WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

[SPX]

Should be some great fights on this one. A few thoughts:


Bowles VS Cruz

AWESOME matchup. Bowles is unbeaten and is one of the few BW fighters who has real knockout power. It's also obvious that he's physically strong and can handle himself no matter where the fight goes. Torres has pretty much dominated every fight he's been in in the WEC, but there wasn't really a single moment during his fight with Bowles that he was in control. Cruz, on the other hand, has only lost to Faber. He doesn't have Bowles KO power, but he sets a ferocious pace and pretty much overwhelmed Benavidez from start to finish in his last fight.

I sense an upset coming. I'd probably go ahead and take Bowles at -135 or better, but at good underdog odds I'm thinking Cruz might surprise us.


Torres VS Benavidez

I really think Torres is going to do the same thing to Benavidez that Cruz did. His pace is similar and he also has the same build, and I think that Cruz's height really gave Benavidez trouble in their fight. I expect Torres to either win a 30-27 UD or get a stoppage. I like Torres all the way up to -200 if not beyond.


Pulver VS Vasquez

I will be honest and go ahead and say that I have never seen Vasquez fight. I only know that he has lost his last two by SD. Pulver hasn't looked great in his last couple of fights, but goddamn it I want him to win this one and if he comes out at good odds then I'm sure I'll at least throw .5u on him just out of loyalty.


Still doing more research so I may have more thoughts on the rest of the card in a few days.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

You know my feelings on the WEC... but I am trying to be a little looser.

I am looking @ Courtney Buck vs. Fredson Paixao- Paixao to win

and Jorgensen should be a lock.

If the odds are right on either or both of those, I am going to make a play.


I agree that Cruz could win that, though I am not betting it.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I have been looking at this card and theres no way imo Bowles will be -135 .I was thinking closer to -300 but maybe I'm crzy

[SPX]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I have been looking at this card and theres no way imo Bowles will be -135 .I was thinking closer to -300 but maybe I'm crzy

Have you seen Cruz fight?

If Bowles is -300 then that should be Cruz around +220 and I would completely be all over Cruz at that price. I'll just say that I only hope you're right, Luke.

[SPX]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I am looking @ Courtney Buck vs. Fredson Paixao- Paixao to win

and Jorgensen should be a lock.

Jorgensen fucked up my bet on Mizugaki last time around.

I'll have to look at these fights. The problem for me and the WEC is that a lot of times you can't find the fights so it's really difficult to do research.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I have been looking at this card and theres no way imo Bowles will be -135 .I was thinking closer to -300 but maybe I'm crzy

Have you seen Cruz fight?

If Bowles is -300 then that should be Cruz around +220 and I would completely be all over Cruz at that price. I'll just say that I only hope you're right, Luke.

i could be way off .I'll be the first to admit I dont know much about WEC and have mostly just watched videos on the fighters

[MMA_scientist]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I am looking @ Courtney Buck vs. Fredson Paixao- Paixao to win

and Jorgensen should be a lock.

Jorgensen fucked up my bet on Mizugaki last time around.

I'll have to look at these fights. The problem for me and the WEC is that a lot of times you can't find the fights so it's really difficult to do research.

I expect Jorgenson to be a massive favorite- probably at least -350.

Buck is like Houston Alexander junior. Paixao is a bjj guy. It is possible for Buck to KO him in the opening minute, but if he does not do so, he will lose. I think the line will be closer, but still pretty steep. I will be on Paixao for anything under -200 for sure though.

[SPX]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

Odds up!

[SPX]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I went ahead and took Cruz for .75u @ +235.

Hesitant to pull the trigger on Torres at that price, even though I do think he will win.

Kind of hoping that Pulver will be pushed into underdog territory.

[Thewiseman]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

All my bookmaker money is on Anderson Silva. I have to wait for 5 dimes. At current odds, all I like is Vasquez and Roop, maybe Koch.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I went ahead and took Cruz for .75u @ +235.

Hesitant to pull the trigger on Torres at that price, even though I do think he will win.

Kind of hoping that Pulver will be pushed into underdog territory.

Pulver is the dog now. Bowles opened at -310 so I guess I wasnt crazy

[zY|]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I don't know who half of these guys are.

[Luke]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I don't know who half of these guys are.

you and me both

[Mr. IWS]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I usually do horrible betting the WEC, but Torres may be a play for me.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: WEC 47: Bowles VS Cruz

I usually avoid these events as well, but I am trying to loosen up a little.

Pulled the trigger on Jorgenson @ -390 for 5u- I simply see no way for buck to win.


I am thinking about Cruz at those odds... Paixao came in a lot higher than I expected. I thought he would be like -230, so I am gonna wait there.