UFC 126 Feb 5

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  • edman5555
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2010
    • 6628

    Akiyama has the tools to beat Mardquardt..he just has to actually give a shit about fighting. If that happens he can win. It should be something to look out for, some reliable word that Akiyama is actually training.
    1 unit = 300 $

    Comment

    • edman5555
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2010
      • 6628

      Maybe we should start a ROCK bets forum where we put all the fights we see down the road that we feel super confident in. Not Locks, but Rocks if you know what I mean. Just put in guys we think are def going to win and all argue about why. Then if we agree, bet it big.
      1 unit = 300 $

      Comment

      • Thewisemann
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2010
        • 1989

        Jones, Machida, and GSP

        Comment

        • edman5555
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2010
          • 6628

          Yeah I was thinking that as well.
          1 unit = 300 $

          Comment

          • Svino
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2010
            • 3873

            I'm already on Machida and GSP. I think I'm going to stay away from Jones / Bader.

            Comment

            • Thewisemann
              Senior Member
              • Feb 2010
              • 1989

              I have 9.6u on Jones. I have 5.1u on Machida but will go heavier close to fight time. But my remaining roll will go on GSP, and I will also be depositing money to bet him as well. I plan on 50-100u on GSP. Rare opportunity to make some 99% guaranteed coin.

              Comment

              • Ludo
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2010
                • 4931

                Originally posted by Thewisemann
                I have 9.6u on Jones. I have 5.1u on Machida but will go heavier close to fight time. But my remaining roll will go on GSP, and I will also be depositing money to bet him as well. I plan on 50-100u on GSP. Rare opportunity to make some 99% guaranteed coin.
                Not tryinng to be a dick or anything but does the term "miracle on ice" mean anything to you?
                2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                2012: +20.311u

                Comment

                • Luke
                  10 year vet
                  • Oct 2006
                  • 30060

                  Originally posted by LudoCain
                  Not tryinng to be a dick or anything but does the term "miracle on ice" mean anything to you?
                  Or Matt Serra
                  2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    Serra had punching power, so he could end the fight with one shot. The only way Shields wins this is by taking GSP down and holding him there repeatedly. He could pull out a crazy submission, but Shields is not really a submission wizard either. He is more of a control guy, though he obviously has some subs. It is possible, but I have to concur, it is extremely unlikely. GSP is pretty close to a lock.
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                    Comment

                    • Luke
                      10 year vet
                      • Oct 2006
                      • 30060

                      Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                      Serra had punching power, so he could end the fight with one shot. The only way Shields wins this is by taking GSP down and holding him there repeatedly. He could pull out a crazy submission, but Shields is not really a submission wizard either. He is more of a control guy, though he obviously has some subs. It is possible, but I have to concur, it is extremely unlikely. GSP is pretty close to a lock.

                      I didnt mean Shields was goign to KO GSP it was more anything can happen. GSP could fall and break his arm or leg, he could get caught like Fedor did my point is you should never bet more on a fight than you can recover from.

                      What happens if GSP losses and he losses 100 units ? How many years would that take to rebuild ?
                      2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP


                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        Oh, yeah, anything could happen. I am not saying it is a good idea. Just that Shields is going to have to out wrestle him for several rounds, he doesn't have a lot of outs.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • Thewisemann
                          Senior Member
                          • Feb 2010
                          • 1989

                          Originally posted by Luke
                          I didnt mean Shields was goign to KO GSP it was more anything can happen. GSP could fall and break his arm or leg, he could get caught like Fedor did my point is you should never bet more on a fight than you can recover from.

                          What happens if GSP losses and he losses 100 units ? How many years would that take to rebuild ?
                          I would be out of commissoin for 3-4 months.

                          Comment

                          • Ludo
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 4931

                            Originally posted by Thewisemann
                            I would be out of commissoin for 3-4 months.
                            We need to start tailing this guy!
                            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                            2012: +20.311u

                            Comment

                            • edman5555
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 6628

                              Yeah thats crazy but if you win I will envy you. I wouldn't put your entire bankroll on it though. That's kind of crazy. Why take it that far? If you want to do something crazy do 50 percent of it. Or maybe a little more. At least leave yourself with something if GSP loses. It's not impossible for Jake to Sub Georges. Anyone remember George trying to armbar Dan Hardy? He had him locked up and he couldn't do it. Is anyone else suprised by that? I feel like Georges has to be a good grappler but that makes me wonder. Maybe I am crazy. Either way, I think Jake is going to have a lot of difficulty getting it to the ground, especially as the rounds go on. If you make a bet that big, you should hedge it out with Jake inside the distance because that is the only way he is winning. Provided the payout is nice.
                              1 unit = 300 $

                              Comment

                              • trotterz
                                Senior Member
                                • Jan 2011
                                • 450

                                don't forget that jake could take hendo down at will. Yes hendo gassed but he is an olympic wrestler and much bigger than GSP.
                                I do think that GSP should win anyway

                                Comment

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