow over Ben Roethlisberger in the 2011 Wild Card Round

[New York Knight]

Tom Brady is 6-0 in his career against Mike Mularkey-coached teams.

Brady is 6-1 (including playoffs) against the Titans with 13 pass TDs and 1 INT in those games.

That is his best TD-INT ratio against any opponent in his career.

[Mr. IWS]

Career playoff starts ...


Marcus Mariota -1
Tom Brady - 34

Blake Bortles -1
Ben Roethlisberger - 20

Matt Ryan - 9
Nick Foles - 1

Drew Brees - 12
Case Keenum - 0

Whoa!

[New York Knight]

The Falcons have an all-time record of 4-9 SU in January road games. BUT, they're just 1-5 SU when playing on the road outdoors in cold weather climates in January.

The one win was in 2003 in Green Bay.

[New York Knight]

Tom Brady has faded in recent seasons ...


THIS YEAR
First 10 games: 1 INT
Last 6 games: 6 INTs

2016
Entire regular season: 2 INTs
Playoffs (three games): 3 INTs

2015
First 14 games: only TWO w/Passer Rating below 90
Final 4 games: THREE w/Passer Rating below 90

[New York Knight]

A few interesting live betting trends ...


PHI is 8-0 SU with a +13.75 avg point differential when scoring 1st.

JAC is 9-0 SU with a +20.11 avg point differential when leading after 1st Q

MIN is 6-0 SU with a +15.5 avg point differential when scoring 1st

[New York Knight]

Ben Roethlisberger has been extremely average in the playoffs ... 25 TDs, 23 INTs and a 84.3 QB rating.

In 9 playoff home games, he has 12 TDs and 14 INTs

[New York Knight]

NFC #1 seeds are 22-5 SU in the Divisional round since 1990. Eagles are +3 at home vs the Falcons.

*The last to lose was 2017 Cowboys (34-31 to Rodgers & Green Bay)

[New York Knight]

The total has gone UNDER in the last three games between the Jags and Steelers. Those games had an average combined score of 31.67.

Total for Sunday's game is at 41.

[New York Knight]

The Vikings are 19-4 SU in their last 23 games as home favorites.

They had an average win margin of 13.74 in the 19 wins.

[New York Knight]

Refs for the Divisional Round



Mike Pereira @MikePereira

"Horrible way to start the playoffs. I hate to say it but this was not a good performance by the crew. Teams and fans deserve better"



Jeff Triplette’s crew did such a poor job overseeing the Chiefs-Titans game that he retired. Let’s hope this weekend’s crews do a better job. Brad Vinovich, Ron Torbert, Brad Allen and Gene Steratore are the crew chiefs for the Divisional Round. Here is what bettors need to know about each official.

This is just one more piece of information to make you a more informed gambler. The records below include regular season and playoff games since 2003.


Bill Vinovich: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Atlanta Falcons (-3)

◾Favorites: 34-32-2 (51.5%, -0.70 units)
◾Home Teams: 29-36-2 (44.6%, -8.42 units)
◾Overs: 30-37-1 (44.8%, -8.39 units)
◾Eagles: 2-3 ATS
◾Falcons: 4-3 ATS

In the regular season, the Over when Vinovich is on the field is 25-36-1 (41.0%) but 5-1 in the playoffs. Why? Your guess is as good as mine. The total for Eagles-Falcons opened 43.5 and has been bet down to 41. In the postseason, when the total decreases the Under is 44-36-3 and the win rate and return on investment improves the more the line goes down.



Ron Torbert: New England Patriots (-13.5) vs. Tennessee Titans

◾Favorites: 28-17-1 (62.2%, +9.97 units)
◾Home Teams: 20-24-1 (45.5%, -4.95 units)
◾Overs: 27-19 (58.7%, +6.47 units)
◾Patriots: 2-0 ATS
◾Titans: 1-1 ATS

Jeff Triplette was the most profitable ref for favorites in our database until the Chiefs blew an 18-point halftime lead. Now Ron Torbert wears the crown, or would it be whistle? Favorites are 28-17-1 (62.2%) ATS when Torbert officiates a game. Like the Patriots need any more advantages against the Titans.



Brad Allen: Pittsburgh Steelers (-7) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

◾Favorites: 31-29-1 (51.7%, +1.10 units
◾Home Teams: 34-25-1 (57.6%, +7.02 units)
◾Overs: 26-35 (42.6%, -10.16 units)
◾Steelers: 1-2 ATS
◾Jaguars: 1-1 ATS

Allen is the 3rd most profitable Under official in our database but most of those gains came in 2016 when the Under went 13-3 in games he officiated.



Gene Steratore: Minnesota Vikings (-5) vs. New Orleans Saints

◾Favorites: 69-79-6 (46.6%, -12.81 units)
◾Home Teams: 73-75-5 (49.3%, -5.75 units)
◾Overs: 74-76-4 (49.3%, -5.39 units)
◾Vikings: 5-3 ATS
◾Saints: 4-6 ATS

Last week we discovered that Ed Hochuli loves dogs, underdogs that is. A fellow canine enthusiast is Steratore. Underdogs have a profitable record in the regular season and playoffs when Steratore is in charge.

[New York Knight]

Jaguars QB Blake Bortles is the NFL’s highest-rated passer (147.3) on play action passes since Week 13

However, Bortles’ 68.3 passer rating on non-play action passes ranks 26th out of 30 qualified quarterbacks over the same span

[New York Knight]

[ktc729]

Crazy stat heading in the #eagles#falcons#NFL Divisional Playoff game in Phila. Dome teams playing outside in playoffs when temperature is 35 degrees or less, 4-23 in last 27. Game time temp 35 going down into the 20’s.

[New York Knight]

Since Ryan Shazier's injury, Steelers are allowing 5.3 yards/carry, no other team is giving up more than 4.9 yards