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NY Giants -3 (-123)
This should be the Bills toughest road game to date (Won at KC, lost at Cinci), and will be playing a NYGiants team that looked and played like crap last week, in losing SU at home as a DD favorite against the Seahawks. I love playing home teams as short favorites or dogs that are off a poor showing, against teams that won, and are in the public favor. Bills are 4-1 SU this year, and have benefited from winning the turnover battle in each game. However, their defense has given up more than 450 yards in offense in every game since week 2, and will be with out starting LB Shawn Merriman. The Giants should be able to move the ball effectively here today against a soft Bills run defense (31st in NFL, allowing 5.54 yards/carry), and thru the air, where despite last weeks game, Eli has been quite good at moving the ball. The Giants have struggled in 3rd downs this year, but should find the going easier with more 3rd and shorts against the Bills soft front.
Both teams will head into bye weeks after today, and the Giants should have extra focus this week to keep pace in the NFC East, and attone for last week. Buffalo is 0-11 SU and 3-8 ATS last 11 pre bye weeks, NYGiants have won 6 of last 8 pre bye game (just 1-4 ATS as favorite thou).
This should be the Bills toughest road game to date (Won at KC, lost at Cinci), and will be playing a NYGiants team that looked and played like crap last week, in losing SU at home as a DD favorite against the Seahawks. I love playing home teams as short favorites or dogs that are off a poor showing, against teams that won, and are in the public favor. Bills are 4-1 SU this year, and have benefited from winning the turnover battle in each game. However, their defense has given up more than 450 yards in offense in every game since week 2, and will be with out starting LB Shawn Merriman. The Giants should be able to move the ball effectively here today against a soft Bills run defense (31st in NFL, allowing 5.54 yards/carry), and thru the air, where despite last weeks game, Eli has been quite good at moving the ball. The Giants have struggled in 3rd downs this year, but should find the going easier with more 3rd and shorts against the Bills soft front.
Both teams will head into bye weeks after today, and the Giants should have extra focus this week to keep pace in the NFC East, and attone for last week. Buffalo is 0-11 SU and 3-8 ATS last 11 pre bye weeks, NYGiants have won 6 of last 8 pre bye game (just 1-4 ATS as favorite thou).
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