packers game

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  • HUSKERPOWER
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2008
    • 1136

    packers game

    i was loving the packers today and may still take them but now that i saw the 75 % public money on them makes me want to shy away a little any thought s anyone...
    2010

    MLB YTD
    14-7-2
    +12.6 UNIT
    NCAAFB YTD
    10-15-1
    -10 UNITS
    NFL YTD
    1-1
    -.2 UNITS
  • dillon24
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2008
    • 113

    #2
    Re: packers game

    i agree, the 2.5 line is scaring the shit outta me..its almost saying cards win by 10

    Comment

    • GoBlue
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2008
      • 642

      #3
      Re: packers game

      I think the Packers are playing as well as anyone in the NFL and the Cards have some injuries. The Pack has been a great team ATS the last eight games and everyone is loving them as you have pointed out. Makes it a scary game and the Pack seem like an easy play. But it is never that easy! I like Green Bay but prefer the over as the best play in the game. I think a lot of points will be scored with a chance of both teams scoring in the 30's
      NFL
      YTD 49-38-2 (+3 units)


      College football
      YTD 38-37-1 (+1.6 units)


      College basketball plays one unit each (unless noted)
      YTD 84-87-4 (-10.5 units)

      Overall 171-162-7 (-5.9 units) thru 3-12

      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98648

        #4
        Re: packers game

        I think Im laying low today, but leaning Pack way.

        GL
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        Comment

        • YoungTRK484
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2009
          • 1151

          #5
          Re: packers game

          Don't have a position yet on this gamw but might go over like GoBlue said. 5 point line swing is crazy imo and this game has too many question marks. Rofgers on the road, Boldin and Rodgers-Cromarties status, Packers weak road wins just to name a few
          2011 YTD: (Revised 1/11/11)

          NFL ATS: 1-2 -1.2 units
          NFL ML: 1-0, +1.1 units
          NFL Teaser: 0-1, -3.0 units

          NBA ATS: 0-1, -1.1 units

          YTD: -4.2 units

          Comment

          • Luke
            10 year vet
            • Oct 2006
            • 30060

            #6
            Re: packers game

            who gives a flying FK who the public is on ,bet the team you like
            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


            Comment

            • HUSKERPOWER
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2008
              • 1136

              #7
              Re: packers game

              Originally posted by Luke
              who gives a flying FK who the public is on ,bet the team you like
              i just get nervous when its a crazy majority on one team, but if i like a team i will bet them, ive been burned enough betting with the public and still havent learned my lesson

              GO PACK
              2010

              MLB YTD
              14-7-2
              +12.6 UNIT
              NCAAFB YTD
              10-15-1
              -10 UNITS
              NFL YTD
              1-1
              -.2 UNITS

              Comment

              • HUSKERPOWER
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2008
                • 1136

                #8
                Re: packers game

                when my book texted the spreads this morning he still had +2.5 for packers , just texted a few ago with packers -2.5, i never even noticed that the spread had jumped that much

                5 point swing thats huge , and thats onereason why i was liking the packers so much getting points should be a good game this afternoon
                2010

                MLB YTD
                14-7-2
                +12.6 UNIT
                NCAAFB YTD
                10-15-1
                -10 UNITS
                NFL YTD
                1-1
                -.2 UNITS

                Comment

                • HUSKERPOWER
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2008
                  • 1136

                  #9
                  Re: packers game

                  Originally posted by HUSKERPOWER
                  i was loving the packers today and may still take them but now that i saw the 75 % public money on them makes me want to shy away a little any thought s anyone...

                  LOSS thats why i didnt bet em
                  2010

                  MLB YTD
                  14-7-2
                  +12.6 UNIT
                  NCAAFB YTD
                  10-15-1
                  -10 UNITS
                  NFL YTD
                  1-1
                  -.2 UNITS

                  Comment

                  • Luke
                    10 year vet
                    • Oct 2006
                    • 30060

                    #10
                    Re: packers game

                    It amazes me that people honestly think that because 75% on the poublic is on one side is the reason it lost
                    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                    Comment

                    • HUSKERPOWER
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2008
                      • 1136

                      #11
                      Re: packers game

                      your 100% right they lost the game cuz of turnovers, but it is just like certain trends sometimes they are right sometimes they are wrong, saved me $220 today count that as good as a win

                      im not trying to be difficult or anything but sometimes when the percentages are that lopsided, VEGAS just gets the win more times than not, for whatever reason i dont know , i just try to side with VEGAS

                      I didnt even bet this game but by game time my book had the spread move 5 whole points from -2.5 to +2.5 at 10 am when he texted it then by noon he had changed it

                      im sure ill get burnt next game no one is 100% or id be living in vegas betting my savings on every game, im a 2 UNIT player just a small fish in the big ocean just trying to make a buck and or not lose my bucks
                      2010

                      MLB YTD
                      14-7-2
                      +12.6 UNIT
                      NCAAFB YTD
                      10-15-1
                      -10 UNITS
                      NFL YTD
                      1-1
                      -.2 UNITS

                      Comment

                      • Luke
                        10 year vet
                        • Oct 2006
                        • 30060

                        #12
                        Re: packers game

                        Originally posted by HUSKERPOWER
                        your 100% right they lost the game cuz of turnovers, but it is just like certain trends sometimes they are right sometimes they are wrong, saved me $220 today count that as good as a win

                        im not trying to be difficult or anything but sometimes when the percentages are that lopsided, VEGAS just gets the win more times than not, for whatever reason i dont know , i just try to side with VEGAS

                        I didnt even bet this game but by game time my book had the spread move 5 whole points from -2.5 to +2.5 at 10 am when he texted it then by noon he had changed it

                        im sure ill get burnt next game no one is 100% or id be living in vegas betting my savings on every game, im a 2 UNIT player just a small fish in the big ocean just trying to make a buck and or not lose my bucks

                        The public is right 50% of the time imo .I bet if you tracked everytime the public was 75% on one side it would be close to 50% win/loss. I've won tons of times being on the public side .That last one that comes to mind was GB/Chicago a few weeks agos .In that game the public was on GB 85% and I still won .

                        It just makes me a little irritated when people say the public was all over GB is why they lost .I did fours hours of research and my numbers said GB would win and it makes me feel like a idiot when people say I lost because I was on the publics side.When people say that it makes me think :"why waste my time looking at a game if the pubic is on that side" I lost because GB turned the ball over too much

                        I guess we all need to bet what wins us money
                        2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                        Comment

                        • luckydog132
                          Junior Member
                          • Oct 2009
                          • 23

                          #13
                          Re: packers game

                          I won big on Arizona...but Liked GB at 1st...Took Ariz 1st H + 1/2 pt WON Ariz +3 Gm -135 WON...Ariz to score 1st WON S Breaston to catch over 4 passes -150...WON and UNDER 48.5 LOST this one by only 47.5 pts HAHAHA...Point is I doubled my Bankroll on this game...and I Liked GB...before crunching numbers and remembered how good Kurt Warner is in big games...Beat my Eags Last Year in Ariz in NFC Championship Gm...McNabb missed wide open recievers in 1st QTR and thats all QB Warner and the cards needed. Eags had real Decent D Last year, and I Think this yrs Cards are much better...O Line ... Tim Hightower and Beanie Wells with a 300+ lb Blocking FB/Lineman...Great Recivers and a D that is better than they showed vs GB...I Like Cards to win/cover vs Saints and see an Under 58...both teams can and will run the ball...in 2nd round of playoffs...teams get more conservative = CLOSE GMS and UNDERS...Not many Turovers this week...both QBs are Accurate with ball and 58 is 10 pts higher than the 48.5 I played under last sunday...I was at Eags gm where Eags beat Det in 95' ...58-37...was the highest scoring gm in NFL playoffs till last sunday...I Think Bears won 72-0 years ago...still not 96 pts WOW Good Luck...Cards+ pts and Under 58 or so...

                          Comment

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