UFC 136

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  • edman5555
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2010
    • 6628

    I don't know. I wouldn't want to bet on edgar coming back more improved. There is no way to prove that is going to happen. I would have to say Maynard is the best bet here. He is a dog. He won the first fight with wrestling. He nearly knocked out Edgar the second time. I think the best bet is probably the fight goes the distance. I will probably bet fight goes the distance, Maynard, Maynard by decision or some sort of combination of that.
    1 unit = 300 $

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    • Vandelay
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2010
      • 1934

      Full props are out

      Comment

      • SPX
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2009
        • 23875

        Originally posted by sbjj
        I like Maynard also. I think he would be 2-0 against Edgar if would have not unloaded everything in that first round.
        I think you could just as easily argue that Edgar just got caught and without the first round super-punch that it would've been 5 rounds of Edgar edging them out.
        I heart cock

        Comment

        • edman5555
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2010
          • 6628

          It can be argued either way. I still think a small margin should be given to Maynard. With him being the dog, that makes him the play. Either way, the best play is probably the fight going the distance.
          1 unit = 300 $

          Comment

          • edman5555
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2010
            • 6628

            If you can get good odds.
            1 unit = 300 $

            Comment

            • sbjj
              Senior Member
              • May 2010
              • 1418

              Originally posted by SPX
              I think you could just as easily argue that Edgar just got caught and without the first round super-punch that it would've been 5 rounds of Edgar edging them out.
              Agreed. But I thought it was pretty obvious that Maynard had gassed himself out after that. Yet he still kept it close the remaining rounds. Even winning another round.

              I remember someone in here during the fight(I think it was Luke) saying he really wished Maynard had stopped him because he looked winded. And that was right after the 1st round.

              All we know right now is that Maynard beat him clear one time. And has proved he can hurt Edgar. We also learned that it seems Maynard can take Edgars punches a whole lot better.

              One worry to me is that Edgar came back stronger in the rematch with Penn. Almost as if he had solved the riddle.

              I just think Maynard has a better strategy this time including well placed takedowns.

              If Maynard was favored i would not bet him.

              Comment

              • SPX
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2009
                • 23875

                I really do think it could go either way, and I don't like either guy's line at the moment.

                I had a bet on Edgar at -125 which, before the other day when I checked, was still in place. But I guess it passed the date when the fight was supposed to go down because it wasn't there anymore when I looked a couple of days ago.

                I might just stay away from this one and enjoy watching it.
                I heart cock

                Comment

                • Mr. IWS
                  215 Hustler
                  • Sep 2006
                  • 98691

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                  • Ludo
                    Senior Member
                    • Jan 2010
                    • 4931

                    I'm on Edgar to win 2u already, I might throw enough to win another unit on him. I think Gray catching him like that was an anomaly. I doubt it would happen again(when was the last time Maynard rocked anyone standing like that?) and if three knockdowns and landing over 70 strikes in a round isn't enough to stop or slow Edgar down, what is? I'm basing alot of it on rounds 2,3,4, and 5 of the second Maynard fight as well as the second Penn fight. Edgar comes back hard from controversy. I realize Maynard may have gassed himself out, but how did all that punishment not take it's toll on Edgar at the same time? How do you beat a guy who you can hurt but not hurt other than crushing him with one punch?
                    2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
                    Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
                    Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
                    Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u

                    2012: +20.311u

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                    • poopoo333
                      MMA *********
                      • Jan 2010
                      • 18302

                      I agree with what SBJJ said about Edgar "solving riddles".


                      Stann by sub is +1120, if I had $ in my 5d I would bet that. He has probably been working subs off of his back this whole camp

                      Comment

                      • Vandelay
                        Senior Member
                        • Nov 2010
                        • 1934

                        eh, he probably wont sub him. Sonnens sub d isnt that bad. He went 5 rounds at a grueling pace b4 he was subbed by silva. plus he survived marquardt and miller. Both better at jj then stann.

                        Comment

                        • MMA_scientist
                          Senior Member
                          • Nov 2009
                          • 9857

                          Originally posted by poopoo333
                          I agree with what SBJJ said about Edgar "solving riddles".


                          Stann by sub is +1120, if I had $ in my 5d I would bet that. He has probably been working subs off of his back this whole camp
                          Stann and Condit have both been working out of Gracie Barra NM for their fights. I was going to post a vid a while back, but I didn't. Anyway, they both realize they are getting put on thier backs.
                          2012: +19.33
                          2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                          Comment

                          • MMA_scientist
                            Senior Member
                            • Nov 2009
                            • 9857

                            Not Maynard, Stephens, Aldo, Guillard by sub is -714. If I add Stann in it comes down to -523. I like the other 4 ok, don't like Stann/Sonnen. I have no reservations about Guillard and Stephens... those are in my 2011 parlay. I don't know that it is worth it at -714... Maynard could possibly sub Edgar if he rocks him and takes a RNC, though I doubt he would go for it, I think that is pretty safe too. Aldo, i doubt he can submit Florian, but I am sure he has a bunch of tricks up his sleeve. I don't like that as much as the others, especially since Florian is probably looking to grapple.
                            2012: +19.33
                            2012 Parlay project: +16.5u

                            Comment

                            • edman5555
                              Senior Member
                              • Apr 2010
                              • 6628

                              i took guillard r1 1u to win 2.25u and guillard inside the distance 2.5u to win like 1.5u or so. They limited me on the guillard inside the distance..
                              1 unit = 300 $

                              Comment

                              • edman5555
                                Senior Member
                                • Apr 2010
                                • 6628

                                limit gone
                                1 unit = 300 $

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