UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

My only play will be 3u on Palhares @-240.

The rest of the fights on the main card are too risky, and there is nothing else appealing on the undercard.

I have 5u on Palhares as well.

I am waiting for the line on Pelligrino. I will probably take Pelligrino up to -220 or so.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

I am waiting for the line on Pelligrino. I will probably take Pelligrino up to -220 or so.

Pellegrino line is up and he's under -220. . .

[SPX]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Okay, I'm on the Palhares bandwagon, too.

2.5u. Actually tempted to go heavier, but fuck Drwal hits hard and Palhares proved in the Horn fight that his defense isn't perfect.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Just took Pellegrino for 2u @ -165.

I rewatched his fights with Diaz and Emerson, and watched Camoes' fight with Uno.

I think that on the feet Pellegrino will be able to stand toe to toe with Camoes and at least keep the fight even if not win the standup. On the ground, Pellegrino should have the edge. Camoes' wrestling wasn't great against Uno and he also was noticeably slowing down in the second and third rounds. I think Pellegrino will be able to stand on top of him and work him. My one concern is that 3 of Pellegrino's 4 losses have come by sub so his sub defense obviously isn't excellent, so I'm banking on him being able to stay out of trouble.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

I have almost decided I'm not betting UFC this weekend .I think I have found two or three boxing plays that have a higher probability to win than anything I may bet in the UFC

[SPX]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

I have almost decided I'm not betting UFC this weekend .I think I have found two or three boxing plays that have a higher probability to win than anything I may bet in the UFC

I thought you were going to be on Fitch, especially at +135.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

I have almost decided I'm not betting UFC this weekend .I think I have found two or three boxing plays that have a higher probability to win than anything I may bet in the UFC

I thought you were going to be on Fitch, especially at +135.

I was/am going to take Fitch and Carwin but I'm just not sure on either of them. Alves looked alot better vs GSP than Fitch did and GSP had problems holding Alves down so what does that mean for Fitch ? GSP showed how to beat Alves just take him down and try to blanket him but wasnt able to hold him down and GSP is stronger and a better wrestler than Fitch. I still think Fitch wins but I think its a toss up the more I look at it. I think being 3 rounds helps Alves more than Fitch.

If I do end up betting this weekend it will probably be Carwin only

[SPX]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

I was/am going to take Fitch and Carwin but I'm just not sure on either of them. Alves looked alot better vs GSP than Fitch did and GSP had problems holding Alves down so what does that mean for Fitch ? GSP showed how to beat Alves just take him down and try to blanket him but wasnt able to hold him down and GSP is stronger and a better wrestler than Fitch. I still think Fitch wins but I think its a toss up the more I look at it. I think being 3 rounds helps Alves more than Fitch.

If I do end up betting this weekend it will probably be Carwin only

I have concerns, too. I already have 1.25u on Fitch at -115. Obviously I wish I had waited now, but I didn't anticipate the line moving as it has.

As for Carwin, I already have him locked in for a unit at +150. Glad I got that price when I could.

[zY|]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Eddie Bravo predicts Hardy to win by cutting GSP with elbows from the rubber guard.

http://g4tv.com/attackoftheshow/exclusi ... Picks.html

[Luke]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Eddie Bravo predicts Hardy to win by cutting GSP with elbows from the rubber guard.

http://g4tv.com/attackoftheshow/exclusi ... Picks.html

Thats enough for me :


ALL IN on Hardy

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Eddie Bravo predicts Hardy to win by cutting GSP with elbows from the rubber guard.

http://g4tv.com/attackoftheshow/exclusi ... Picks.html

How many bowls did he smoke before that prediction?

Was Rogan blowing him at that time????

Does Hardy even know what a rubber guard is????????

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Just took Pellegrino for 2u @ -165.

I rewatched his fights with Diaz and Emerson, and watched Camoes' fight with Uno.

I think that on the feet Pellegrino will be able to stand toe to toe with Camoes and at least keep the fight even if not win the standup. On the ground, Pellegrino should have the edge. Camoes' wrestling wasn't great against Uno and he also was noticeably slowing down in the second and third rounds. I think Pellegrino will be able to stand on top of him and work him. My one concern is that 3 of Pellegrino's 4 losses have come by sub so his sub defense obviously isn't excellent, so I'm banking on him being able to stay out of trouble.

I took Pelligrino for 3u @ -167


I think it will be a close fight, but Pelligrino has teh advantage of deciding where the fight takes place. Pelligrino just has to beat him in one area, while Camoes has to beat Pelligrino in both. I think Batman will win a top control special.

His defense is not perfect, but he is a legit blackbelt. He gasses a little bit and get gets caught.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Ellenberger is as high as +148. I wonder how far it will climb. I'm pretty sure if I can get +150 then I'll at least drop .5u on him.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Ok, I am also taking Pellegrino for 2 units. I like his odds in thise one, -165 is nice, and I can only assume they will get worse.

Going to try and find some Ellenberger/Saunders footage... I am leaning towards Saunders.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 111 odds / Discussion / Bets

Ok, I am also taking Pellegrino for 2 units. I like his odds in thise one, -165 is nice, and I can only assume they will get worse.

Going to try and find some Ellenberger/Saunders footage... I am leaning towards Saunders.

Go watch Ellenberger/Condit and then watch him destroy Mike Pyle.

I don't know if Ellenberger will win this fight, but he's a bad ass for sure.