UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

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  • Ipickdeeznuts2win
    Member
    • Feb 2010
    • 34

    #91
    Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

    Nice pics Triathlete. I just got one last night with Arlovski. He has been at AKA all last week and this week and training alot with Cain. I will post a pic later. I always get pics when at events or Vegas and I see fighters, but I don't get them at AKA normally because when you train there I guess it's not "cool". haha. I only go in the evenings so I usually only see the regulars like Fitch (always there), Kos, Swick (there the least), Cain (always there), the Punk, and local guys.

    So, all the good bets from last weekend basically evened me out from the loss on Nate. That one really stung. 111 doesn't have all that intriguing lines to me. I like Miller over Bocek but not at -400.

    Is it crazy that I feel comfortable just laying down a grip on GSP? I know it isn't the right method for a wanna-be smart profitable better but I mean he isn't going to lose. There is no way, and I am confident of it. If GSP hadn't been TKO'd by Serra they would have nothing to hype the fight with at all. Hardy KO'd Rory and has been to two split decisions with Davis and Gono and Gono is gone. He couldn't finish Swick, word was Swick took him lightly, and then Swick got finished in his next fight. There is like a 1% freak chance that Hardy pulls out the upset and I feel confident laying $700 to win $100. Am I crazy?

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    • zY|
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2009
      • 8385

      #92
      Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

      ^^You're not crazy. I won't do it because GSP could trip and fall on his way to the cage, but Hardy isn't beating him.

      The funny thing is, people use the Serra fight to say "look see! you can beat him!", when in reality it's the Serra fight that has turned him into the juggernaut he is today.

      People also come away from that fight with the wrong mindset. Instead of "oh GSP has a weak chin", I prefer to use that fight as proof that anyone can be beaten by anyone, at anytime.
      Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

      Comment

      • Mr. IWS
        215 Hustler
        • Sep 2006
        • 99903

        #93
        Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

        Originally posted by Ipickdeeznuts2win
        =There is like a 1% freak chance that Hardy pulls out the upset and I feel confident laying $700 to win $100. Am I crazy?
        Not at all. Im considering it too.

        Originally posted by zY|
        it's the Serra fight that has turned him into the juggernaut he is today.
        QFT
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        • triathlete
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2010
          • 294

          #94
          Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

          Originally posted by Ipickdeeznuts2win
          I only go in the evenings so I usually only see the regulars like Fitch (always there), Kos, Swick (there the least), Cain (always there), the Punk, and local guys.
          How's Fitch look? Alves really going to beat him?

          Comment

          • Ipickdeeznuts2win
            Member
            • Feb 2010
            • 34

            #95
            Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

            Originally posted by triathlete
            Originally posted by Ipickdeeznuts2win
            I only go in the evenings so I usually only see the regulars like Fitch (always there), Kos, Swick (there the least), Cain (always there), the Punk, and local guys.
            How's Fitch look? Alves really going to beat him?
            Fitch looks good. He is ALWAYS at the gym. It all depends on if he can implement the same game plan as GSP did, because clearly that is the way you beat him...with takedowns. I will be pulling for Fitch but lets just say I won't be putting any money that's for sure. Problem is that GSP could take down Alves easily but he had a pretty hard time holding him there, which really makes me question if Fitch can.

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            • Ipickdeeznuts2win
              Member
              • Feb 2010
              • 34

              #96
              Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

              Originally posted by IWS Zak
              Originally posted by Ipickdeeznuts2win
              =There is like a 1% freak chance that Hardy pulls out the upset and I feel confident laying $700 to win $100. Am I crazy?

              Not at all. Im considering it too.
              I noticed that the odds did get slightly better after the last primetime show with GSP and Hardy. I am guessing it probably makes the most sense to wait until after tomorrow when more people buy into the hype and bet on Hardy. You think they will get better after tomorrow?

              Comment

              • Mr. IWS
                215 Hustler
                • Sep 2006
                • 99903

                #97
                Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                I certainly hope so. I see he is -650 at sportsbook.com. I may lay that. Im desperate for some wins at this point in the year.
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                • Luke
                  10 year vet
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 30060

                  #98
                  Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                  GSP odds are just to high for me to touch . Looking at a couple boxing matches for this weekend
                  2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                  Comment

                  • SPX
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2009
                    • 23875

                    #99
                    Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                    Originally posted by Ipickdeeznuts2win
                    I noticed that the odds did get slightly better after the last primetime show with GSP and Hardy. I am guessing it probably makes the most sense to wait until after tomorrow when more people buy into the hype and bet on Hardy. You think they will get better after tomorrow?
                    I watched Primetime episodes 1 and 2 last night. Pretty good shit.

                    As for me, there's no damn way I'm taking GSP at those odds. The payout's just not even worth it, in my opinion. Risk 6.5 units to win 1? No thanks.
                    I heart cock

                    Comment

                    • zY|
                      Senior Member
                      • Sep 2009
                      • 8385

                      #100
                      Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                      Originally posted by SPX
                      Originally posted by Ipickdeeznuts2win
                      I noticed that the odds did get slightly better after the last primetime show with GSP and Hardy. I am guessing it probably makes the most sense to wait until after tomorrow when more people buy into the hype and bet on Hardy. You think they will get better after tomorrow?
                      I watched Primetime episodes 1 and 2 last night. Pretty good shit.

                      As for me, there's no damn way I'm taking GSP at those odds. The payout's just not even worth it, in my opinion. Risk 6.5 units to win 1? No thanks.
                      You can parlay GSP, Penn, and Silva on Bodog and get -200.

                      Just a thought.
                      Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

                      Comment

                      • SPX
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2009
                        • 23875

                        #101
                        Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                        Originally posted by zY|
                        You can parlay GSP, Penn, and Silva on Bodog and get -200.

                        Just a thought.
                        Thanks for the heads up. Definitely something to consider.

                        I actually have micro bets on Edgar and Maia, though. And considering your suggestion to take Hardy inside the distance, or possibly by KO/TKO.
                        I heart cock

                        Comment

                        • zY|
                          Senior Member
                          • Sep 2009
                          • 8385

                          #102
                          Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                          Originally posted by SPX
                          Originally posted by zY|
                          You can parlay GSP, Penn, and Silva on Bodog and get -200.

                          Just a thought.
                          Thanks for the heads up. Definitely something to consider.

                          I actually have micro bets on Edgar and Maia, though. And considering your suggestion to take Hardy inside the distance, or possibly by KO/TKO.
                          You have a bet on Edgar? I can see Maia and Hardy, as they actually have ways to win. I just can't see a way Edgar can win. I think he'll make a fight of it though.
                          Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

                          Comment

                          • SPX
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2009
                            • 23875

                            #103
                            Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                            Originally posted by zY|
                            You have a bet on Edgar? I can see Maia and Hardy, as they actually have ways to win. I just can't see a way Edgar can win. I think he'll make a fight of it though.
                            $5 just in case.

                            He's just the little engine that could. No one expected him to beat Griffin and he did. No one expected him to beat Sherk and did (soundly, I might add).

                            I don't expect him to beat Penn, but fuck it, who knows.
                            I heart cock

                            Comment

                            • zY|
                              Senior Member
                              • Sep 2009
                              • 8385

                              #104
                              Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                              LOL.

                              Touche'
                              Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

                              Comment

                              • poopoo333
                                MMA *********
                                • Jan 2010
                                • 18302

                                #105
                                Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

                                My only play will be 3u on Palhares @-240.

                                The rest of the fights on the main card are too risky, and there is nothing else appealing on the undercard.

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