I think that pretty much sums it up right there. Le gets a stoppage or Franklin wins. And the latter is far more likely than the former. BUT the thought of Le getting a stoppage is not completely ridiculous.
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I think the only way Le wins is a decision to be honest. A controversial decision at that. Get a takedown here and there and land some flashy kicks throughout rounds 1-3. But Franklin is too good and too smart. Franklin wins...just waiting to see if his line gets better.Comment
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No it's not completely ridiculous, but Franklin hasn't made a habit of being put down by guys like Le who don't really go for one shot KO's and whatnot. Franklin has only ever been knocked out by Lyoto Machida, Anderson Silva, and Vitor Belfort. I just don't put Le in the same category as those guys when it comes to knocking dudes out. Yeah he's won most of the fights he won by some form of TKO, but many of those guys were tailor made for him and nowhere near Franklin's level or overall durability/knowledge on how to survive being rocked. If Le doesn't score the flash KO in the first two rounds his chances drop to almost 0 of landing it in the last three rounds(assuming the fight goes that far). I'm not totally ruling out Franklin's ability to knock Cung out either, I just don't think he'll really go for that until Le is already huffing and puffing.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
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2012: +20.311uComment
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7:15 AM 24105 STANISLAV NEDKOV PK+245 24106 THIAGO SILVA PK-315 7:15 AM 24107 NED/SIL -OVER 24108 NED/SIL -UNDER 7:15 AM 24109 PAULO THIAGO PK+150 24110 DONG HYUN KIM PK-200 7:15 AM 24111 THI/KIM -OVER 24112 THI/KIM -UNDER 7:15 AM 24113 TAKANORI GOMI PK+125 24114 MAC DANZIG PK-155
DANZIG LINE HOLD UNTIL 5DIMES PLEASE FUCKComment
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Could go either way.
It's in China, though, maybe the UFC wants to appeal to the Chinese audience by having an Asian win via traditional martial arts techniques? It would guarantee that more Chinese would watch the show again. You never know...Comment
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I disagree. People who only watch because Cung Le is on the card will likely not watch again unless another asian is on the card next time around. People who would watch anyway, will watch anyway. But I don't think Cung's chances here are even close to 50/50. He's fought one guy at or near Franklin's level and that guy rearranged his face something fierce. Le also has notoriously weak cardio even in three round fights, whereas Franklin loves pushing the pace for as long as the fight goes.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
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I think it's worth pointing out that he was clearly beating Wanderlei before he gassed. So technique-wise, it's not like he's outclassed. He just needs better cardio.
As for people watching only because Cung is on the card, I would agree that most are probably only very occasional viewers, but it could also be someone's introduction to MMA and them say, "Oh, this shit is pretty cool."I heart cockComment
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At this stage in the game it's unlikely to gain a large percent of strictly new viewers. UFC is a household name now even if MMA isn't, so if you didn't know about it by now chances are you had absolutely no interest in it.I think it's worth pointing out that he was clearly beating Wanderlei before he gassed. So technique-wise, it's not like he's outclassed. He just needs better cardio.
As for people watching only because Cung is on the card, I would agree that most are probably only very occasional viewers, but it could also be someone's introduction to MMA and them say, "Oh, this shit is pretty cool."
As far as Le clearly winning the fight I don't remember it that way. I remember Wanderlei being dropped early in round one and then Silva picked up momentum as the round closed. Things were pretty much even in the second round until Wanderlei exploded and bent Le's beak. That was a close fight at best, and Wanderlei got pretty much dominated by Rich except for that second round where he hurt Franklin.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
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Check out the bold.
MAIN CARD (FUEL TV, 9 a.m. ET)- Rich Franklin vs. Cung Le
- Stanislav Nedkov vs. Thiago Silva
- Dong Hyum Kim vs. Paulo Thiago
- Mac Danzig vs. Takanori Gomi
- Alex Caceres vs. Kyung Ho Kang
- Jon Tuck vs. Tiequan Zhang
PRELIMINARY CARD (Facebook, 7 a.m. ET)- John Lineker vs. Yasuhiro Urushitani
- Tom DeBlass vs. Riki Fukuda
- Jeff Hougland vs. Takeya Mizugaki
- Marcelo Guimaraes vs. Hyun Gyu Lim
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Tuck appears to be a BJJ guy, so it's not like they gave Zhang a fighter with a huge hole in his game where Zhang does well (kind of)
Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu Career
Tuck competed in World Professional Jiu-Jitsu Cup. He won the match against Mohammed Naser they fought for the gold medal in Open light division. He also place silver in -78 kg division.[5]Comment

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