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DCI NHL
Season: 128-109 (.540)
San Jose vs. CHICAGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Florida 2
Season: 128-109 (.540)
San Jose vs. CHICAGO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Florida 2
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MTI
Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Dallas
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: N.Y. Giants (+4.5 -110)
Line Source: 5dimes
Posted on: December 10, 2011 @ 9:28:38 PM EST
The Giants have lost four straight, but they have played very tough opponents. At the beginning of this season, we had a futures play on the Giants over nine wins and on the Giants to win the NFC East at +350 (Mostly because we thought the Eagles would fall flat). A win here would put the Giants in first place in the NFC East. We think they’ll do just that. NY is a perfect 7-0 ATS on the road after a loss as a home dog in which they failed on less than three red zone attempts, covering by an average of 12.6 ppg and 11-0 ATS after November when they are off a game in which they had at least 24 points and at least 21 first downs. The SDQL text for the latter of these is: p:FD>=24 and p:points>=21 and team=Giants and month>11 and 19981227<=date
In addition, the Giants are 8-0 ATS on the road when they are 500 after game seven. The Cowboys, on the other hand, tend to fade at this point in the season. Dallas is 0-10 ATS after November when they are off an ATS loss in which they passed for at least 250 yards. Dallas has failed to cover the spread by an average of a whopping 16.2 ppg in this situation, losing every game straight up. Check it out with this SDQL text:
p:ATSL and p:PY>=250 and team=Cowboys and month>11 and 19971208<=date
Note that they were the favorite in seven of the ten games.
Also, Dallas is 0-15 ATS during the regular season after November when they are off a game as a favorite in which they did not rush for more than 105 yards. The SDQL text is:
p:F and p:RY<=105 and team=Cowboys and month>11 and REG and 19971208<=date
and 0-8 ATS (-6.9 ppg) as a favorite when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season.
The only two times the Cowboys were able to win straight up in this spot was when they were laying double-digits. See for yourself with this SDQL text:
p:F and p:RY<=105 and team=Cowboys and month>11 and REG and 19971208<=date
Dallas is very accommodating to a team in need of a win. They are 0-7 ATS (-12.6 ppg) after November as a favorite when their opponent is on a 3+ game losing streak. Finally, the Cowboys are terrible vs passing teams. Dallas is 0-8 ATS after week 13 as a regular season favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 34.5, failing to cover by an average of 17.9 ppg. See for yourself with this SDQL text:
team=Cowboys and week>13 and F and oA(passes)>34.5 and REG and 20041212<=date
Take the Giants.
MTi’s FORECAST: NY Giants 27 DALLAS 20
also releasing it on the $ line.
Guaranteed Plays
Matchup: N.Y. Giants at Dallas
Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun)
Play: N.Y. Giants (ML +206)
Line Source: Sportbet
Posted on: December 10, 2011 @ 9:28:38 PM EST
The Giants have lost four straight, but they have played very tough opponents. At the beginning of this season, we had a futures play on the Giants over nine wins and on the Giants to win the NFC East at +350 (Mostly because we thought the Eagles would fall flat). A win here would put the Giants in first place in the NFC East. We think they’ll do just that. NY is a perfect 7-0 ATS on the road after a loss as a home dog in which they failed on less than three red zone attempts, covering by an average of 12.6 ppg and 11-0 ATS after November when they are off a game in which they had at least 24 points and at least 21 first downs. The SDQL text for the latter of these is: p:FD>=24 and p:points>=21 and team=Giants and month>11 and 19981227<=date
In addition, the Giants are 8-0 ATS on the road when they are 500 after game seven. The Cowboys, on the other hand, tend to fade at this point in the season. Dallas is 0-10 ATS after November when they are off an ATS loss in which they passed for at least 250 yards. Dallas has failed to cover the spread by an average of a whopping 16.2 ppg in this situation, losing every game straight up. Check it out with this SDQL text:
p:ATSL and p:PY>=250 and team=Cowboys and month>11 and 19971208<=date
Note that they were the favorite in seven of the ten games.
Also, Dallas is 0-15 ATS during the regular season after November when they are off a game as a favorite in which they did not rush for more than 105 yards. The SDQL text is:
p:F and p:RY<=105 and team=Cowboys and month>11 and REG and 19971208<=date
and 0-8 ATS (-6.9 ppg) as a favorite when facing a divisional opponent for the first time of the season.
The only two times the Cowboys were able to win straight up in this spot was when they were laying double-digits. See for yourself with this SDQL text:
p:F and p:RY<=105 and team=Cowboys and month>11 and REG and 19971208<=date
Dallas is very accommodating to a team in need of a win. They are 0-7 ATS (-12.6 ppg) after November as a favorite when their opponent is on a 3+ game losing streak. Finally, the Cowboys are terrible vs passing teams. Dallas is 0-8 ATS after week 13 as a regular season favorite when their opponent's season-to-date average pass attempts per game is greater than 34.5, failing to cover by an average of 17.9 ppg. See for yourself with this SDQL text:
team=Cowboys and week>13 and F and oA(passes)>34.5 and REG and 20041212<=date
Take the Giants at +200 on the moneyline.
MTi’s FORECAST: NY Giants 27 DALLAS 20Comment
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