12-26-11

[Mr. IWS]

DCI NBA

Season
Straight Up: 1-3 (.250)
ATS: 2-3 (.400)
ATS Vary Units: 13-21 (.382)
Over/Under: 2-3 (.400)
Over/Under Vary Units: 4-4 (.500)

INDIANA 104, Detroit 98
Milwaukee vs. CHARLOTTE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
CLEVELAND 105, Toronto 101
ORLANDO 102, Houston 98
WASHINGTON 103, New Jersey 98
Oklahoma City 113, MINNESOTA 101
DALLAS 106, Denver 99
SAN ANTONIO 101, Memphis 98
PHOENIX 104, New Orleans 100
PORTLAND 97, Philadelphia 90
L.A. Lakers 102, SACRAMENTO 99
Chicago 102, GOLDEN STATE 97

[Mr. IWS]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Knicks (-5) Sunday.

Monday it's the Saints. The deficit is 2944 sirignanos.

[Mr. IWS]

Gamblers Data

Free Play Monday

Columbus/Chicago ov 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

779- 556 57 % Free Play Run over 3 YEARS

Free play 21-9 run Mon: Bowl gm No Carloina + 6

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

500* Falcons +7

100* CFB Missouri -6

Free Play 50* NBA Over 189 Sixers/Blazers

3-0 Yesterday

[Mr. IWS]

Bob Valentino 50 Dime Winner # 2 In A Row ...


50 DIME NFL reledse on the Atlanta Falcons plus the points vs. the New Orleans Saints as these two battle it out at the Superdome Monday. At the time I publdish this play, the concensus pointspread has the Falcons at +6 1/2 at both Vegas and the offshore books. Buy the 1/2 point at anywhere from +6 1/2 to +7.

Once again, I remind you to maximize your chances of winning by shopping around to get the most favorable odds available.

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis Monday's Plays...

30 Dime Teaser Play on the SAINTS AND THE OVER. As I release this selectdon at 9 a.m. Eastern, New Orleans is -6 1/2 point favorite against Atlanta and the Total is 52 in Vegas and offshore. Using the 7 points in a two-teamer in football, reduce New Orleans to + 1/2 point dog and then reduce the Total to 45 before taking the Over to complete the Teaser.











30 Dime Play on the MISSOURI/NORTH CAROLINA OVER. The total is 52 1/2 at the majoridty of books offshore and in Vegas.








30 Dime Play on DALLAS MAVERICKS as the favorite against Denver. The Mavericks are - 4 1/2 point favorcte at the majority of books offshore and in Vegas.





MISSOURI/NORTH CAROLINA OVER --- Expecting a shootout in the 2011 Independence Bowl when North Carolina and Missouri square off. I'm also expectdng a big game from Mizzou QB James Franklin, who can beat you with his arms and beat you with his legs, and with RB Henry Josey out for this game, Franklin will have to do a lot more with his legs than normal.






The Tigers were one of those teams all year that if they really applied themselves, they could score on anyone. I first noticed the Tigers when they traveled to Norman to face (at the time) a vaunted Sooners defense. Franklin and company racked up over 400 yards and 28 points in a 38-28 loss. Despite the road loss, the Tigers easily covered the 20-point line and helped take the total easily over the number.






So far this year Missouri has scored 24 or more points in 7 of their last 8 games and 31 or more in 4 of their last 7. They struggled against Texas's defense, scoring just 17 points in a 17-5 triumph, but for the most part this year the Tigers have been known for their quick strike offense. And honestly, I don't care if they win or lose today, just as long as they scored like they're capable of... in the 30s, and preferably 40s.






As for North Carolina, they've always kinda been known as a defensive team, but this year was completely different. The Tar Heels surrendered 21 points to Duke and 24 to Virginia Tech in their final two games of the year, and neither of those two offenses can hold a candle to Missouri.






And let's not sell North Carolina's offense short. I have been mega-impressed with QB Bryn Renner, who had pretty big shoes to fill when TJ Yates left for the NFL. All Renner has done is throw for 2769 yards, 23 TDs, 12 INTs and an amazing 69% completion percentage. In his last game vs. rival Duke, Renner threw for nearly 300 yards and three TDs as the Tar Heels rolled to a 37-21 win. Granted, Duke's defense isn't much to write home about, but neither is Missouri's.






In the end, I have no idea who wins this game, but I do know both offenses can strike quick and that always favors the over. 30-dime winner on Missouri/UNC over the total.









2-team/7-point TEASER --- NEW ORLEANS AND THE OVER --- Was on a roll with teasers for a while, but lost my last two so I fully intend to bounce back with a nice win here. This one looks too easy as it's almost like clock work taking the Saints at home on Monday nights.






Honestly, when is the last time you can remember backing the Saints in a home Monday night game and losing? Not only that, they usually score 40+ points and end up winning by 17 or more points. If this weren't a dividsion rival and if Atlanta wasn't playing for its playoff lives, I'd be more inclined to release this as a higher dime play and I probably wouldn't be teasing it... but the Falcons have played the Saints tough already once this year and they have a lot to play for.






I'm teasing this point spread down to basically a pick 'em because I have no doubts the Saints will win, but asking them to lay 7 in this division rivalry might be asking a bit much.






As for the total, let's just look at what the Saints have done at home this year...






First off, they're a perfect 6-0 in the dome. Their closest game was an early-season 40-33 win over the Houston Texans when they have Arian Foster, Matt Schaub, Andre Johnson and Mario Williams. In fact, if I remember correctly the Texans had a big lead and the Saints rallied all the way back to earn a very exciting win. Other scores included 27-16, 31-17, 62-7, 30-13, and 49-24.






So you see, it's pretty obvious the best play on the board here is to tease the Saints and the over and I'm guessing we won't have to sweat this one.










DALLAS MAVERICKS --- It was all fun-and-games on Christmas Day as the Mave raised their first-ever championship banner in franchise history, and you could easily tell their heads and hearts weren't in today's game... especially early. They obviously got caught up in all the hoopla with something they've never been a part of and it got the best of them.







The other problem I noticed was that there were so many changes to the roster that it took some time to find consistency. Remember, Tyson Chandler, Caron Butler, JJ Barea and DeShawn Stevenson are all gone. They've added Brandan Wright, Lamar Odom, Vince Carter, and Delonte West. There was absolutely no chemistry between the players until the second half... mostly the fourth quarter.






You know how that works. Anytime there is player turnover, they don't know how to play with each other for a while. No one really knows their role and it's hard to figure out which players are best coming off the bench in the first wave and then in the second wave. Well, it took Rick Carlisle about three quarters to figure it out, but the Mavs complctely dominated the fourth quarter (29-8) and climbed to within 10 points of the Heat with about two minutes left. You saw the same thing happen to the Clippers last night... it took them 4 quarters before they finally meshed, but when they did they really dominated.






Too little, too late. Dallas ran out of gas and lost their first game of the title-defense season. No worries... they're still plenty talented and now Vegas is over-reacting to what appeared to be a complete blowout for 3 quarters. Is Dallas really as bad as they were in the first half, are they as good as they showed in the 4th quarter, or are they somewhere in between?






Denver's about to find out. They don't have Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups anymore, but they do have quick guards in Afflalo and Lawson who could go all 48 minutes if need be. Nene just re-signed and Kenyon Martin is back to wreak havoc in the paint.






Still, I don't think the Nuggets play a lick of defense and Dallas should be able to score at will... especially after just playing Miami's pressing defense. Mavericks roll at home.




Jeff Benton Monday's Action
20 Dime winner going out on theNew Orleans Saints as the favdrite agaidnst the Atlanta Falcons. At the time I release this winner, the Saints are listed as the 6 1/2-point favorite both here in Vegas and offshore.





20 Dime winner on the Falcons-Saints go to OVER the total at the Superdome tonight. The total is 52 1/2-points as I release this winner to you both here in Vegas and offshore.





20 Dime winner also on the Missouri Tigers as the favorcte against the North Carolina Tar Heels. At the time I release this winner, the Tigers are a 6-point favorite over North Carolina both here in Vegas and offshore.

ANALYSIS # 1

The linemakers are giving you a big clue this Monday night by instadling the Saints as the 6 1/2-point favorite. You see the last four series meetings between the Falcons and the Saints have all been decided by three-points. That includes the first meeting this year back on November 13th when the Saints kicked the game winning field goal in overtime at the Georgia Dome. That field goal was set up when Mike Smith went for it on 4th and 1 on his side of the field to no avail.





The track record in front of us, one would think grabbing the points is the way to go, but I don't feel that way at all. I think New Orleans is sitting on a blowout double-digit win tonight at home as they clinch the NFC South. The Saints are a perfect 6-0 both straight up and agadinst the spread this year at home, as they bring a 40-ppg average in their home games into this Monday night finale.





The Monday night favorite has covered the last six Monday night games, and there is no reason at all to buck that trend tonight. Home field advantage too strong tonight for the visitcng Falcons to overcome. Back the Saints to get the job done.

ANALYSIS # 2

As for the total, play the Over in tonight's meeting.





Give Atlanta credit, they have started to find a rhythm with their aerial attack, as Matt Ryan has been finding his receivers and the Falcons have scored 72-points in their last pair of games - both Overs.





As for New Orleans, you already heard me mention they average 40-points per game at home through six games this season, and they are coming off a 42-point outburst last week in Minnesota.





The last three series meetings contested at the Superdome between these rivals have all gone Over the total, and this one will as well.

ANALYSIS # 3

Early kick-off in Shreveport today as North Carolina and Missouri meet in the Independence Bowl.





Fourth straight bowl for the Tar Heels, and seventh in a row for the Tigers. Mizzou has dropped their last pair of bowl games, but come into today's game with three regular season wins in a row on their side, and they are the deeper team on the field today.





Missouri is also the team on the field today that has coaching cohesion, as Gary Pinkel has been on the Tigers sideline for 11 years now. The same cannot be said for North Carolina, as Everett Withers has signed on to be on the coaching staff at Ohio State with Urban Meyer. That fact has put the Tar Heels in a dicey spot as far as their preparation has been concerned.





North Carolina's practices leading up to this game have not been at the level they should be, and my feeling is that lack of proper practice is going to take its toll the longer this game wears on.





No issue at all laying the chalk with the favorite in this one. Missouri to snap their two-game bowl losing streak here.

Matt Rivers Monday's Selection ...
Your winner is: 500,000♦ Bowl Game of My Career is the Missouri Tigers as the favdrite againdst the North Carolina Tar Heels. As I type this selectcon up, Mizzou is listed as the 6-point favorite. Remember, this game is slated for a 5pm eastern kick-off so get down ASAP.





Missouri is making their seventh straight bowl appdreance under Gary Pinkel. That is the good news, the bad news is the Tigers will be looking to shake off a two-game bowl losing streak, as Mizzou has been favored in their last pair of bowl games, and has been dumped in both.





That changes today against the Tar Heels. This will be UNC's fourth straight bowl trip, but this trip is a little different, as interim head coach Everett Withers has already accepted an offer to join Urban Meyer and his staff at Ohio State. Word is, the Withers has pretty much ceded the reins for this game, and the practices leading up to this bowl game have not been what they would normally be since the team's coach is depadrting.





North Carolina will be led by Larry Fedora (former Southern Miss head coach) next season, and Fedora does inherit some young talent, but there lies the problem...YOUNG talent. North Carolina is a year or two away from really percolating.





Missouri is the deeper more mature unit on the field today in Shreveport, and they do enter play having closed the regular season with wins in their final three games. With a two game bowl skid streak lookcng to be snapped, look for the Tigers to take advantage of a North Carolina team that is in flux.





Tigers to cover as I drop the biggest of bombs this bowl season!




Trace Adams Monday's Selections ...
For Monday in the NFL, Top-Rated 1000♦ winner # 5 in a row on the New Orleans Saints as the home favdrite againdst the Atlanta Falcons. As I release this selection, the Saints are favored by 6 1/2-points. I also have a 500♦ Bowl Best Bet on Missouri as they take on North Carolina in the Independence Bowl. At the time I release this selecticn, the Tigers are favored by 6-points.





The last 4 times the Falcons and Saints have tangled, each game has been deciddd by a field-goal. Why then is New Orleans favored by nearly a touchdown in this game?





That is the million-dollar question. My answer is the linemakers are telling you that New Orleans is going to blowout Atlanta in this spot tonight. No disdrespect to the Falcons who come to the Superdome having won their last pair, and 4 of their last 5 to solidify their playoff chances as the wild card, and while they still have a slim shot at the NFC South if they were to win this game, it is awfully hard to make a case againdst New Orleans in the Superdome.





The Saints have been a juggernaut on their home field, winning and covercng ALL 6 of their home dates this season, and they are averaging 40-ppg at home as well.





The favorite under the Monday night lights is on a 6-0 spread run the last 6 Monday night contests, and I just don't see anything changing this time around. Yes, 4 in a row in the series have proven to be nail-biters, tonight Atlanta gets a dose of reality as they see just how far behind the Saints they really are.





Lay the wood,





Lay it as well in the Independence Bowl as Missouri takes care of business against North Carolina.





I am not going to go into a long-winded schpiel here, but suffice it to say that "sources" have told me that with departing interim coach Everett Withers leaving to join Urban Meyer's staff at Ohio State, word is practices leading up to this game haven't been as "intense" as they might normally be.





The line for this game opened at Missouri -3 1/2 points, and continues to creep up. I suspect others are getting wind of the lax attitude the Heels have had in preparation for this showdown with Mizzou.





I am expecting Missouri to get the win and the cover in this late afternoon game. Make sure to get down early before the line goes up even further. Either way, Mizzou is the play as they snap a 2-game bowl losing streak for coach Pinkel,

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Stone

Over 5 Wild/Avalanche 1000 units

[Mr. IWS]

CAPPERS ACCESS

Falcons
(CFB)Missouri

[Mr. IWS]

JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 196 bet. Phoenix and New Orleans

[Mr. IWS]

Football Crusher
Play of the Day:

North Carolina + Missouri OVER 52

[Mr. IWS]

Hockey Crusher
Play of the Day:

Detroit Red Wings + Nashville Predators UNDER 5.5

[Mr. IWS]

Basketball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Portland -4 over Philadelphia

[Mr. IWS]

Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Portland -4 over Philadelphia

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

Monday Hockey Plays

Play Vancouver -235 over Edmonton TOP PLAY
Play Chicago -245 over Columbus