How does everyone feel about coming up with a consensus play for this card? Someone everyone would be comfy betting big on..
UFC on Versus 5
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Never hurts to have the collective wisdom. I don't know that you will be able to get everyone to agree that a bet is a good one at a given line, but you can probably get everyone to agree that a fighter is going to win.
I have not even looked at the undercard yet though...
At a glance, I like Paulo Thiago and Barboza. Schaub is also kind of a lock, but I just a a feeling that Nog is going to Nog him. It may just be hope.
Anderson Silva (No. 1 MW, No. 2 PFP) vs. Yushin Okami (No. 3 MW)
Mauricio Rua (No. 2 LHW, No. 9 PFP) vs. Forrest Griffin (No. 6 LHW)
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira vs. Brendan Schaub
Ross Pearson vs. Edson Barboza
Raphael Assuncao vs. Johnny Eduardo
Spencer Fisher vs. Thiago Tavares
Paulo Thiago vs. David Mitchell
Yuri Alcantara vs. Felipe Arantes
Mike Swick vs. Luis Ramos
Luiz Cane vs. Stanislav Nedkov
Rousimar Palhares vs. Dan Miller
Yves Jabouin vs. Ian Loveland2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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paulo thiago is probably a lock. I don't know much about Mitchell except he lost 3 rounds to tj waldburger who is primarily a grappler that isn't anything special. I like Tavares to win but I don't know if I would call him a lock.
Schaub..I don't know if I can call him a lock. Same for Barboza. They are both really new and fighting guys that are much more experienced. Pearson also has beaten some strikers already..he beat Siver and winner. Barboza is a better striker than both I would think but only has a handful of fights.1 unit = 300 $Comment
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With Oliveira, I lost severely betting Escudero against him, won on Miller, lost betting on Lenz, and then lost betting him against Cerrone. It was his performance against Lentz that really convinced me he was solid, but nothing would surprise me anymore. I should just stay away from him.
I will be several units on Okami, probably. But I do think he is under 50%.
I'm wondering what combined probability we will be able to get on Schaub + Nog by sub. Will it even be under 100%? If it's under 85%, I will probably bet it.Comment
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I will stay away from Barboza. I also think his line is too steep. No betting on Silva/Okami either. I already explained that I like Cane over Nedkov a lot and will be looking more into Paulo Thiago. Forrest is still a good underdog bet to me, but I'm more leaning towards him by decision or just betting a prop bet that Shogun/Forrest goes to decision instead of betting on him straight up.Comment
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Sometimes my head just spins when I finally get to read the stuff you guys post.
MMAscientist: That said, at the current line, you pretty much have bet Yushin.............Anderson is going to literally seksumi him right in the pugo
Edmann :paulo thiago is probably a lock................ I don't know much about Mitchell
Zak : Ill be on Andy here. I havent been this confident in a fight since BJ/Edgar 1.
^^^^^^that's funny though
You missed it last night, though. Luke, PP and I all banded together and dropped 5u on Bendo after the Oliveira loss (or I think Luke had already bet him). Bendo absolutely saved me from having like a 4th shitty night in a row and actually dropping into the hole again. I couldn't believe that shit worked. I already had a small bet on him going into the fight, so I thought he COULD win, but I really didn't expect him, too. Then he went in there and whooped Miller's ASS!
.2015 MMA BETTING CHAMP
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i think these guys will win: Thiago, Barboza, Cane. David Mitchell is a grappler with average wrestling. I think Thiago will bully him everywhere. Pearson is a level below Barboza in the striking department. I'm really impressed with Barboza and i think he will beat many guys until he fights a strong wrestler who can hold him down. He's like Jose Aldo with a weaker ground game. I only put enough to win a unit on him though at -275. Will parlay him later. and for Cane, i only saw a few clips of his opponents and not so impressed. I like to know more about Yuri Alcantara and his opponent, Felipe Arantes. There's not to much vids on them. Dont know much about these other 134 undercard guys.Comment
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