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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
The better question is how gunshy will Escudero be after almost getting his arm ripped off by Etim.
The better question is how gunshy will Escudero be after almost getting his arm ripped off by Etim.
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2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311u -
Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
You mean dunham...Originally posted by LudoCainComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
Him too, sorry, I always mix up Dunham and Etim.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
Got 1.25u to win 1u on Rampage, and 1.3u to win 1u on Sodollah so far.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
Why Sodollah?1 unit = 300 $Comment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
Sodollah is part of that system I talked about last week with anchors, journeymen, and wild cards for every division. Sodollah is My middleweight Wildcard and he hasn't failed Me yet. Not to mention I think he can handle anything Kim can throw at him. He has great success with leg kicks, and he mixes things up so much it's hard to get a time on when he's throwing it or where he's throwing it from. He is good at controlling the pace, and controlling the distance. His ground game is good enough I think to stay out of too much trouble if it ends up there.2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
I don't think Bisping will be that high. I'm guessing more in the -233 range, but it's hard to say. Both guys are coming off of losses to high level fighters.Originally posted by poopoo333I heart cockComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
Amir is a wwComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
Diego is -290 right now..... this won't last long. Do you guys think he is a good bet? I don't know enough about Hathaway.Comment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
I don't know a whole lot about Hathaway, but I did see his win against Rick Story. It was impressive enough. Story is no slouch.
My guess is Diego will be too experienced for him, but I'm not sure I'd bet him at -290. That's about a 74% chance to win, and who knows, Diego probably wins this one 3 out of 4 but Hathaway is undefeated and could surprise us.I heart cockComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
My gut is telling me it is a 5u play, but for Diego, a former LW #1 contender, and a former WW contender before the weight class drop....to be only -290 against a guy with only 2 notable wins against people who aren't even top 20...something has to be up. Maybe the oddsmakers know something we don't...OR it is just a horrible opening line. Diego opened at -588 at one book awhile back.Originally posted by SPXComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
You could be right.Originally posted by poopoo333
The thing about plays like this is that there's a lot of guess work. You're right that Hathaway only has two notable wins, but it could be that he only holds wins over fighters at that level because that's all that's been given him. It's kind of like how going into the Stevenson fight, Sotiropolous's best win was over George Roop or Jason Dent, take your pick. But then he comes in and dominates Stevenson who, as you say about Diego, is a former LW #1 contender.
So while Diego will more than likely win, and perhaps even handily, you gotta be willing to take the gamble.I heart cockComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
I know exactly what you mean. Just like JDS...huge underdog in his UFC debut, he beat a bunch of "nobodies" before the UFC...ended up winning by R1 KO. Then beats Struve. Then Cro Cop. Then Yvel. Then Gonzaga. I am sure people were counting JDS out before the Cro Cop fight because of "he fought nobodies in Brazil, got a fluke KO over an out of shape Werdum, and he beat a 21 year old". Turns out he is great. Hathaway can be the next "great" thing. I guess we'll see.Comment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
Yep, that's pretty much it, PP.
You can definitely make some money if you can get good at figuring those guys out early in their careers.I heart cockComment
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Re: Evans-Rampage UFC 114
I see that Rampage is now a very slight underdog on Pinnacle. That's surprising.
I already have 1.25u on him, but if he hits even or better on any of my books then I think I'll take him for another .5u. I think Rampage is going to win this one with his power and experience.I heart cockComment
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