UFC on FX

[AC88]

I'm thinking of Rivera here. I'm starting to think a bet for over 2.5 rounds is a good one too.

[MMA_scientist]

His takedowns are not that bad IMO. They may not be enough to get Rivera down, but he got Houston down no problem. It will depend on the line for me.

I must be getting lazy, because I don't even know who half of these guys are. Someone look into these and report back.

[AC88]

I don't like Schafer here due to the fact his striking is poor and his wrestling/takedowns are even worse.

[poopoo333]

Final card:

MAIN CARD (FX)

• Melvin Guillard vs. Jim Miller
• Duane "Bang" Ludwig vs. Josh Neer
• Mike Easton vs. Jared Papazian
• Pat Barry vs. Christian Morecraft

PRELIMINARY CARD (FUEL TV)

• Jorge Rivera vs. Eric Schafer
• Khabib Nurmagomedov vs. Kamal Shalorus
• Charlie Brenneman vs. Daniel Roberts
• Fabricio Camoes vs. Tommy Hayden*
• Daniel Pineda vs. Pat Schilling
• Nick Denis vs. Joseph Sandoval

[poopoo333]

Yeah, there is a chance Ludwig gets overvalued in this one because of his last fight against Amir. Amir didn't do shit in that fight, Neer is aggressive and will push the pace. We all know Ludwig's conditioning problems. Is it possible Neer comes to grapple?

[trotterz]

-200? Wishful thinking, I believe.

I think he opens at -365 and possibly gets bet all the way to -500.

His knock out loss in 3min against johnson is fresh in people's mind. I think we will maybe be able to get him for better odds than that

[sbjj]

Barry is actually not a bad WRESTLER. And his TDD has improved a lot. But his grappling is just plain bad. I really think he will be able to keep this thing standing. If you rewatch Barry's fights with Kongo and Struve you can see he was actually doing quite well until he just checked out. not sure Christian has the tools that those fighters have. All that said, Barry at -200 or higher is just not good. hell, even at even money i would still keep it small.

Miller-Guillard. this could really look like Guillards fight with Stephens. guillard IMO has the ability to box to a 3 round decision. I have a feeling guillard will be very tentative out there.

Ludwig-Neer. Please God make Neer a dog here. i think Neer has this one. he will not just follow Ludwig around and stare at him. he will force him to fight. Lud will damn near cardiac arrest half way through the fight.

Agree with everyone on brenn. he will be half of the 2 fight parlay for this event. but I do think -400 or higher is to high. Would really like to see him @ -260 or so.

[poopoo333]

Miller down to -155, is his line going to get better?

[poopoo333]

-200? Wishful thinking, I believe.

I think he opens at -365 and possibly gets bet all the way to -500.

Agreed...won't be surprised to see him sitting -420 to -500 until fight time.

Schafer close to even might be a big bet of mine...going to look at it some more to be sure.

[SPX]

I will take Schaefer close to even and for sure going to take Brenneman under -200, will place a bet up to -250 most likely.

-200? Wishful thinking, I believe.

I think he opens at -365 and possibly gets bet all the way to -500.

[MMA_scientist]

I will take Schaefer close to even and for sure going to take Brenneman under -200, will place a bet up to -250 most likely.

[mike]

I like Neer also but I am not sure if he can take Ludwig down. Neer also likes to stand and trade iirc. Ludwig did slow down in his last fight vs Sadolah. This is the only fight that I like on this card but probably will wait for a live bet on Neer after seeing the first round unless he opens at a significant underdog

[edman5555]

Neer/Ludwig - My first reaction was Duane should take this but I am now leaning towards Neer. He has had 43 pro fights and hes only been knocked out once. He should be the superior grappler. After Duanes win over Amir he should be rated pretty highly. Neer wrestled for a little while in college btw. I will take Neer if he is at decent +odds.

River/Schaefer - Rivera is getting old. Schaefer is a way better grappler. I will take Schaefer if I can get +odds.

Brennamen - I think he should be able to nullify Roberts game. I Don't know who the better striker is though.

Morecraft/Barry - Tough call. Barry has the distinct advantage on the feet but Morecraft is very big. He also has choked out Big Sexy. I imagine if he can choke out anyone he is a better grappler than Pat Barry.

[SPX]

Gay.

[poopoo333]

Top MMA News has learned that Ryan Jimmo will be unable to make his UFC debut in Nashville next week. Jimmo suffered an injury to his right ankle while training and is unable to fight.

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