UFC Fight Night 27 8/28 Condit vs Kampmann

[poopoo333]

I like Elkins. Think he takes him down enough and wins a decision where everybody is like "ELKINS DIDN'T DO SHIT! HIOKI WAS WORKING FROM THE BOTTOM!"

[SPX]

Elkins lost to Omigawa. Never forget.

(Judges be damned.)

[mike]

that can certainly happen although Hioki usually gets taken down from a fast shot which isnt how Elkins' tds are. ELkins' shot isnt very fast. In the clinch, Hioki is pretty good also, not sure Elkins will have much advantage there. I think this fight depends alot on who the better striker is and Hioki's gas tank come the 2nd n 3rd round. Was planning to bet enough to win 2u on Hioki but im just gonna do 1u now.

[SPX]

Anybody have thoughts on Whittaker/McGee?

[Luke]

Anybody have thoughts on Whittaker/McGee?

They both suck

[mike]

Im on Mcgee for 3u. Just not that impressed with Whittaker while Mcgee has been in there with guys better than Whittaker and make them very close fights. He also put alot of pressure and set a very high pace that im not sure Whittaker can handle. He also has a solid chin.

[poopoo333]

They both suck

[mike]

ehh damn im gonna miss the fights since they start at 2pm on west coast and i dont get off work til 5 fml

[MMA_scientist]

Why is Kampmann +240. I see this as a slight edge to Condit based on Kampmann's chin, but +240. I'll take that.

[SPX]

I agree. Condit should maybe be -150. I put a small bet on Kamp at +205.

[poopoo333]

5 round fight changes things in this one imo. I favor Condit but -240 on a guy with historically bad TDD against a guy with decent TDs (from the clinch at least) is off

[MMA_scientist]

I agree. Condit should maybe be -150. I put a small bet on Kamp at +205.

I bet Kamp @ +230. Condit will probably win, but he shouldn't be that much of a favorite.

[SPX]

What else y'all betting? So far I've got small plays on:

Kampmann
RDA
Miz
High

[poopoo333]

Just posted my bets in the bet thread. I want to go bigger on High because I think he should be the clear favorite but something is keeping me away from doing that.

Instead, I went bigger on Elkins. He's the hometown grinder wrestler going against the Jap who likes to lay on his back and throw his legs up and do nothing. :)

[SPX]

Elkins clearly losing to Omigawa doesn't concern you?