Ufn 24

[edman5555]

I usually look for numbers. Obviously 9 out of 10 people picking the same guy to win doesn't mean that he will, but if those are the numbers, then I usually feel more comfortable in making a bet.

sherdog pros picked marquardt over yushin okami 40-5.

[BillyPilgrim]

They are passively interested in the outcome a lot of times. Also biased a lot of times. On top of that the pros picks don't equal out to actual bets they would make if they were gambling. They are just asked to pick the outcome of a fight. We get the luxury of saying I don't know and not betting. They usually don't. Bottom line though, knowledge = most important part of success. A former fighter/coach should have the most potential for gambling.

I don't really think that technical knowledge is that important. I think the most important ingredient in success is benig able to analyze and evaluate a bunch of loosely connected information and then come up with a viable outcome and translate that into an expected rate of wins and losses.

It is more about synthesis of information IMO, than it is about knowledge.

Aside from that, fighters usually are not the most knowledgeable guys IME. They have the ability to make thier body do, but that doesn't really mean that they have looked at the intricacies of leverage and force. Coaches would be better IMO, but even then, I don't know how much of an edge it would be.

[BillyPilgrim]

You know who I think would make great gamblers... economists. I fancy myself an amateur economist, and I even wrote my thesis on the law and economics. But I am shit compared to some of these guys, they can literally predict the future by looking at all possible outcomes and explanations for things. For a quick and popular peek into this way of thinking, check out the book Freakonomics. It came out after i got out of school, but I didn't really understand the full power of economist -style analysis until I read it and got re-interested. It is not an academic read, it is just a soft peek into the mind of an economist.

[SPX]

sherdog pros picked marquardt over yushin okami 40-5.

That's pros picks. You yourself just one post above this one gave good reasons why pros picks are not reliable.

[poopoo333]

Freakonomics.

[SPX]

LOL@ScottSteiner

That nigga's still around, doing his thing on TNA now.

[BillyPilgrim]

...

[BillyPilgrim]

Eddie Bravo FTW .............scientist is going to be pissed

Eddie Bravo invented that move, and BJJ as well.

Bastards. I just now saw this. And yes, I was pissed. And as Luke mentioned, here is why:

and yet:

[BillyPilgrim]

link broken, but I can't just let it go now can I?

[SPX]

I thought Joe Rogan was going to have an EB orgasm when that shit went down.

[SPX]

But the real lesson to take from the fight is: WAR ZOMBIE!

I think I might buy his shirt. It would be the first piece of MMA clothing that I've ever bought.

[Mr. IWS]

LOL@ScottSteiner

That nigga's still around, doing his thing on TNA now.

As Rumor would have it, he has your hook up. Holla if you hear him.

[SPX]

As Rumor would have it, he has your hook up. Holla if you hear him.

You lost me with this one.

[BillyPilgrim]

But the real lesson to take from the fight is: WAR ZOMBIE!

I think I might buy his shirt. It would be the first piece of MMA clothing that I've ever bought.

I was all for Zombie, but now since he plugged that sack of shit, I am off him and looking forward to his impending demise.

I have never owned a piece of mma clothing either. I do have this shirt, but I don't think it counts as MMA apparel:

[BillyPilgrim]

damn that is a huge image for an off the cuff remark.