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Los Angeles +126 over NASHVILLE The total is 5 and you have to lay 30 cents to play it under, meaning the books expect this to be low scorer and they're probably right. Both teams have solid goaltending and it is a crap shoot to predict which goalie will be the difference maker tonight. The point is, this game is a tossup and the Kings' chances of winning are as good as the Preds' chances and therefore taking back some juice is the prudent choice. L.A. is finally playing its best hockey of the year and it couldn't have come at a better time. They open a pivotal four-game trip here and they're just a point behind the Sharks for the eighth and final playoff spot. The Kings go for their third straight victory here after beating the Ducks 4-2 on Sunday. Jeff Carter scored twice in that game and the Kings have scored 13 times in four games since Carter's arrival. This is a team with a new found confidence and one that is more dangerous than they were two weeks ago Play: Los Angeles +126 (Risking 2 units).
Detroit +131 over PHILADELPHIA Despite being without a couple of key players and their #1 goaltender, the Red Wings are still the Red Wings and can beat anyone. Against the high flying Blackhawks on Sunday, in a 2-1 loss, Detroit played a solid game, held Chicago to just 18 shots on net and could've easily won. Joey MacDonald has been so solid in net since Jimmy Howard went down so that's a non-issue. MacDonald is 7-2-1 with a 1.69 GAA in 10 games for Detroit. Philly's goaltending is an issue. Ilya Bryzgalov is inconsistent as have the Flyers been at home. Philadelphia's road record continues to be better than its home record and it remains an ongoing issue. As banged up as the Red Wings are, the Flyers are just as dinged up, as defensemen Kimmo Timonen and Andrej Meszaros along with left wing James van Riemsdyk are all sidelined. Finally, the Flyers will honor Mark Howe tonight in a pre-game ceremony. Aside from the recognition to the player, these ceremonies hinder the home-team as they are forced to stand around their own blue-line for 30 minutes or so while the opposing team relaxes in the dressing room. We see the sluggish effects that these events cause the host. It is a liability that can aid our purposes. Combine that with the significant edge in net and on defense that the Wings possess and the tag here makes the Red Wings much more appealing than the host Play: Detroit +131 (Risking 2 units).
Edmonton +188 over SAN JOSE We've been playing against the Sharks for a couple of weeks now and we see no reason to stop here. This is a fragile host that is hanging on to that final playoff spot by a thread. The Sharks have dropped 11 of their past 15 games to fall from first place in the Pacific division down to eighth in the conference, a single point ahead of L.A. Under pressure, the Sharkies are the least appealing team in the NHL, as they prove every year come playoffs. Now this young, talented and energetic Oilers team will come in loose with a chance to play the spoiler. Edmonton brings the NHL's #1 ranked power-play with them and it's also worth noting that they're healthier than they've been all season. Great price on the Oil and one we're sure not going to overlook when considering the opponent and their current and historical struggles under pressure. Play: Edmonton +188 (Risking 2 units).
Pitt -6 (-105) for 2 units @ 2 pm- I think the public is really overrating how St. John’s will come out at MSG. Pitt is trying to salvage an uncharacteristically terrible season, and they match-up very nicely against St. John’s as is evidenced by their 20 point win earlier in the season. Yes this was at home, but there are some variables from that game that should remain constant, such as a significant edge on the glass for Pitt as they are one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the country in addition to the ability to do pretty much whatever they please on offense. St. John’s gives up an extraordinary amount of assists to opponents, which should be heightened with Woodall running the point for Pitt. St. John’s has also consistently struggled with zones, and Pitt will most likely play a point-zone tonight, really contesting St. John’s and making looks on offense hard to come by. While Pitt always seems to come up short in the Big East tournament and rely on an at-large bid into the tournament, I see things differently this year. I can’t see Jamie Dixon letting this disappointing season end without really making some noise in the tournament, and I think they will peak at the right time and really make a run. Hopefully Gibbs can knock down some shots today, which will really open up the court for drives. St. John’s is poor at defending the three and even worse at shooting it themselves, so I’m hoping both of these trends continue tonight. Furthermore, St. John’s is not a deep team whatsoever, and I think Pitt can wear them down with constant high-pressure defense. Overall, I think Pitt makes a statement in this game and really takes care of business, showing the Big East that their season isn’t done just yet.
Richmond +6 (-105) for 2 units @ 7 pm- Real good situational spot for Richmond against a La Salle team that is really struggling as of late. La Salle is lights out from three, but their 4 guard offense should struggle against Richmond’s zone tonight. Combine that with the fact that they get no inside presence to play inside-out tonight, and I think Richmond’s high-scoring offense is more than capable of keeping this one close. Overall I think Richmond takes care of business on the road.
WUNDERDOG
CBB 290-260 Season-to-Date +$950
Game: George Washington at Dayton (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: George Washington +9 (-110)
George Washington has suffered through a 20 loss season and will head to Dayton where the Flyers will be looking to secure their 20th win. These clubs met in the regular season finale where Dayton was an easy 16 point winner. That could spell trouble here as the Flyers may be looking ahead thinking this is an easy one. Dayton may be looking for their 20th win, but have been an unsteady 5-6 in their last 11 regular season games and, despite their win in the season finale, George Washington has taken the money in five of the last seven meetings. Dayton will be caught napping in this one, play on George Washington.
Taking DETROIT here. Told you this team would be here. I am a fan of the Titans no doubt. If the site updated faster, we would have had them in round 2 also. We will play them here as a small dog. I would have taken them ML if it was posted when I was putting these plays out here online. Valpo swept the series this year. As the saying goes. It is tough to beat a good team 3 times. And Detroit is good. They seem to be all the same page and playing well right now. Valpo has won 5 straight in the series, and Detroit would love nothing better than to end that skid and punch a ticket to go dancing.
5* DETROIT TITANS
Taking WEBER STATE here. This is a big public fave, but I like this team. I have mentioned Lillard in the past as being a legit NBA prospect. Well it is time for him to man-up and bring this team a tournament title. Weber swept the season series covering in both games. I don't like Weber's number on a neutral court, but team-wise, they should pull away here and cover the spread.
4* WEBER STATE
Interesting the Lakers are not dominant on the road, 0-4 ATS their last 4 road games and as I look through the box scores, they have not won a game by over 5 on the road all year. Detroit playing a better brand of hoops as of late, covering 8 out of their last 11 games as a dog, and have cashed tickets in 11 out of their last 15 games overall. LA laying a big number here because they are LA and off a huge win over the Heat at home. LA is a totally different animal on the road and playing a hot ATS team who covers like crazy at home.
Play 1 Unit on Detroit
Bonus half unit play on Detroit / Valparaiso OVER 137
Tonight I am taking the Villanova Wildcats Money Line @ -125 as small favorites against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Villanova has had a down year this season but they still have more than enough talent to put together a little run in this Big East Conference Tournament. I look for Coach Jay Wright to have his team ready to go and to have something to build on and look forward to going into next season. This is a young team and Winning a couple games here in the Garden could go along way for their confidience going into next season. Malik Wayns will be the best player to step out on the court in this game and he will go for 20+ easily leading his team to Victory tonight. Take Villanova as they take care of business tonight in the Garden!
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