If this is your first visit, be sure to
check out the FAQ by clicking the
link above. You may have to register
before you can post: click the register link above to proceed. To start viewing messages,
select the forum that you want to visit from the selection below.
I will say this, Lesnar is not going to be able to ride Carwin. Carwin might not be as good a wrestler as Brock, but he is good enough to not get ridded for a long time. If Carwin gets battered on the mat, it is because he made a tactical mistake and tried to go to guard of something. If he gives his back and stands up, like I think all HW's should, he won't be getting held down for long.
Throw in Brock's lay off, illness, and stupid haircut, and I am starting to like Carwin more and more.
Brock's major path to victory should be blocked here. The only issue is that Carwin could easily run out of gas trying to stand up and escape the clinch.
At the same time though Carwins path to victory is blocked as well. Lesnar isn't stupid. As shown in the second Mir fight he does know how to train for an opponent's skill set. Also, Lesnar doesn't have as big a reach as many people think. The flaw in the 84" span comes in the system in which they use to measure it. They do a total wingspan measure for some stupid reason in MMA instead of armpit to knuckles like they should(since thats the part that matters). Anyway, they go across the chest from hand to hand. Because Lesnar has the chest of Mr Universe it skews the numbers a little bit. However what we do know is Lesnar can also throw a hell of a straight right. Carwin got wobbled and rocked by two right hands from Gonzaga, I'm pretty Sure Lesnar could rock him and take him down in the same fashion. That being said I think Lesnar will look to clinch him up and transition to a takedown that way.
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
Brock is still hyped too much IMO, and that's why he's getting favorite odds. Without his hype, the odds would be much more even and I think having Shane at over +150 is a steal. He will show everyone why he is undefeated and why he will stay undefeated after this fight.
Brown can't strike with Lytle but he has a much better ground game. If he can take Lytle down(which I believe he can, since Lytle has a tendency to over-commit to strikes at times) then he should be able to sub him after some position battling, or ride out a decision.
2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
Comment