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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK
Central Michigan +5 over Pepperdine
Central Michigan +5 over Pepperdine
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Sports Wagers
Memphis –6 over Michigan SportsInteraction
3:00 PM EST. The Wolverines have played three games heading into the Maui tournament but all three were against cupcakes, leaving them untested and frankly, they weren’t very impressive either. Michigan opened the year with a win over Ferris State, the equivalent of a high school team. They subsequently beat lowly Towson and the Western Illinois Leathernecks. The Wolverines scored 59, 64 and 59 points respectively against that trio of dregs. UM is ranked #17 in the nation and that gives them credibility but they have a ton to prove to warrant that ranking. The Memphis Tigers rank #10 and have played one game thus far against Belmont. Belmont lost by a single point to Duke and they would destroy any of those three teams the Wolverines played. Memphis beat Belmont by 16 points and scored 97 points in the process. Offensively, the Tigers are loaded. They have shooters and more shooters and they can bury an opponent early. They return five standout sophomores and they’re in a position to make a deep run this season. There will be an adjustment in the lines soon, as the books learn who the imposters are, but for this game, we get a very cheap lay on the far superior club. Note the early start time. Play: Memphis –6 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
NEW ENGLAND –16 over Kansas City PINNACLE
Considering we could’ve bet this one at –14 earlier in the week, paying two points extra on Monday is not a good business decision and therefore we’ll pass. The Chiefs will start Tyler Palko at quarterback in place of the injured Matt Cassell. Palko has thrown 13 passes for zero touchdowns in his NFL career. Tom Brady has thrown 5070 passes and 284 touchdowns. Kansas City is among the worst teams in the NFL. The Patriots rank among the best and won’t be afraid to show it. All things being equal, you don’t need us to suggest that the Pats should be able to name the score here and bludgeon this opponent but the premium is too high to pull the trigger. Play: New England –16 (No bets).
Phoenix +127 over WASHINGTON Pinnacle
After losing two in a row of a three-game trip and being outscored 7-2, one had to figure Washington would show up for its final game of said trip in Toronto on Saturday night against the reeling Leafs. Instead the Caps were buried 7-1 to cap a 0-3 road trip, while being outscored 14-3. Washington scored one goal in each of the three games. The Caps have one win in its last seven games, a 3-1 victory over the Devils in a game they were outshot 33-20. Alexander Semin might be a healthy scratch tonight because he’s simply not interested. Alexander Ovechkin is not interested either these days. The Caps defense is awful, the team isn’t scoring and overall, this is a Capitals squad that’s just not very good anymore, nor are they playing with any urgency, passion or desire. Phoenix is 3-1, as it wraps up a season long five-game road trip. The Coyotes hold down the fifth spot in the Western Conference, powered by a 7-2-1 mark in their last 10 games. Mike Smith (9-3-3) has allowed 2.15 goals per-game and has a save percentage of .936. Smith has been outstanding on the trip, making 31, 35, 40 and 43 saves, respectively, in the four games while allowing six goals. Unlike the Caps, the Coyotes play hard and they play to win and a victory here would give them eight out of a possible 10 points on trip. Washington might be the most beatable team in the NHL right now. Play: Phoenix +127 (Risking 2 units).Comment
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