UFC Fight Night 20

[zY|]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

Yes, but its worth it for me, in order to keep volatility down. Passing up these bets lets me make bigger bets on other fights without risking ruin.

I hear you.

That's why I keep my typical wagers on underdogs in the .25-.5u range. That way if I lose it's not a real big deal.

I'm going to go home and look at my bets for December and see if I am ahead or behind for the month for my underdog bets.

I know I'm ahead. I generally don't bet many dogs either but I've found two instances where betting dogs seems to be the way to go. Japanese MMA(Dream/Sengoku anyways) and TUF Finales. The latter is because guys get all hyped up because of a reality show that in no way reflects their skills and there are always gross inflations of lines. Look at the last one, didn't like 4 +200 or worse dogs come through? Also for TUF 9 I bet against James Wilks solely because everyone thought Damarques would win. Same with Nover/Efrain at TUF 8(I didn't bet this one though).

Japanese MMA is harder to gauge why it happens but dogs seem to win all the damn time. On Dynamite I made 5 dog bets and won 3 of them.

[SPX]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

I know I'm ahead. I generally don't bet many dogs either but I've found two instances where betting dogs seems to be the way to go. Japanese MMA(Dream/Sengoku anyways) and TUF Finales. The latter is because guys get all hyped up because of a reality show that in no way reflects their skills and there are always gross inflations of lines. Look at the last one, didn't like 4 +200 or worse dogs come through? Also for TUF 9 I bet against James Wilks solely because everyone thought Damarques would win. Same with Nover/Efrain at TUF 8(I didn't bet this one though).

That's an interesting thought. I will have to keep that in mind for the next TUF Finale.

Japanese MMA is harder to gauge why it happens but dogs seem to win all the damn time. On Dynamite I made 5 dog bets and won 3 of them.

Considering the fact that you went dog crazy on that event anyway, why didn't you bet Kanehara? I thought it was obvious that that line was off.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

I agree with your TUF theory. I think the fighters are so raw alot of times, you see a totally different fighter on teh Finale. Also, you get to see them fight when they actually know ahead of time who they are fighting.

I rarely bet on Japanese MMA, because I lose all the time when I do. So you are probably right there too.

[zY|]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

[quote=SPX]

I know I'm ahead. I generally don't bet many dogs either but I've found two instances where betting dogs seems to be the way to go. Japanese MMA(Dream/Sengoku anyways) and TUF Finales. The latter is because guys get all hyped up because of a reality show that in no way reflects their skills and there are always gross inflations of lines. Look at the last one, didn't like 4 +200 or worse dogs come through? Also for TUF 9 I bet against James Wilks solely because everyone thought Damarques would win. Same with Nover/Efrain at TUF 8(I didn't bet this one though).

That's an interesting thought. I will have to keep that in mind for the next TUF Finale.

Japanese MMA is harder to gauge why it happens but dogs seem to win all the damn time. On Dynamite I made 5 dog bets and won 3 of them.

Considering the fact that you went dog crazy on that event anyway, why didn't you bet Kanehara? I thought it was obvious that that line was off.[/quote:1k4qpsax]

Because I thought he was terrible to be honest.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

Unrelated:

When do you guys think the undercard lines will come out for UFN, since it is on a Monday? I am expecting them tomorrow... but I have to be somewhere all afternoon, so I am hoping they come out in the morning or not at all.

[SPX]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

Unrelated:

When do you guys think the undercard lines will come out for UFN, since it is on a Monday? I am expecting them tomorrow... but I have to be somewhere all afternoon, so I am hoping they come out in the morning or not at all.

I heard a rumor that WEC lines were expected to come out tomorrow so would guess we'll see the UFN lines as well.

Then again, it's just a rumor so who knows.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

+1 on the Tuf Underdogs. I rarely take dogs, but I had Bader over Vinny Magalese in that Finale.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

+1 on the Tuf Underdogs. I rarely take dogs, but I had Bader over Vinny Magalese in that Finale.

I also had CB Dolloway against Amir.

[zY|]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

Where's your fucking ninja?

[SPX]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

Where's your fucking ninja?

I was wondering the SAME fucking thing!

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

I will literally chinese-star your ass to DEATH.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

Nature boy > Ninjas

He figure-4'd Dudikoff into submission.

[SPX]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

Nature boy > Ninjas

He figure-4'd Dudikoff into submission.

Fucking blasphemy. . .

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

Nature boy is a can.

I am actually thinking about leaving this forum permanently after that.

Dudikoff would sai Flair in the aorta, and then rape nature boy's limp lifeless body over the turnbuckle in front of his family

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC Fight Night 20

Dudikoff cant cut a promo like this baby!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3J8HC-sxiaY