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John Ryan 30* texas
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Sports Wagers
Missouri -21½ over Norfolk State
4:4 PM EST. Let’s put this one into a little perspective. Unlike many of the small conference representatives that have plenty of talent, Norfolk State is like that old Sesame Street song that starts off with, “One of these things doesn’t belong”. Norfolk is that “thing”. They played in the MEAC conference along with programs like Delaware State, Howard, Hampton, Coppin State and Savannah State to name a few. The MEAC is the weakest group in the country and Norfolk State is the weakest team in the field by a wide, wide margin. The Spartans ranked #296 in turnovers, #246 in turnover margin, and #271 in fouls committed? That was against the 331st worst strength of schedule in the country. How bad must one be to put up numbers like that against a one of the worst schedules in the land? By contrast, Missouri had the 38th toughest schedule. Norfolk State can’t handle the ball, nor are they quick enough to defend against this offensive juggernaut. A lot of you have never seen Norfolk State play. The #16 seeds have fared much better against the number over the past few years but this is one of those old-time #1 v. #16 matchups that regularly saw #16 get whacked by 40 or more. The Tigers should be charged up by a partisan crowd that will make the short drive to Omaha. On their worst day this strong contender should beat this first timer by 30. On an average day they should beat them by 45. This is a mismatch of mammoth proportions so don’t be afraid to step in. Play: Missouri -21½ (Risking 2.04 units to win 2).Comment
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Sports wagers - edited texas playTexas +3/+135 over Cincinnati Sports Interaction
12:15 PM EST. Talent wise, give an edge to Texas. In terms of experience, give an edge to the Bearcats. What we really have here however, is an undervalued ’Horns squad against an overvalued ‘Cats team. The Longhorns barely sneaked into this event, as they needed a win over Iowa State to confirm their bid. When the chips were down with everything on the line, Texas responded with that win. That’s a growing process for this hugely talented but young club. It may not have come down to that had they closed out earlier games. Of their 13 losses, eight came by six points or less, thus, those 13 defeats on paper look a lot worse than they were. J`Covan Brown is likely going to be the best player on the floor and if this streak-shooter gets hot, it’ll be one and done for the Bearcats. If he’s off his game, Cinci could still lose because they’re a horrible shooting team and a dreadful free-throw shooting team. They Bearcats had many good wins down the stretch due their tenacity on defense and their ability to force turnovers. That does not hide their flaws of being a poor shooting and rebounding team and a club that is not capable of blowing out the Longhorns. For the most part, Cinci didn’t perform like a 6-seed while the Longhorns are the far more dangerous club. Play: Texas +3 (Risking 1.05 units to win 1) Play: Texas +135 (Risking 1 units).Comment
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SPORTS WAGERS - ADDED NCAA
Ohio +6 over Michigan Pinnacle
7:20 PM EST. Ohio is as dangerous this year as they were last year when they upset Georgetown. Its 27 wins are the most in school history. The Bobcats run a balanced offensive attack which incorporates all of their scorers into the mix. Five players average nine points a game or more. Their steals, blocks per game and offensive rebounds led the MAC. The Bobcats are not a great shooting team but what they lack in scoring, they more than make up in other areas. They’ll play great defense, they’re relentless when going after every loose ball and rebound and they’re capable of frustrating anyone, especially a young and beatable team like the Wolverines. Michigan's starting five resembles a high school team, with one big (6-8 forward Jordan Morgan) surrounded by guards and wings. As a result, the Wolverines are one of the worst rebounding teams in the field, ranking 311th in rebounds per game. Their strength is an offense that creates mismatches with four guards on the floor at once. They also live and die by the triple and that’s a gamble not worth taking. Upsets happen in this tournament every year. They often occur when a team that relies heavily on three-point shooting is having an off game. We’ve seen Michigan have more than its fair share of off games this season and they’re one of those teams that are very vulnerable to the upset. A more sound and reliable Bobcats’ squad gets the call. Play: Ohio +6 (Risking 2.2 units to 2).Comment
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