Striking was "virtually iiiidentical", at least significant strikes.
UFC 141 Ubereem vs Brock 12/30
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2013: +8.24u(increased unit size on 5/19)
Favorites: 20-6 + 6.13u
Underdogs: 10-19 -2.51u
Ludo's Locks Parlay Project: +1.4u
2012: +20.311uComment
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I will definitely bet Hendricks, I think the fight is about 50/50. Fitch has only had to fight one other of the fitchers in the division (Pierce). Pierce took a round off him and dropped him. I also think Pierce has gotten significantly better since then while Fitch has already peaked. I think Fitch has better technical striking and has reach advantage, but Hendricks hits a lot harder. I doubt Fitch can pin him on the fence for 15 minutes. Fitch may win, but he is not 2:1 IMO. Tough matchup stylistically for both guys, but I have Hendricks.
I will bet Diaz @ 2:1 as well. Diaz's boxing looks like it is getting better and Maynard is not that bad of a striker (he almost became champ by KOing Edgar twice).
Don't like teh Volkmann/Escudero bet, unless one of them is a big underdog. I think Efrain may be able to outwrestle Volkmann if he chooses to grapple. Volkmann is technically better, but he is not a very gifted athlete IMO, and I could see Efrain outworking him. Also, Efrain should be hungry after having to do the small show tour.
Not touching Nunes/Manny. Nunes will be a favorite, as I think he should be. I don't think Manny can keep up standing, and I doubt he can get him down enough to win a decision.
Going to bet Brock most likely too.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment
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I like pretty much all underdogs. I like Hendricks, Brock, Diaz, mildly like Efrain. Was hoping to bet DHK, but screw that. -365, I'll pass. I just need to sort out who i am actually going to play. I actually expect Brock to win and I think Diaz is close to 50%. Hendricks/Fitch will be really close IMO, but Fitch is more willing to Fitch it out than Johny is, and that could be the difference there. When Johny gets a break, I expect he will swing for the fence, where he should just try to win the Fitching contest. Efrain, i think his wrestling is close enough to Volkmann's to where it will probably come down to striking and grit.2012: +19.33
2012 Parlay project: +16.5uComment


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