UFC 157

[poopoo333]

Maybe a Koscheck/Rousey parlay. It should come out to around -700

[SPX]

What are you basing that on?

[poopoo333]

What are you basing that on?

I am just assuming Koscheck is going to be a huge favorite.

In reality, it's probably gonna pay around -400. I was just being sarcastic.

[poopoo333]

[edman5555]

Faber easily IMO. What does Menji do better? Not a better wrstler, not a better grappler and not a better striker as far as I can tell. He is slower, older and probably has much worse cardio. I am shocked at the line, this will get pounded.

[edman5555]

LOL, Faber opened at -180 on 5d.

[SPX]

Faber at -180 sounds good . . . Faber at -335 is not nearly as tempting. Although I do think he will win this without a lot of problems.

[edman5555]

I don't get how menji wins. What is his path to victory?

[SPX]

It's what I call the SURPRISE FACTOR. That is, the way that things just don't turn out the way you expected. Kind of like in Holloway/Garcia last night. Most people expected Holloway to just walk through him and were pretty surprised when he didn't. One thing we should all know by now is that things don't always turn out the way you predict they will: some fighters perform better than expected, some worse, and flukes happen.

Menjivar is a skilled and competent fighter. It's like he's some can. If he brings his A game and Faber happens to be having an off night, anything could happen.

[edman5555]

Well I was on garcia. I get your point though.

[poopoo333]

Yeah, there is no way I am laying -300 or worse on Faber in this fight.

[edman5555]

Yeah, there is no way I am laying -300 or worse on Faber in this fight.

Wow ok. I guess i should rewatch some fights. I feel like faber holds a supreme advantage in this one.

[SPX]

Faber is the better fighter for sure and will probably win. But he's been out for a little while now, is getting older, and is no longer invincible. And Menjivar is a solid fighter.

[edman5555]

Urijah seems like he is getting better imo. Maybe i am wrong. His last three losses are aldo, barao and cruz. I thought he beat cruz. He beat Wineland who is proving to be very good as well as bowles, assuncao and mizugaki whom he tapped in round 1.

I just spent a moment going over menjivars record again and he is pretty solid. I guess its possible he could give faber some trouble.

[edman5555]

I guess it was from watching John albert put him in trouble on the ground. Albert does go for broke with his subs though.