UFC 113

[Ipickdeeznuts2win]

Re: UFC 113

Finally able to talk about betting again haha. It has taken awhile to recover from pretty massive loss I had with Penn. I lost all my winnings from the last 6 months which definitely sucks ass. But I will use it as a hard lesson learned. I said I wouldn't put all my eggs in one basket after the GSP/Hardy fight, but I did, and I lost so shame on me.

With that behind me.....

I thinking:

Hendricks - 5U - I really like strong wrestlers because if something isn't going their way (King Mo gassing in the first) they can always go to their bread and butter. Hendricks by TKO

Davis - 5U - I have no idea why Goulet is still in the UFC but Poopoo had it on the money with the KO by touching glove...although he could be full of shit..ba dum dum..Davis by KO/TKO

Lawlor - 5U - Put a clinic on A-train (again a wrestler reverting to bread and butter when not going his way) and Tim is no wrestler to go to TD's when Lawlor starts pounding. Not to mention Tim lost his last fight to Nate and you see how bad Nate was against Jorge. Lawlor by TKO

and possibly Kos - 2U - This is a tough one because who knows if Kos will use his wrestling or not. He stood for a bit with AJ and that was scary, but used his wrestling / sub to win that fight. Daley has known for a while now that his glaring weakness has been TD defense and his ground game, but from what I understand he has worked extremely hard in the TD defense area. I still believe Kos could take him down, but Kos's cocky "I'm not scared to stand with you" mixed with his suspect chin and Daley's improved TD defense I will probably stay away.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

Solid picks nuts. I was serious about the Goulet/Davis fight by the way , but I will probably not bet on it. I bet Davis is going to be a very steep favorite to be honest so I may stay away.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

Ok I have been looking at Cote/Belcher. Cote's resume isn't too impressive leading up to the Silva fight. He beat Scott Smith (UFC reject), Jason Day (UFC reject), Kendall Grove (Has been close to being a UFC reject and he was hit flush with a very powerful right hand), Mcfedries (lost 5 of his last 8, and I think a UFC reject), and a very close split decision over Almeida in a pretty lackluster fight. He is coming off a very long layoff. He has had pretty severe injuries.

Belcher looks good on the feet but he gets stupid sometimes and ends up on his back (I don't think this will be a factor in the upcoming fight though) and gets into reckless brawls. His defense on the feet is kind of meh... He was tagged A LOT by Gouviea in the exchanges, and Kang was hitting him pretty well too on the feet. It showed his good chin, but I am pretty sure Cote has more power then Gouviea and Kang. But, I think Belcher should win this, especially given the circumstances of Cote's layoff.

Before I place my bet...do you guys think that Cote fighting in his hometown matters at all?

[SPX]

Re: UFC 113

Before I place my bet...do you guys think that Cote fighting in his hometown matters at all?

Seems to me that hometown fighting can go either way. It can give a fighter mental strength, but it can also add a lot of pressure.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 113

Ok I have been looking at Cote/Belcher. Cote's resume isn't too impressive leading up to the Silva fight. He beat Scott Smith (UFC reject), Jason Day (UFC reject), Kendall Grove (Has been close to being a UFC reject and he was hit flush with a very powerful right hand), Mcfedries (lost 5 of his last 8, and I think a UFC reject), and a very close split decision over Almeida in a pretty lackluster fight. He is coming off a very long layoff. He has had pretty severe injuries.

Belcher looks good on the feet but he gets stupid sometimes and ends up on his back (I don't think this will be a factor in the upcoming fight though) and gets into reckless brawls. His defense on the feet is kind of meh... He was tagged A LOT by Gouviea in the exchanges, and Kang was hitting him pretty well too on the feet. It showed his good chin, but I am pretty sure Cote has more power then Gouviea and Kang. But, I think Belcher should win this, especially given the circumstances of Cote's layoff.

Before I place my bet...do you guys think that Cote fighting in his hometown matters at all?

Hometown COULD play a factor here. But I think Belchers wicked kicks are going to play a much bigger part. If I'm a kickboxer as proficient as Belcher I'm targeting that leg all night.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

Before I place my bet...do you guys think that Cote fighting in his hometown matters at all?

Seems to me that hometown fighting can go either way. It can give a fighter mental strength, but it can also add a lot of pressure.

I am having a brain fart right now trying to think of fighters who fought in their hometown. I can only think back to UFC 102 right now... Couture/Leben both lost in Oregon. Franklin lost to Silva in his hometown (but that is Silva). That is all I can think of


Ludo:
"But I think Belchers wicked kicks are going to play a much bigger part. If I'm a kickboxer as proficient as Belcher I'm targeting that leg all night."

Very good point. I can't believe I didn't think of that.

[Ipickdeeznuts2win]

Re: UFC 113

Ok I have been looking at Cote/Belcher. Cote's resume isn't too impressive leading up to the Silva fight. He beat Scott Smith (UFC reject), Jason Day (UFC reject), Kendall Grove (Has been close to being a UFC reject and he was hit flush with a very powerful right hand), Mcfedries (lost 5 of his last 8, and I think a UFC reject), and a very close split decision over Almeida in a pretty lackluster fight. He is coming off a very long layoff. He has had pretty severe injuries.

Belcher looks good on the feet but he gets stupid sometimes and ends up on his back (I don't think this will be a factor in the upcoming fight though) and gets into reckless brawls. His defense on the feet is kind of meh... He was tagged A LOT by Gouviea in the exchanges, and Kang was hitting him pretty well too on the feet. It showed his good chin, but I am pretty sure Cote has more power then Gouviea and Kang. But, I think Belcher should win this, especially given the circumstances of Cote's layoff.

Before I place my bet...do you guys think that Cote fighting in his hometown matters at all?

I have seen alot of Cote lately in the hype vids training and sparring with GSP if that makes any difference. His losses are mostly subs and wins by TKO/KO. Should be a close fight but I would def lean towards Belcher in this due to activity and opponents, but I wouldn't put any $$ on it

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

2u on Belcher @-120.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 113

2u on Belcher @-120.

Belcher for the fucking win!

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 113

Added a .6u to win 1u on Jeremy Stephens

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 113

I am having a brain fart right now trying to think of fighters who fought in their hometown.

I remember dropping 2 units on betting against George Sotroropoulous a few events back. He was in his home country, if that counts.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 113

Jay, I like it all.

I am going Lawlor up to -350 for 5 or 6. Hendricks probably smaller like 3-4 up to -300. And I am still thinking about Koscheck, who I think wins 9/10 if he uses his wrestling. But I do think Kos can stand for a little while with Daley, so I will probably do it.

I do not have any confidence in Davis. Goulet is terrible, but every once and while, he all of the sudden looks like he can fight. Davis will probably KO him, but I am not betting it.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 113

I think as of now, I will just be on Kos.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

Jay, I like it all.

I am going Lawlor up to -350 for 5 or 6. Hendricks probably smaller like 3-4 up to -300. And I am still thinking about Koscheck, who I think wins 9/10 if he uses his wrestling. But I do think Kos can stand for a little while with Daley, so I will probably do it.

I do not have any confidence in Davis. Goulet is terrible, but every once and while, he all of the sudden looks like he can fight. Davis will probably KO him, but I am not betting it.

I don't think Hendricks will be -300. He will most likely be higher. A lot of people think he is going to win.

[MMA_scientist]

Re: UFC 113

Jay, I like it all.

I am going Lawlor up to -350 for 5 or 6. Hendricks probably smaller like 3-4 up to -300. And I am still thinking about Koscheck, who I think wins 9/10 if he uses his wrestling. But I do think Kos can stand for a little while with Daley, so I will probably do it.

I do not have any confidence in Davis. Goulet is terrible, but every once and while, he all of the sudden looks like he can fight. Davis will probably KO him, but I am not betting it.

I don't think Hendricks will be -300. He will most likely be higher. A lot of people think he is going to win.

yeah it is probably wishful thinking. The cat is out of the bag on Hendricks. After this fight, he should get a step up in competition. I would love to see him fight Hardy or Daley coming off of their losses, he would beat either and would really help his hype train.