UFC 152

[poopoo333]

Luke, we may as well put our new BetDSI bankroll as well as our $500 free play bank roll on Jones here.

[poopoo333]

Wow, Jones under -500?

Yeah..surprised. He is going to win and I want to bet it.

But after today, I hope the Karate Kid gets teh fastest KO in UFC history

[SPX]

Wow, Jones under -500?

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

Vladdy/Hamill is going to be one boring ass fight.

[poopoo333]

What?

Lmfao

[Luke]

Vladdy Matyushenko Steps in to Face Matt Hamill at UFC 152....

What?

[edman5555]

Probably Svino is the only one here that actually does the math. I just use a calculator on the internet. But for me it is more clear to think in terms of odds... like rather than -200, I think 2:1... But everything everyone is describing is really just lazily converting it and deciding if it is accurate. Saying "I just think about my confidence on fighter and how steep the line on him is then decide if it is worth it" is the exact same thing, just less precise. That said, that's pretty much what I do too.

I never do it. To me it almost doesn't matter how you look at it. I know what -200 pays out and I can estimate a fighters probability of winning and compare the two.

[poopoo333]

Vladdy Matyushenko Steps in to Face Matt Hamill at UFC 152

....

[poopoo333]

Demetrious Johnson vs Joseph Benavidez - 5 rounds - UFC 152 propositions
Sat 9/22		1003 Johnson/Benavidez goes 5 round distance		-300
10:30PM		1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance		+220
Sat 9/22		1005 Johnson wins inside distance		+1170
10:30PM		1006 Not Johnson inside distance		-2510
Sat 9/22		1007 Johnson wins by 5 round decision		+310
10:30PM		1008 Not Johnson by 5 round decision		-430
Sat 9/22		1009 Benavidez wins inside distance		+282
10:30PM		1010 Not Benavidez inside distance		-402
Sat 9/22		1011 Benavidez wins by 5 round decision		-120
10:30PM		1012 Not Benavidez by 5 round decision		-120
Sat 9/22		1013 Johnson/Benavidez draw		+6000
10:30PM		1014 Fight not a draw		-15000
Brian Stann vs Michael Bisping - 3 rounds - UFC 152 propositions
Sat 9/22		1103 Stann/Bisping goes 3 round distance		-145
10:30PM		1104 Fight won't go 3 round distance		+105

[Svino]

I think the time you really need to be careful about percentages is when combining multiple bets on one fight, so you can add percentages together and see what total odds you are effectively betting.

[MMA_scientist]

I gotta be honest, I dont even know how to do the percentage thing.

Probably Svino is the only one here that actually does the math. I just use a calculator on the internet. But for me it is more clear to think in terms of odds... like rather than -200, I think 2:1... But everything everyone is describing is really just lazily converting it and deciding if it is accurate. Saying "I just think about my confidence on fighter and how steep the line on him is then decide if it is worth it" is the exact same thing, just less precise. That said, that's pretty much what I do too.

[Mr. IWS]

i never do the percentage thing and convert it to a line. its how confidence i am on certain fighter to win the fight and how steep the line on him is then decide how much i want to bet. though i never bet on a guy with great odds if i dont think he has at least 1 clear way to win. But i think Stan will edge Bisping standing and Bisping is going to have to take stan down to beat him. Bisping td is overrated tho, imo. From what i remember, he usually able to get guys down after they starting to gas. otherwise, his td isnt that good. I think stan beats him.

I gotta be honest, I dont even know how to do the percentage thing.

[Svino]

Speaking of setting a percentage for each fight and then converting that into a moneyline, does anyone really do that anymore?

That's what I do for the main card fights (or matches where I feel pretty confident in my memory of both fighters).

[poopoo333]

In my opinion, Bisping is the better striker as well as a better grappler..I really think Stann's actual kickboxing ability is very overrated