Saturday 1/3/26 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • ConleyPicks
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2020
    • 20482

    #16

    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
    PURCHASE


    Aqueduct - Race #5 - Post: 2:10pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $46,000 Class Rating: 86

    Rating:

    #2 PROBLEMATICA (ML=8/1)
    #3 CURLIN'S MAGIC (ML=5/2)
    #4 MY FIRST LOVE (ML=6/1)


    PROBLEMATICA - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let her get away early they probably won't catch her. Barrera gets a break on this horse carrying 6 pounds less than last out. Could make the difference right here. CURLIN'S MAGIC - This mount is in great demand coming off two claims in her last two starts. Don't overlook this mare in your gambling today. MY FIRST LOVE - Last ran at Aqueduct and finished fourth. Reviewing her handicapping information, I see she was close at the end, within five of the winner.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TABLOID MATERIAL (ML=3/1), #7 HAPPY VALENTINE (ML=4/1), #1 LOOKS FIRST (ML=5/1),

    TABLOID MATERIAL - Last effort was too strong. Not too far of a reach to expect a 'performance bounce' this time around. HAPPY VALENTINE - Not probable for this one to do much running with no recent good showings in a short distance affair. LOOKS FIRST - The speed fig last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this horse as a possibly overvalued contestant.
    STRAIGHT WAGERS: #2 PROBLEMATICA is going to be the play if we are getting 7/2 or better
    EXACTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,4]
    TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6

    Comment

    • ConleyPicks
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2020
      • 20482

      #17

      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Tampa Bay Downs
      PURCHASE
      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.



      Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $55000 Class Rating: 75

      FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      # 7 DAME GINA MARIE 8/1
      # 9 BLAZING AFFAIR 5/1
      # 1 DI CAPRI 7/2
      I think DAME GINA MARIE is a competitive pick and is a decent value-based bet given the 8/1 line. Lately Oconnell has provided bettors with a quite good winning percentage with horses running in dirt sprint races. With a reliable 67 average speed figure at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest. BLAZING AFFAIR - Has to be given a shot against this field displaying competitive numbers recently and an average Equibase speed fig of 75 under similar conditions. Recorded a strong speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this contest. DI CAPRI - Looks very strong versus this field and should be one of the front-runners. Always good to invest in a trainer with this kind of solid win percentage - 15 percent - at this distance & surface.

      Comment

      • ConleyPicks
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2020
        • 20482

        #18

        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Coast To Coast
        PURCHASE
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.


        Race 1 - Optional Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $86000 Class Rating: 100

        GP - R8 - FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON $20,000 ONCE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $25,000. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000 MAIDEN
        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        # 3 KING D'ORO 8/1
        # 10 SMOOTH BREEZE 8/1
        # 11 EVER DANGEROUS 15/1
        I've got to go with KING D'ORO especially at 8/1. He has to be carefully examined given the strong speed figures. Earned a solid speed figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Has been running strongly and has among the most competitive speed in the race for today's distance. SMOOTH BREEZE - This selection will feel the med change - on Lasix today. Should keep the good string of finishing positions intact this time out. EVER DANGEROUS - Ought to compete strongly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this group. Can't overlook the connections here, a 29 winning percentage, one of the strongest at getting into the winner's circle.

        Comment

        • ConleyPicks
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2020
          • 20482

          #19

          Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
          PURCHASE


          Santa Anita - Race #6 - Post: 2:43pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,500 Class Rating: 91

          Rating:

          #1 MALA (ML=8/1)
          #4 MOTHER'S PRAYER (ML=5/2)
          #2 AUTISM PUZZLE (ML=6/1)


          MALA - He'll be laying in stalking position, right behind the early pace. This horse's last race was at Del Mar in a race with a class rating of 98. Dropping considerably in Equibase class figure in today's event puts him in a solid position in this field. MOTHER'S PRAYER - Taking a class drop in Equibase class figure points from his November 28th race at Del Mar. Based on that data point, I will give this horse the advantage. Just look at his last speed rating, 89. That one fits in this bunch. 60-66-89 are last three speed figs. Improving each time out is something he should do again in this event. AUTISM PUZZLE - I'm optimistic this gelding will run well today. Last work was 2nd fastest of the day, which tells me he's sharp right now. You always have to be on the prowl for profit making rider/conditioner combos; we have an instance right here.

          Vulnerable Contenders: #5 MYSTIC FLYER (ML=1/1), #3 ALPINE THUNDER (ML=9/2),

          MYSTIC FLYER - Garnered a pedestrian rating last time around the track in a $25,000 Claiming race on Nov 24th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that number. ALPINE THUNDER - This gelding recorded a speed fig in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event.
          STRAIGHT WAGERS: #1 MALA to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better
          EXACTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,4]
          TRIFECTA WAGERS: Box [1,2,4] Total Cost: $6
          SUPERFECTA WAGERS: None

          Comment

          • HandyAndy
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2024
            • 441

            #20
            SAM HOUSTON TIPS - SATURDAY, JANUARY 03, 2026
            Historically our BEST BETS have finished in the money 61% of the time at this track.
            RACE #1 SAM HOUSTON $7,500 Allowance
            1 Mile ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:00 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 4 RS FORTEZA J L Alvarez
            PLACE 8-5 3 RB RICH VYBES E Valdez-Jiminez
            SHOW 4-1 5 MAJD STORM C Figueroa
            WILD CARD 3-1 1 UPTOWN TOPTHESSASSY A X Morales
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 2 AA BURNING TENACITY B Pena
            * EXACTA: 4-3 BOX, 3-5 BOX, 5-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/4/5 BOX, 1/3/5 BOX
            RACE #2 SAM HOUSTON $16,500 Starter Optional Claiming
            1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 2:27 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 8-5 3 Cashmere Dancer S Elliott
            PLACE 7-2 4 Put a Rock On It E Valdez-Jiminez
            SHOW 4-1 1 Chaton Rouge I V Diego
            WILD CARD 8-1 6 Janes Girls J L Alvarez
            ALTERNATE 1 6-1 5 Paintbrush E Gonzalez
            ALTERNATE 2 6-1 7 San Mateo Kat B Pena
            * EXACTA: 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX, 1-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/4 BOX, 1/4/6 BOX
            RACE #3 SAM HOUSTON $10,000 Maiden Claiming
            5 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 2:58 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 6-5 2 Wildcat Country E Valdez-Jiminez
            PLACE 3-1 3 Spunoutofmymind C Figueroa
            SHOW 2-1 4 Bello S Elliott
            WILD CARD 8-1 1 Last Affair R Guerra
            ALTERNATE 1 20-1 5 Prince of Mischief I J Rosendo
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 6 Aquilegia R Diaz
            * EXACTA: 2-3 BOX, 3-4 BOX, 4-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/3/4 BOX, 1/3/4 BOX
            RACE #4 SAM HOUSTON $11,000 Claiming
            5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 3:24 PM ET
            #5 ITTY BITTY BABY
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 3-1 5 Itty Bitty Baby R R Singh
            PLACE 6-1 3 Checkers Song W Hamilton
            SHOW 20-1 7 Blakes Song D L Parker
            WILD CARD 2-1 6 Im On Edge S Elliott
            ALTERNATE 1 4-1 9 Scattered Mischief R Guerra
            ALTERNATE 2 15-1 8 Find the Light D Cabrera
            * EXACTA: 5-3 BOX, 3-7 BOX, 7-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 3/5/7 BOX, 3/6/7 BOX
            RACE #5 SAM HOUSTON $16,500 Starter Optional Claiming
            1 1/16 Miles ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 3:51 PM ET
            #7 MR JAWS
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 6-1 7 Mr Jaws E Gonzalez
            PLACE 20-1 1 Macho Grande W Hamilton
            SHOW 15-1 3 Cinco Richie F Wethey Jr.
            WILD CARD 3-1 6 Coastal Brink B Pena
            ALTERNATE 1 1-1 8 Malibu S S E Gonzalez
            ALTERNATE 2 2-1 2 Team Leader S Elliott
            * EXACTA: 7-1 BOX, 1-3 BOX, 3-6 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 1/3/7 BOX, 1/3/6 BOX
            RACE #6 SAM HOUSTON $34,500 Allowance
            5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:18 PM ET
            #2 DUTCH MILLS
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 9-5 2 Dutch Mills S Elliott
            PLACE 8-1 6 Copper Storm E Valdez-Jiminez
            SHOW 3-1 4 Chivalrous F Wethey Jr.
            WILD CARD 10-1 5 The Devils Bet I Wiseman
            ALTERNATE 1 12-1 3 Battalion Strike R R Singh
            ALTERNATE 2 4-1 8 Bling Mountain W Hamilton
            * EXACTA: 2-6 BOX, 6-4 BOX, 4-5 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/6 BOX, 4/5/6 BOX
            RACE #7 SAM HOUSTON $75,000 Stakes
            5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 4:45 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 4-5 5 High Cinco L J Luzzi
            PLACE 10-1 2 American Witt B Pena
            SHOW 3-1 3 Lexis Comeback J L Alvarez
            WILD CARD 7-2 1 Makeshifts Legacy S Elliott
            ALTERNATE 1 15-1 4 Shop Time F Wethey Jr.
            ALTERNATE 2 30-1 6 Red Dirt Alley E Gonzalez
            * EXACTA: 5-2 BOX, 2-3 BOX, 3-1 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/3/5 BOX, 1/2/3 BOX
            RACE #8 SAM HOUSTON $75,000 Stakes
            5 1/2 Furlongs ON THE Dirt - POST TIME: 5:12 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 2-1 2 Harveys Finnish W Hamilton
            PLACE 7-2 9 Texas Speed Queen L J Luzzi
            SHOW 8-1 4 Speaking of Art F Wethey Jr.
            WILD CARD 10-1 7 My Conquest J L Alvarez
            ALTERNATE 1 5-1 3 Bossa Dama S Elliott
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 5 Whisperin Liz I V Diego
            * EXACTA: 2-9 BOX, 9-4 BOX, 4-7 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 2/4/9 BOX, 4/7/9 BOX
            RACE #9 SAM HOUSTON $33,000 Maiden Special Weight
            1 Mile ON THE Turf - POST TIME: 5:39 PM ET
            PICK ORDER M/L P# HORSE NAME JOCKEY
            WIN 8-5 6 Cruel I V Diego
            PLACE 6-1 7 K Ks First Dance E Gonzalez
            SHOW 3-1 5 Sugar Hill S Elliott
            WILD CARD 9-2 8 Grand Circle D L Parker
            ALTERNATE 1 8-1 3 Lookatthatgirlrun E Valdez-Jiminez
            ALTERNATE 2 12-1 2 Ritzy Mischief W Hamilton
            * EXACTA: 6-7 BOX, 7-5 BOX, 5-8 BOX
            * TRIFECTA: 5/6/7 BOX, 5/7/8 BOX

            Comment

            • ConleyPicks
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2020
              • 20482

              #21

              Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Flamboro Downs
              P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
              RACE 9
              5 5 SHADOW PRINCESS 4/1 Moore, Tyler - 6 342.32
              4 4 BABY BELLE 9/2 Macdonell, Mark A - 7 339.33
              1 1 TJ ALL THE WAY 3/1 Guy, Ryan - 10 336.00
              7 7 HP JOSEPHINE 2/1 Sorrie, Austin - 17 332.36
              6 6 MA DIVA 8/1 Coulter, Scott - 13 326.37
              2 2 ALEXIA 7/2 Fillion, Samuel - 15 310.56
              3 3 GURL SWAG 6/1 Ryan, Jason D - 15 305.00
              8 8 FORREST LEAH 10/1 Thomson, John - 4 293.94

              Comment

              • ConleyPicks
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2020
                • 20482

                #22
                Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Meadowlands

                Always check program numbers.
                Odds shown are morning line odds.


                Race 15 - Post: 12:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 88 - Purse:$9500 - N/W $2,500
                CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                # 8 PRIMARY COLORS 2/1
                # 1 GALLIE GETAWAY 5/1
                # 9 SPORTY M THREE 12/1
                PRIMARY COLORS is the clear stand out bet in the eyes of the number crunching team. A really good class horse should not be be forgotten. With an avg class figure of 88 all signs say this is the one to beat. Many analyzers will recognize the amazing TrackMaster speed fig in the last competition. Stacks up against any horse in this pack. The consortium happens to know that when you put Beckwith and Engblom together very good results are not far behind. GALLIE GETAWAY - Has the perfect running style to dominate this pack, according to the pace stats. Competitive shot in this race to get the win with first time Lasix. SPORTY M THREE - The panel of smart guys saw this horse's name on a billboard. Call it our coffee house play, worth a small wager.

                Comment

                • ConleyPicks
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2020
                  • 20482

                  #23
                  Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

                  Always check program numbers.
                  Odds shown are morning line odds.


                  Race 1 - Post: 6:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 78 - Purse:$9000 - FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS 1 PARI-MUTUEL RACE OR $10,000 LIFETIME. AE: N/W 2 PM RACES OR $20,000 LIFETIME CLAIMING PRICE $15,000
                  CONSORTIUM CHOICES
                  # 1 MARCED FOX 8/5
                  # 2 JULIE'S GRACE 4/1
                  # 4 ANGELZLIKEYOU 7/2
                  Hard not to like MARCED FOX as the top choice in this event. She looks competitive in this contest and should find a way to take advantage of favorable pace rankings. Worth looking at here looking at the rankings in the speed fig department alone. Could beat this field, just look at the TrackMaster Speed Rating - 72 - from her last contest. JULIE'S GRACE - Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this handicapping team. Pace numbers here point to a substantial play. Her 68 avg has this mare among the best TrackMaster Speed Ratings for this race. ANGELZLIKEYOU - Drawing the 4 hole at this track has lead to a better than expected win percent. Horoscope said take a chance today, this standardbred is as good as any to take a shot with.

                  Comment

                  • ConleyPicks
                    Senior Member
                    • Aug 2020
                    • 20482

                    #24
                    Handicapped by TrackMaster Greg at Woodbine Mohawk Park
                    P# PP HORSE NAME M/L DRIVER - WIN% POINTS
                    RACE 11
                    5 5 CENTURY JAMILA 4/1 Henry, Travis J - 9 577.63
                    2 2 UTOPIA BLUE CHIP 8/1 Spence, Dale Pr - 7 571.70
                    6 6 LYONS BETTORDAY 10/1 Drury, Jonathan L - 5 556.52
                    3 3 SO MUCH MORE 5/2 Macdonald, James A - 20 550.90
                    1 1 ANGOSTURA HANOVER 3/1 Henry, Trevor S - 10 545.46
                    4 4 GLENBORO 5/1 Cullen, Travis A - 11 545.31
                    7 7 MS QUICK SAND 6/1 Jamieson, Jody C - 14 532.60

                    Comment

                    • ConleyPicks
                      Senior Member
                      • Aug 2020
                      • 20482

                      #25
                      Free play from Mike Wynn
                      Free Pick: Lindenwood -10.5 over Southern Indiana

                      Comment

                      • ConleyPicks
                        Senior Member
                        • Aug 2020
                        • 20482

                        #26
                        Free play from Totals4U


                        Early Saturday's Free Selection: Clemson Tigers/Pittsburgh Pirates under 135 1/2

                        Comment

                        • ConleyPicks
                          Senior Member
                          • Aug 2020
                          • 20482

                          #27
                          Free play from #1 Sports


                          Saturday's Free Play: Virginia Commonwealth - 5 1/2

                          Comment

                          • ConleyPicks
                            Senior Member
                            • Aug 2020
                            • 20482

                            #28
                            Free play from Big Mike's Sports Network


                            SATURDAY, January 3, 2026

                            FREE PLAY

                            CBK
                            752. Grand Canyon -6.5 (5 PT / 8 ET)

                            Comment

                            • ConleyPicks
                              Senior Member
                              • Aug 2020
                              • 20482

                              #29
                              Free play from Hawkeye Sports


                              Early Saturday's Free Pick: Kent State Golden Flashes - 17

                              Comment

                              • ConleyPicks
                                Senior Member
                                • Aug 2020
                                • 20482

                                #30
                                Free play from The Last Call


                                Saturday's Early Free Play: (640) Drexel Dragons + 7

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