Strikeforce Challengers 1/7/11

[MMA_scientist]

I feel the same way about Salters opponent. I went to his website and saw that he is a purple belt instructor from Indiana. I figured you knew him.

He is about 4 hours away from me though. I don't KNOW him, I meant a "know" him as in, I have seen him around a few times.

[MMA_scientist]

3u on Ferguson/Woodley to win 2.2

2u on Cormier/Ferguson/Woodley/Salter to win 3.2u

Going wild. I think all these guys are going to win.

[edman5555]

I was literally just thinking the exact same thing. Parlay time.

[MMA_scientist]

Yeah, the 4 man parlay probably will not hit. I mean 1 of those guys will probably get rocked and not recover for their takedowns. But @ +160, I think it is worth a play. I feel at least as confident that all 4 of those guys will win as almost any other +160 bet I make.

I have it set up now, where if any one man loses, I am going to end up losing a couple units. I probably should have just left it alone. Really my bet is the 4 man parlay, I could have made the same bet by just betting 3u on the 4 man parlay, with less risk. If I lose 1 of my 2 and parlays, I am also going to lose the 4 man parlay and end up down at least 2 or 3u (maybe 5u). I just got all excited and now it is convoluted as hell. Oh well. It is a new year.

Of course if they all win, I am going to have a really damn good night (+8.4u !)

[poopoo333]

^^You're going to have a really good night.

Thanks for the breakdown on Huffman as well.

[edman5555]

John salter is probably the best bet. I added three parlays. Salter plus tyron. Then salter tyr and ferg. Then salt tytr ferg and corm

[MMA_scientist]

^ I think at the lines, Salter is the best best bet. But I think the lines accurately reflect who is the most likely to win (Cormier). Salter survived 2.5 rounds striking with Gerald Harris, and arguably won a round against a former top 10 guy in Miller (before getting choked out). He is fighting a regional guy that really is not even a big name on the regional scene. I really don't know how he got the fight tbh. Salter should smash him.

The only bet I am concerned about it Woodley. I think he will win, but Tarec does have a path to victory. Cole has no way to win and neither does the guy fighting Rhadi (outside of an extremely well timed punch, which is always a factor).

I will probably hedge a little on Tarec.

[edman5555]

That is the one I am also a little worried about.

[poopoo333]

Woodley down to -185. I really need to get better at predicting line movement.

[MMA_scientist]

f me in goat ass. I thought Woodley's line would get worse too.

[MMA_scientist]

I just watched Casey Huffman fights on youtube.... Oh my god... that Wilson guy he fought, he pulled mount. His competition has been ridiculously poor.

[MMA_scientist]

Just watched some of Huffman's fights on Youtube. Oh my god... his competition has been so bad. One guy pulled mount.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iuY62A9HSxM&feature=related

Of course, he won all the fights, but he is extremely raw... I don't understand how he got the fight. Salter should blow through him ease, it still has value even at the current line -325... but where we got him at -275 was a steal.

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

[poopoo333]

So I am pretty sure Ferguson is going to win via superior cardio @ the weigh ins.