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Got a few units out there:
.25u to win .88u on Kanehara
Got him at +350. This line seems off to me. I was hoping Kid would open in the -150 range, considering his performance against Warren, but he really seems to be overvalued in this fight. Personally, I think he will win due to superior power in the standup and superior wrestling, but I could see Kanehara using his height/reach/size to keep Kid at bay at take a decision. Kanehara probably deserves to be the underdog, but not a +350 underdog.
2u to win 1.14u - Aoki/Soko Parlay
Hirota has some decent stand up, but his takedown defense is lacking and once he's on his back he seems to have trouble getting back to his feet. I think Aoki takes this one without a lot of trouble. His standup seems improved (see the Ribeiro fight) and I think he can use this to at least stay competitive until he inevitably gets it to the ground, where he will dominate.
Soko has great Judo and pretty good standup. Minowa has good wrestling and leg submissions and that's about it. I think Soko can use his Judo skills to keep this one on the feet where he will easily have the edge in the stand up. Even on the ground I think he will do fine, provided he stays off his back.
Anyone else?
.25u to win .88u on Kanehara
Got him at +350. This line seems off to me. I was hoping Kid would open in the -150 range, considering his performance against Warren, but he really seems to be overvalued in this fight. Personally, I think he will win due to superior power in the standup and superior wrestling, but I could see Kanehara using his height/reach/size to keep Kid at bay at take a decision. Kanehara probably deserves to be the underdog, but not a +350 underdog.
2u to win 1.14u - Aoki/Soko Parlay
Hirota has some decent stand up, but his takedown defense is lacking and once he's on his back he seems to have trouble getting back to his feet. I think Aoki takes this one without a lot of trouble. His standup seems improved (see the Ribeiro fight) and I think he can use this to at least stay competitive until he inevitably gets it to the ground, where he will dominate.
Soko has great Judo and pretty good standup. Minowa has good wrestling and leg submissions and that's about it. I think Soko can use his Judo skills to keep this one on the feet where he will easily have the edge in the stand up. Even on the ground I think he will do fine, provided he stays off his back.
Anyone else?
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