UFC on Versus 5

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  • MMA_scientist
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2009
    • 9857

    Nothing really jumping out at me.

    What do you giys think about Castillo vs. Volkmann. Castillo just beat a midget wrestler in Stevenson, and also has a win over Poirier. Is Volkmann going to be able to hump his way to a decision?
    2012: +19.33
    2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

    Comment

    • edman5555
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2010
      • 6628

      I was wondering that too.
      1 unit = 300 $

      Comment

      • MMA_scientist
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2009
        • 9857

        Stevenson did take him down several times, but Castillo was winning standing and nearly finished him. Stevenson gave away the fight by jumping for guillotines repeatedly.

        I don't know, initially I thought Castillo should win, but now I think Volkmann may be able to grind him out. Now I think I should stay away.

        Side note, Volkmann and Lentz are basically the same exact fighter.
        2012: +19.33
        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

        Comment

        • MMA_scientist
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2009
          • 9857

          How is Figeroa's takedown defense. Reinhart sucks and is old, but he is a wrestler and Figeroa is a kickboxer.
          2012: +19.33
          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

          Comment

          • MMA_scientist
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2009
            • 9857

            Cole Miller should win. Two long jiu jitsu guys, but one of them is better and also has better striking. I am kind of surprised at his line though.
            2012: +19.33
            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

            Comment

            • sbjj
              Senior Member
              • May 2010
              • 1418

              Originally posted by MMA_scientist
              Cole Miller should win. Two long jiu jitsu guys, but one of them is better and also has better striking. I am kind of surprised at his line though.
              yea, i think the line sucks.

              As for Figueroa. he seems at the least to be a tough guy that can fight everywhere for at least 2 high paced rounds. I think he smokes Reinhardt. But that line sucks also.

              I will not bet Castillo, because Volk. is one of those guys that seems to be much better than I believe him to be.

              Comment

              • sbjj
                Senior Member
                • May 2010
                • 1418

                Scientist, I have a job for you and I(and anyone else). lets come up with a 2 fighter parlay for this card. We have some shitty lines here. But they are not in the stratosphere.

                We should be able to sniff out a 2 fight parlay that pays around -130 or so.

                Comment

                • edman5555
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 6628

                  lines suck. Apparently Bookmaker figured out that Bruce Leroy sucks.
                  1 unit = 300 $

                  Comment

                  • edman5555
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 6628

                    Figueroa was taken down by that Macdonald kid over and over in their fight.
                    1 unit = 300 $

                    Comment

                    • sbjj
                      Senior Member
                      • May 2010
                      • 1418

                      Yea, but Macdonald is a young kid who is fast and very talented. Macdonald would beat Reinhardt in under a minute.

                      Comment

                      • MMA_scientist
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2009
                        • 9857

                        Originally posted by sbjj
                        Scientist, I have a job for you and I(and anyone else). lets come up with a 2 fighter parlay for this card. We have some shitty lines here. But they are not in the stratosphere.

                        We should be able to sniff out a 2 fight parlay that pays around -130 or so.
                        C. Miller/Benevidez is the best combo I can come up with. It is -122

                        Those are the only 2 favorites I have confidence in. Here is my rank of the other faves:

                        CB- Hamman is big and rugged, and CB tends to get tagged a lot. I do like C.B. more than the rest of the list.
                        Figeroa- a kickboxer facing a wrestler. Figeroa is probably too athletic and will be ok and find his spots, but still, the fear is there.
                        Amir- I fear he will stand and get KO'd Johny Hendricks style.
                        Vemola- fighting an unknown Nova Uniao BJJ specialist who just beat Filho. Vemola is strong, but not a wrestler. I am afraid he gets taken down and subbed.
                        Hettes- never seen him fight, but Cacares is a can. He did stuff a few takedowns on TUF though.
                        2012: +19.33
                        2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                        Comment

                        • Ludo
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2010
                          • 4931

                          I'd go with Vemola and Dollaway for a decent parlay, or a Dollaway/Noke play. Both of which pay out better than even odds at the current lines.
                          2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                          Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                          Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                          Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                          2012: +20.311u

                          Comment

                          • Ludo
                            Senior Member
                            • Jan 2010
                            • 4931

                            Vemola is a wrestler, Scientist. He's actually a 6 time Czech Repub. National Wrestling champion. From what I understand that part of the world has some of the best wrestlers on the planet, but I don't know if thats true or not.
                            2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                            Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                            Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                            Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                            2012: +20.311u

                            Comment

                            • MMA_scientist
                              Senior Member
                              • Nov 2009
                              • 9857

                              ^ I actually think Herman is going to beat Noke. So that is a no go for me. I am concerned about Hamman's athleticism.
                              2012: +19.33
                              2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                              Comment

                              • Mr. IWS
                                215 Hustler
                                • Sep 2006
                                • 98682

                                Im liking Hardy in that one.

                                fuckin bulz on that gif
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