2012 Parlay

[SPX]

Oh yeah. Well when I learned about "Team Paul Mitchell" I thought for sure that it was just referencing some other dude with the same name. But no, the team really is sponsored by the hair care mogul and apparently has been going strong for over 25 years. . .

https://www.teampaulmitchellkarate.com

[sbjj]

I've been kind of doing this also. Picking two fighters an event. I will post them in here. Thinking Saff-?(Mo, Wood, Lawler) for this event. The max I can bet on my 2 fight parlay is 10 units. But is most likely 4 to 6 units.

[poopoo333]

Not Guillard by sub is the start of this for me

[MMA_scientist]

Not Guillard by sub is the start of this for me

me too, if it is offered. Was also going to do Not Bisping to sub Maia, maybe not Sonnen to sub Munoz... but those aren't happening now. I am wary of Weidman, though I doubt he can sub Maia, he did have a couple of tight guillotines on Galvao in ADCC. Weidman can grapple, I am scared of that. Maybe Not rashad for 50%.

[poopoo333]

Looks like it won't be offered. Gay!!

[MMA_scientist]

Play:

Not Evans by Submission -900 $900 to win $100. 5d won't let me go over $900 now. Probably drop another $600 once the limit is raised.

Evans has never even attempted a submission in the UFC. Davis is not going to be the first guy to get submitted here, as he is quite the grappler himself, and likes the submission game.

[poopoo333]

10u @-1020

Will hedge a little with rashad sub of night probably

[MMA_scientist]

Adding $600 @ -1020 to win $58.82

So it is $1500 to win $158.82 I am going to stop there.

So... 2012 Parlay begins. I am going to use a $1500 bankroll for the year. That is equivalent to 9.3u for me, I am just going to play with the profit from 2011. From here on out, it rides.

[sbjj]

For all the BS I talked about not betting Sonnen. I am starting to think my 2 fighter parlay for this event will be Sonnen-Dunham.

[edman5555]

i am slightly hesitant about Dunham. I was all about him before but I have some issues with Lentz. He is similar to Tyson Griffin and he was able to give Dunham a good fight(though Tyson is probably a better striker and also has better foot movement). Aurelio also gave dunham a good fight and sherk beat him. I know the Sherk Decision was lame. Dunham doesn't hit really really hard either. Lentz is an in your face fighter. I don't see what would stop Lentz from getting inside on Dunham. I don't think it will be especially hard punches..I could be wrong though.

[SPX]

The Griffin/Dunham fight was pretty much domination, in my opinion. That fight is actually the reason that I think Lentz has little chance here, with his best shot being to lock on a guillotine when Dunham is not suspecting it.

[edman5555]

hmmmm ok

[MMA_scientist]

For all the BS I talked about not betting Sonnen. I am starting to think my 2 fighter parlay for this event will be Sonnen-Dunham.

What about Oliveira? He should win that, I just finished looking at Wisely... I think he is behind everywhere, takedowns, striking, grappling... his best chance is to catch a submission on Oliveira, but that doesn't seem very likely.

But, he is -500. I would do it in a parlay, but I can't find the other half of it. Lentz is hard to bet. He always keeps it close (except against Oliveira).

[edman5555]

Lentz lost soundly to Bocek. Olivieria was kicking his ass. The rest of his fights were close. Supposedly the Tyson Griffin fight was a bad decision. I think Dana gave Tyson his win bonus. Lentz is pretty good. He still a short stubby wrestler though. He should have trouble with Dunhams reach and wrestling/grappling ability. I haven't read much about Wisely yet. I should do that tonight. I am still hoping for some sort of line improvement but it is starting to seem like its not going to happen. Anyways, I have 3u on Maia. I am now thinking about a Chael/Dunham/Oliv parlay. Or all three straight up. 5dimes reduced juice isn't parlayable so I'm actually better off betting them straight up. We'll see if they offer it. I guess I'll wait for that, so no more bets until the day before. (I am still worried the lines will go to shit, nobody wants to bet Bisping)

[poopoo333]

Anybody have a vid of Lentz/Bocek?