UFC on FX 5

[MMA_scientist]

Travis Browne vs. Antonio Silva
Jake Ellenberger vs. Jay Hieron
John Dodson vs. Jussier Formiga
Josh Neer vs. Justin Edwards
Yves Edwards vs. Jeremy Stephens
Danny Castillo vs. Michael Johnson
Dennis Hallman vs. Thiago Tavares
Shane Roller vs. Jacob Volkmann
Diego Nunes vs. Bart Palaszewski
Phil Harris vs. Darren Uyenoyama
Mike Pierce vs. Aaron Simpson
Marcus LeVesseur vs. Carlo Prater

- all guesses in the dark

[mike]

Maybe I think Bigfoot's better than he is, but I always go back to his fight with Werdum and his win over Fedor.

I mean shit, if he can beat Fedor, surely he can beat Travis Browne. Right?

just from memory, i think he beat Fedor by taking Fedor down and gnp. I dont think he can take Browne down and probably not gonna outstrike Browne. Maybe Browne will gas and loses the later rounds but Im leaning Browne. No Bet for me though with that odds.

[SPX]

Browne still hasn't beaten anyone who's really great. His best win is clearly Struve, who he just happened to hit with a sledge-hammer in the first round. No telling how that fight would've ended up if it had gone the distance.

Also, as PP pointed out, Browne basically lost to Kongo.

Now, I'm not saying that I EXPECT Bigfoot to win, but Bigfoot is definitely the more proven fighter here. I wouldn't be too shocked to see him outstrike Brown and I also wouldn't be shocked if he is in fact able to get Brown down in rounds 2 and 3.

[mike]

yeah if i would make a bet, its bigfoot or no bet. i've changed my betting strategy a bit, for the most part, only bet on fights i really like. if i feel a lil hesitant to place a bet, that's telling me that a no bet. its been working out pretty well for me.

[edman5555]

yeah if i would make a bet, its bigfoot or no bet. i've changed my betting strategy a bit, for the most part, only bet on fights i really like. if i feel a lil hesitant to place a bet, that's telling me that a no bet. its been working out pretty well for me.

Yeah its hard to bet instinct. The best thing you can do is post all your thoughts in their entirety and look to see what people have to say against them. If someone disproves a thought you have then you can base a decision of that. Just my opinion. Bouncing my opinions off others always seemed to work well for me.

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

Edwards all motherfucking day at that line

[MMA_scientist]

surprised to see some of those lines. I though Roller/Volkmann and Simpson/Pierce would be even. MIght have to take the dogs there. I wanted to bet Darren Unem...ma. but to hell with -370.

[MMA_scientist]

Edwards all motherfucking day at that line

Agreed. That's a bet @ +260. Neer can be wrestled up.

[SPX]

Just bet Bigfoot, Castillo and Bartimus.

Pierce is too high.

Simpson, Yves and Roller might be worth a look, but I'm staying away for now.

[poopoo333]

And Simpson +170 in a near coinflip fight???

[SPX]

Is it really a coin flip? Maybe it is.

But I really kind of expect Pierce to beat him. Simpson's hands aren't THAT great and I don't think this size advantage y'all keep talking about (he was never a big middleweight) will give him much, if any, edge in the wrestling department.

But I do agree that at those odds it's Simpson or nothing.

[MMA_scientist]

I think it will be a clinch fest, the wrestling and striking are both about even IMO. I don't see why Pierce should be favored personally.

[SPX]

So you're betting Simpson?

[MMA_scientist]

Yeah probably.