SDR vs Gonzaga should definitely be on the prelims. Remove that fight and bump up Barboza/Dunham.
UFC 146
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early picks with not really looking much into them regardless of odds:
MAIN CARD (pay-per-view)
- Champ Junior Dos Santos vs. Alistair Overeem (for heavyweight title)
- Frank Mir vs. Cain Velasquez
- Roy Nelson vs. Antonio Silva
- Shane Del Rosario vs. Gabriel Gonzaga
- Mark Hunt vs. Stefan Struve*
PRELIMINARY CARD
- Edson Barboza vs. Evan Dunham
- Dan Hardy vs. Duane "Bang" Ludwig
- Diego Brandao vs. Darren Elkins
- C.B. Dollaway vs. Jason "Mayhem" Miller
- Kyle Kingsbury vs. Glover Teixeira
- Paul Sass vs. Jacob Volkmann
Ludwig/Elkins/Kingsbury/Bigfoot were all guesses
I think Ludwig should be technically better standing up, but Dan Hardy is training at a "secret gym" with Lorenzo Fertitta so he might be TRT/Uber Hardy come fight time.
Elkins is a top control guy but Brandao is a little crazy fucker.
I have never seen Kingsbury's opponent fight, but anybody that trains under Barry Bonds' steroid supplier has my pick
I think Bigfoot/Nelson is close, but I'll go with BigfootComment
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Champ Junior Dos Santos vs. Alistair Overeem (for heavyweight title)
Frank Mir vs. Cain Velasquez
Roy Nelson vs. Antonio Silva
Shane Del Rosario vs. Gabriel Gonzaga
Mark Hunt vs. Stefan Struve*
PRELIMINARY CARD
Edson Barboza vs. Evan Dunham
Dan Hardy vs. Duane "Bang" Ludwig
Diego Brandao vs. Darren Elkins
C.B. Dollaway vs. Jason "Mayhem" Miller
Kyle Kingsbury vs. Glover TeixeiraPaul Sass vs. Jacob Volkmann2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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This card is awesome...damn. I wonder if we are gonna get + odds on Dollaway?
Who are you most confident in? For me it's probably Cain, but I can see each and every fight going either way (exxcept Teixeira/Kingsbury, idk about Teixeira)Comment
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I like Texeira to beat Kingsbury. He is long overdue to be in the UFC... but he is a little undersized to be fighting Roidsbury. He he from a striking camp (Pit), he is a very solid BJJ competitor, winning ADCC trials in Brazil.
My lock of the card would probably be Cain too... but I am not super confident. They are all close fight IMO.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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MAIN CARD (pay-per-view)
Champ Junior Dos Santos vs. Alistair Overeem (for heavyweight title)
Frank Mir vs. Cain Velasquez
Roy Nelson vs. Antonio Silva
Shane Del Rosario vs. Gabriel Gonzaga
Mark Hunt vs. Stefan Struve*
PRELIMINARY CARD
Edson Barboza vs. Evan Dunham
Dan Hardy vs. Duane "Bang" Ludwig
Diego Brandao vs. Darren Elkins
C.B. Dollaway vs. Jason "Mayhem" Miller
Kyle Kingsbury vs. Glover Teixeira
Paul Sass vs. Jacob Volkmann
Brandao-Elkins is a really interesting matchup. Diego is batshit psycho and is a total killer given any position, but Elkins is a tough scrapper himself. I just don't think we've seen enough of Diego against anyone who really knows what they're doing yet, at least I haven't, to bet on him.
Hunt is going to murderface Struve.
Cain should win but he's not a lock, Mir is forever dangerous even when rocked hard. He's the kind of guy where even if you hurt him you have to tiptoe around his ground game whenever possible because he has the talent and strength to rip something off if he latches onto it.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment


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