Kentucky Derby play and discussion

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  • Luke
    10 year vet
    • Oct 2006
    • 30060

    Kentucky Derby play and discussion

    One of these four horses will win the derby imo.If the winner doesnt come from one of these four I would be completely shocked .The odds at opening when they announced the field were:

    Dunkirk 4-1

    Friesan Fire 5-1

    I Want Revenge 4-1

    Pioneer of the Nile 4-1


    Right now I can get at matchbook:

    Dunkirk at 7-1

    I want Revenge at 5-1

    Friesan Fire at 7-1

    and

    Pioneer of the Nile at 8-1

    So the opening odds will go up or down on the horses.I'm sure tomorrow some of the odds will go up and some will go down.I am going to try to lock in my bet tonight on one of these horses .I'll post my play later tonight when I get finished researching the race
    2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


  • RedHottG2
    IWS *********
    • Oct 2006
    • 5294

    #2
    Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

    Looking forward to your pick Luke, I'm just going to tail you because I don't have time to research anything.
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    • RedHottG2
      IWS *********
      • Oct 2006
      • 5294

      #3
      Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

      I Want Revenge is OUT

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      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 98673

        #4
        Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

        GL on the Horsies today
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        • Luke
          10 year vet
          • Oct 2006
          • 30060

          #5
          Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

          Originally posted by RedHottG2

          Yeah I seen that .He was one of my two favorites.

          At least that narrows it down to three horses for me now
          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


          Comment

          • Luke
            10 year vet
            • Oct 2006
            • 30060

            #6
            Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

            With I want revenge out


            The other 3 horses odds have dropped

            Pioneer of the Nile dropped from 8-1 to 6.4 -1

            Dunkirk dropped from 7-1 to 5.3-1

            Friesan Fire dropped from 7-1 to 5-1


            I will most likely be on Friesan Fire today he and I want revenge were my favorites to win this.

            The bad part is the track will probably be wet today so all the research in the world may not matter because only 2 of the 20 horses have ever even ran on a wet track.

            Will post later my final selections
            2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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            • Luke
              10 year vet
              • Oct 2006
              • 30060

              #7
              Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

              I'm going with


              Friesan Fire at 5-1

              I dont think the other horses will be able to catch him from behind on such a wet track


              Risking 100 to win 400 profit

              I still think Pioneer of the Nile or Dunkirk stand a good chance but FF just gets the edge in my book

              GL today everyone
              2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


              Comment

              • HUSKERPOWER
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2008
                • 1136

                #8
                Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion



                heading down to place mine right about now
                2010

                MLB YTD
                14-7-2
                +12.6 UNIT
                NCAAFB YTD
                10-15-1
                -10 UNITS
                NFL YTD
                1-1
                -.2 UNITS

                Comment

                • Luke
                  10 year vet
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 30060

                  #9
                  Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

                  Originally posted by Luke
                  I'm going with


                  Friesan Fire at 5-1

                  I dont think the other horses will be able to catch him from behind on such a wet track


                  Risking 100 to win 400 profit

                  I still think Pioneer of the Nile or Dunkirk stand a good chance but FF just gets the edge in my book

                  GL today everyone

                  I am going to hedge a little bit with

                  Pioneer of the Nile .

                  Going to take him for 50 at 5.7 to 1

                  So I have :

                  100 to win 400 profit on Friesan Fire

                  and

                  75 to win 427.50 profit on Pioneer of the Nile


                  so I win 327.50 or 325 if either of my horses win

                  That is it for sure on my derby bets
                  2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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                  • RedHottG2
                    IWS *********
                    • Oct 2006
                    • 5294

                    #10
                    Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

                    I'll do the same and thanks Luke!
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                    • Luke
                      10 year vet
                      • Oct 2006
                      • 30060

                      #11
                      Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

                      Originally posted by RedHottG2
                      I'll do the same and thanks Luke!
                      GL Mike

                      Hopefully we can bring this home
                      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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                      • Mr. IWS
                        215 Hustler
                        • Sep 2006
                        • 98673

                        #12
                        Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

                        GL fellas!
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                        • Luke
                          10 year vet
                          • Oct 2006
                          • 30060

                          #13
                          Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

                          If Dunkirk the only horse of the 3 I liked but didnt bet wins I might go run out in front or traffic


                          we'll know in about 20 minutes
                          2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


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                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 98673

                            #14
                            Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

                            What time does the race go off? Im flipping back from the Phillies game, and they still aint ready to run yet.
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                            • Mr. IWS
                              215 Hustler
                              • Sep 2006
                              • 98673

                              #15
                              Re: Kentucky Derby play and discussion

                              Figures.

                              My boys are on the derby and a fuckin 50-1 wins.

                              Bullshit.
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