UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    #151
    Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

    Guillard sucks.
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • poopoo333
      MMA *********
      • Jan 2010
      • 18302

      #152
      Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

      Originally posted by MMA_scientist
      Guillard sucks.
      You have to be good to lunge off the fence into a perfect guillotine

      Comment

      • poopoo333
        MMA *********
        • Jan 2010
        • 18302

        #153
        Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

        Final plays:

        3u on Nelson @-300
        3u on Florian @-280
        0.5u on Linhares @+390
        1u on Volkmann @+190
        3u on Winner @ -180

        Comment

        • zY|
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2009
          • 8385

          #154
          Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

          Originally posted by MMA_scientist
          Guillard sucks.
          nou
          Triple-six killers in this motherfucker runnin shit

          Comment

          • SPX
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2009
            • 23875

            #155
            Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

            Originally posted by zY|
            ^^i think that's more a reflection on Guillards improvements than it is on Torres. I was impressed with him. I think this fight goes to a decision and could see it either way.
            I agree. Guillard has looked better than ever. He beat Tibau (by a razor thin margin, admittedly) and beat Torres. True, he got choked out by Diaz, but BJJ is Diaz's thing.
            I heart cock

            Comment

            • SPX
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2009
              • 23875

              #156
              Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

              Originally posted by MMA_scientist
              Guillard sucks.
              Lame.
              I heart cock

              Comment

              • poopoo333
                MMA *********
                • Jan 2010
                • 18302

                #157
                Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                SHIT!

                Volkmann is at @ +220 right now and I figured he would get worse then +190 when I took him.

                Comment

                • Ludo
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2010
                  • 4931

                  #158
                  Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                  Final plays... Again

                  5u parlay to win 8u on Florian, Nelson, and Okami
                  2.7u to win 5.6u on Uno
                  2u to win 1.4u on Lentz
                  1u to win 2u on Volkman
                  2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                  Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                  Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                  Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                  2012: +20.311u

                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    #159
                    Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                    Originally posted by SPX
                    Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                    Guillard sucks.
                    Lame.
                    What? He does.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                    Comment

                    • Luke
                      10 year vet
                      • Oct 2006
                      • 30060

                      #160
                      Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                      Just my opinion but the Florian line is too high.Gomi maynot be the guy he once was but how good is Florian?
                      Everyone say he #2 to Penn but what does that really mean? Is Gomi a better wrestler?Is Gomi stronger and going to be able to out muscle Florian? I think theres to many ifs to lay -300 .I dont lay that kind of line unless I'm sure of something.I also think the Roy line is too inflated but believe Roy has a better shot at winning the Flo
                      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        #161
                        Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                        Originally posted by Luke
                        Just my opinion but the Florian line is too high.Gomi maynot be the guy he once was but how good is Florian?
                        Everyone say he #2 to Penn but what does that really mean? Is Gomi a better wrestler?Is Gomi stronger and going to be able to out muscle Florian? I think theres to many ifs to lay -300 .I dont lay that kind of line unless I'm sure of something.I also think the Roy line is too inflated but believe Roy has a better shot at winning the Flo
                        I agree a little on the Florian line... but I don't really know what advantage Gomi brings to the fight. I think he will get beaten up no matter where the fight goes.

                        I expect it to be close for about 3 minutes until Florian figures him out and then beats him silly in rd. 2.


                        I feel big country still has value. I see no real way for Struve to win. How can Struve win? I think Hardy was more likely to beat GSP than Struve is to beat Roy.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • Ludo
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 4931

                          #162
                          Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                          Yeah, Gomi has nowhere to bring this fight that is "his world" compared to Florian. As far as Nelson goes, Struve is dead in the water here. Nelson isn't Buentello and doesn't gas out near as fast. He has one shot KO power, and a great ground game with a ton of experience. Struve is literally being fed to Nelson at this point.
                          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                          2012: +20.311u

                          Comment

                          • Mr. IWS
                            215 Hustler
                            • Sep 2006
                            • 99903

                            #163
                            Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                            Strategy for Struve Tommorow night?

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                            Comment

                            • Luke
                              10 year vet
                              • Oct 2006
                              • 30060

                              #164
                              Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                              Most everyone said Connen had "no chance" against Marquardt and laid between -300 and -375.

                              I might be too conservative but for me to lay -300 or more I have to truely believe a guy has no chance and for me think someone has no chance is has to be a GSP-Hardy type fight but most of them arent -300 anymore.Now if you really think a guy has no chance then its a good beat but if you have a lot of ifs then its not.I have a bunch of ifs on this fight so its a no bet for me

                              Maybe I'm just too chicken or just too conservative but I just dont like laying alot of juice
                              2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                              Comment

                              • Luke
                                10 year vet
                                • Oct 2006
                                • 30060

                                #165
                                Re: UFN 3/31 odds/discussion

                                Originally posted by IWS Zak
                                Strategy for Struve Tommorow night?



                                2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                                Comment

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