UFC 113

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

Final Plays:
1u on Shogun @+160
5u on Koscheck (3u@-250, 2u@-245)
3u on Stout @-190
2u on Belcher @-120
3u on Hague @-250
2u on Hendricks, Yoshida, and Lawlor @-103
0.5u on Kimbo via submission @+2200

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 113

Ill be on Kos and Hague, thats about it for me. Each for 1 unit.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 113

Leaning towards Machida and Mitrione as well.

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 113

Mitrione I am hoping will get a line closer to right after he opened. At one point he was a +125 and I waited thinking people would be all over Kimbo's nuts and drive the line up to about +145-150 and I'd take him then. Instead he plummeted to -115 which kind of blows. I hope he's a dog again come fight night, I'll add a unit on him if he is.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 113

^^^ He actually opened at +160. That was the time to jump!

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 113

I never saw it that high, unfortunately. I would have jumped on it for 3u if I had. He's about an 80% lock to win this fight in My mind. His chin is good enough to stay out of alot of trouble, his bottom game on the ground kind of sucks but it kept Big Baby from locking up a sub so it's at least average, and average would be good enough to neutralize Kimbo. Kimbo's only hope here would be a slugfest. A slugfest always favors the bigger fighter.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 113

I took Mitrione for .5u at +160 right when the line opens, so I hope you're right about the 80%.

The reason I didn't go higher is because, odd as it is, Kimbo is actually the more experienced guy here.

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

I kind of want to deposit money in my account tomorrow to bet on one fight... I am thinking $100 on Shogun, or $245 to win $100 on Koscheck. Then withdraw my winnings if things goes well. hmmmm


OR if I do that and win, I will have a bigger bank roll...bigger bank roll=bigger units=bigger profit in the long run

[Ludo]

Re: UFC 113

yeah Kimbo is the more experienced fighter, but he's undersized for the division and the guy he's fighting is still another heavyweight who cuts to 265 and likes to throw heavy hands. As long as Mitrione doesn't gas out he should win this fight.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 113

OR if I do that and win, I will have a bigger bank roll...bigger bank roll=bigger units=bigger profit in the long run

This is the one, right here. You gotta look at this like a marathon, not a sprint.

I started betting on MMA about a year ago, and I have never once withdrawn money.

[Luke]

Re: UFC 113

yeah Kimbo is the more experienced fighter, but he's undersized for the division and the guy he's fighting is still another heavyweight who cuts to 265 and likes to throw heavy hands. As long as Mitrione doesn't gas out he should win this fight.

What if Kimbo goes straight for a takedown to start the fight?

No way Mitrione wins this fight 80% of the time imo.Heck I dont even think he'll win

[poopoo333]

Re: UFC 113

OR if I do that and win, I will have a bigger bank roll...bigger bank roll=bigger units=bigger profit in the long run

This is the one, right here. You gotta look at this like a marathon, not a sprint.

I started betting on MMA about a year ago, and I have never once withdrawn money.

I don't have the spare cash to spill on Hendricks or Lawlor, unless I go for a parlay wish will be -200. I don't know, I may just go for Koscheck at -245 after I get paid tomorrow night. Maybe his price will get lower

[SPX]

Re: UFC 113

I don't have the spare cash to spill on Hendricks or Lawlor, unless I go for a parlay wish will be -200. I don't know, I may just go for Koscheck at -245 after I get paid tomorrow night. Maybe his price will get lower

My opinion on this isn't popular around here, but I would be careful on Kos. I think the chance of Daley landing that big shot is too great to bet on Kos at that line. Yes, Kos has all the tools to win this fight, and I expect him to win, but I still took Daley for .5u when I could get him for +260.

For me to bet on Kos in this one, I'd probably need -200 or better.

[Mr. IWS]

Re: UFC 113

Im thinking (hoping) that the Mitrione gameplan, is to use leg kicks, to keep Kimbo at bay, and wear him out a bit.

Lets not forget, he got swept karate kid style by Houston with a leg kick, and Houston was throwing fade away kicks the whole fight. I dont even remember Kimbo checking any kicks, he was just taking them. Also, Kimbo got gassed out big time and all he really did was wrestle around a bit with the smaller fighter, and chase him around. Wrestling (I wont call it grappling) with Mitrione is going to be a hell of a lot more taxing on his questionable tank.

I just home Mitrione dont get scared like everyone else seems to be against Kimbo, save for James Thompson.

[SPX]

Re: UFC 113

Also, Kimbo got gassed out big time and all he really did was wrestle around a bit with the smaller fighter, and chase him around. Wrestling (I wont call it grappling) with Mitrione is going to be a hell of a lot more taxing on his questionable tank.

Don't underestimate the power of the Kimboplex!