UFC on Versus 5

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  • poopoo333
    MMA *********
    • Jan 2010
    • 18302

    Originally posted by MMA_scientist
    Figeroa is basically Leonard Garcia
    Perfect. He will get the decision no matter what.

    Comment

    • Ludo
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2010
      • 4931

      Originally posted by poopoo333
      Perfect. He will get the decision no matter what.
      Repped.
      2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
      Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
      Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
      Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

      2012: +20.311u

      Comment

      • poopoo333
        MMA *********
        • Jan 2010
        • 18302

        Magic parlay for this card? We will only get 4 fights though.

        Comment

        • Vandelay
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2010
          • 1934

          Not hardy by sub, not bendo by sub, not oliveira by tko/ko, not ludwig by sub.

          Comment

          • Ludo
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2010
            • 4931

            thats probably about it on the prop parlay.
            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

            2012: +20.311u

            Comment

            • sideloaded
              Senior Member
              • May 2010
              • 572

              Originally posted by Vandelay
              Not hardy by sub, not bendo by sub, not oliveira by tko/ko, not ludwig by sub.
              where are you playing that you can get not ludwig by sub?

              Comment

              • Vandelay
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2010
                • 1934

                no where. It's on the main card, so im sure a line will come out b4 sunday. Hopefully it comes out before the hardy sub prop shoots up to -6000

                Comment

                • MMA_scientist
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2009
                  • 9857

                  They don't always give all the props for the UFC on Versus cards. If they do, I would not include "Not Bendo by Sub" unless the the odds on the total parlay were decent. Not Ludwig by sub is a lock and not Hardy by sub are locks. I would say not Bendo and not Cerrone by submission if the total parlay was like -200. I would make it a mini, because it could happen.
                  2012: +19.33
                  2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                  Comment

                  • MMA_scientist
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2009
                    • 9857

                    Originally posted by sideloaded
                    not cool scientist, not cool. were all supposed to be friends right? I mean we bust each other balls and what not but we would give each other our shirts off our back right? (except zY)

                    friends???
                    Yeah man, we are best friends forever. But I am not following, what is not cool?
                    2012: +19.33
                    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                    Comment

                    • MMA_scientist
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2009
                      • 9857

                      Not Hardy by Submission is -2000. That has value, IMO. That is 20:1... but Lytle has fought 48 times and never been subbed, Hardy has 3 submission wins.

                      You can get Not Hardy/Cerrone/Bendo by submission at -457. That is no good for me. Even if they release a prop on Ludwig/Amir, it won't be worth it IMO. Besides, I just blew up that -2000 line for my secret never ending event to event magic parlay project I have been doing. Expect it to be -4000 or more by fight time.
                      2012: +19.33
                      2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                      Comment

                      • poopoo333
                        MMA *********
                        • Jan 2010
                        • 18302

                        Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                        Besides, I just blew up that -2000 line for my secret never ending event to event magic parlay project I have been doing. Expect it to be -4000 or more by fight time.
                        How many units do you have on it breh breh?

                        Comment

                        • poopoo333
                          MMA *********
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 18302

                          It's a gamble...but how about replacing not bendo by sub with not miller by sub?

                          Comment

                          • MMA_scientist
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2009
                            • 9857

                            Originally posted by poopoo333
                            How many units do you have on it breh breh?
                            All of them. I have been doing a 2011 locks parlay. I put $1600 on it, which is where that parlay is at. I have just been letting it run. I think I am going to let it run all year and then take it down and start one for 2012. I mentioned it when I started the year, but I am not tracking it in the tracker because it is event to event.
                            2012: +19.33
                            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                            Comment

                            • MMA_scientist
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2009
                              • 9857

                              Originally posted by poopoo333
                              It's a gamble...but how about replacing not bendo by sub with not miller by sub?
                              Not worth it to me, if I could get it down to like -200 I would do it. But I am not paying -450 for it. It could totally lose. Cerrone and Oliveira could each sub the other, and same thing with Miller and Bendo. Lytle and Amir are the only good bets for a magic parlay IMO.
                              2012: +19.33
                              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                              Comment

                              • poopoo333
                                MMA *********
                                • Jan 2010
                                • 18302

                                Originally posted by MMA_scientist
                                All of them. I have been doing a 2011 locks parlay. I put $1600 on it, which is where that parlay is at. I have just been letting it run. I think I am going to let it run all year and then take it down and start one for 2012. I mentioned it when I started the year, but I am not tracking it in the tracker because it is event to event.
                                How much did you start with? What was your first bet on it? Do you just do one bet on each event like this? Have you kept track of all the bets that you have made for it?

                                Comment

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