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^^ its really weird what fights people decide to bet on. I wish there was a site that showed how much action each fight gets. I would find that really interesting.
So I am done betting for ufc 113, here are my bets as follows.....
.5 u to win 1.75 u on Grant
4u to win 3.5 u on Lawlor, Davis, Hague
.5u to win 3u on Mitrione, Belcher, Stout, Kos
.5 to win .45u Mitrione
.5 to win 3.5 daley and shogun( did this along time ago)
.5U to win .75u alvarez, leites, kos
.5 to win 5u on shogun to win in rd 2 LOL! couldnt resist at +1000
Ok. My "real plays" are:
1u on Shogun @+160
5u on Koscheck (3u@-250, 2u@-245)
3u on Stout @-190
2u on Belcher @-120
3u on Hague @-250
2u on Hendricks, Yoshida, and Lawlor @-103
0.5u on Kimbo via submission @+2200
Those are from my bankroll.
From my spare cash:
$255 to win $100 on Koscheck... uh oh
$20 to win $126.37 on parlay: Hendricks, Lawlor, Davis, Yoshida, Hague, Koscheck, Stout ...double uh oh
$5 to win Shogun has quickest TKO/KO to win $125
$5 to win Koscheck has quickest TKO/KO to win $50
$5 to win Davis has quickest TKO/KO to win $20
$5 to win Lawlor has quickest TKO/KO to win $60
$5 to win Hague has quickest TKO/KO to win $80
I think ONE of those quickest TKO/KO ones will hit. It will all be profitable in the end (unless Davis gets it, which I expect him to which will only be $5 loss)
^^ its really weird what fights people decide to bet on. I wish there was a site that showed how much action each fight gets. I would find that really interesting.
you talking to wiseman?
there are sites that show how much action is on NFL,NBA,and MLB games but none for MMA that I know of
Koscheck represents the best value that is fairly certain. There is too much on the line with the TUF show and a title shot habging in the balance. Koscheck is going to fight smart.
Lawlor and Hendricks odds are too steep. Koscheck is just as secure as Hendricks IMO. Grant has some outs in that fight. Go watch the fight where he obliterates come guy with knees from the clinch. Then watch Hendricks shoot in with his head down. Also, grant is the best submission guys Hendricks has faced. Hendricks is going to win, but Grant has a few outs.
Lawlor is a lock though. If you are looking for an out and out winner, regardless of odds: Lawlor.
Thanks for the feedback.
I just can't do Kos. I already have .75u on Daley and I gotta stick by that. Daley's one-punch power is just too dangerous for me to hop on that bandwagon, especially after seeing Kos get floored by Paulo Thiago. You may be right that he is going to play it safe, because that's exactly what he'll HAVE to do. He WILL NOT survive on the feet with Daley, barring some crazy flukey punch.
It sucks that everyone's odds are just fucking TERRIBLE.
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