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Re: 11-11-08
Lance's Lock
Overall record: 692-584-24
Current streak: 1 win
Todays play: The 76er's -4'
Lance's Lock
Overall record: 692-584-24
Current streak: 1 win
Todays play: The 76er's -4'
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Re: 11-11-08
DOC
NHL
3 Unit Play. #8 Take Calgary over Toronto (9:35 pm NHL Center Ice) The Flames are always a tough out at the Saddledome and the Leafs have just one victory in their last four games. Toronto has also lost three straight games in Calgary and the Flames are ready to return home after a road trip. Calgary has scored points in six of eight home games this season (5 wins) and will regroup in a big way tonight behind Miikka Kiprusoff and company.
NBA
3-Unit Play - #509 Take LA Lakers Over Dallas (8:35 p.m. EST, Tuesday) Wanted to jump on the Lakers bandwagon here before the lines get too out of control. This team is amazing and they have added one of the best defenses in the league to an offense that is nearly unstoppable. Take away a road game at Denver that they won by seven points and they haven’t had a game that was even close this season. We love that we are getting this game under the key number of seven, which is the point on the scoreboard where the opposition will normally stop fouling in the final seconds of the game. As we have said before, the Mavs are on the downswing this season and we want to get on the Lakers before the oddsmakers take any value out of this team.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
3 Unit Play. #302 Take Miami over Ball State (7:00 pm ESPN 2) The Cardinals quest for perfection is on the line yet again when they travel to Oxford to take on the Redhawks. Miami won in Muncie in 2007 and this is just too many points to be laying on the road against a conference team. The Hawks have two decent running backs that are both averaging over four yards per carry and they should be able to move the football and keep the clock running. The Cardinals win this game and remain unblemished but it comes much closer then what the experts think.
COMP
Free Pick for Tuesday #505 Take Milwaukee Over Cleveland (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday) - The Bucks have won three of the last five meetings straight up and they have covered in all five of those contests (one of the SU losses was in OT). So we have a history in the series where the dog plays real tough against this team. Milwaukee comes into this game at 3-4 but they have been very competitive and all their games and their biggest loss was in Boston by 12 points. The Cavs have been playing pretty well but even their last two wins were close. We don’t think this is a live dog that can win straight up but when you are getting this many points a blowout is the only way you can lose and the Bucks have shown the ability to hang around in games all season and we think they will keep this one within double digits.Comment
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Re: 11-11-08
JOHN RYAN
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Ai Simulator 5* graded play on Miami (Ohio) - AiS shows an 83% probability that Miami (Ohio) will lose this game by 17 or fewer points. There is not a real potential for an upset here, but AiS shows that Miami will keep this game throughout. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 41-11 79% ATS since 2002. Play against road favorites that are a team with a turnover differential of +0.75/game or better facing a team with a differential of -0.75/game or worse and with the game being a conference tilt. Here is a second system that has gone 32-11 ATS for 74% since 2002. Play against road favorites off 2 consecutive home wins and a top-level team sporting a win percentage of >=80% playing a team with a losing record. here is a third system that has produced a mark of 43-14 ATS for 75% since 2002. Play on a home team with a turnover margin of -1 /game or worse on the season and after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of -2 or worse. Let's not forget something very fundamental and that is Ball State has played no one this season. They have an opponent power ranking index of 24 while the other top-10 teams in the BCS sport an index at or above 40. Miami (Ohio) even has an OPR of 32 and that seasoning will help to make this a far closer game that Ball State would expect. Miami's Daniel Raudabaugh will start at quarterback versus Ball State. Redshirt freshman Clay Belton was injured last Tuesday vs. Buffalo and has been ruled out for play against Ball State. This is actually a big advantage in that Ball State will NOT be able to prepare for him and his tendencies. Take Miami (OHIO)Comment
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Re: 11-11-08
LOCK OF THE DAY
Tuesday Lock : BallState -17
BallState is having an excellent season!! No reason to think things will change versus 2-7 Miami of Ohio. Miami lost to Buffalo last week by 20. The week before they gave up 54 points to KentState! These teams are headed in opposite directions. BallState scored 45 points last week against a pretty good Northern Illinois defense. They should put up at least that many in tonight's game. Consider like opponents: BallState destroyed KentState by 41-20. This game will not be pretty! It will be over by halftime! Lay the points and enjoy this blowout!Comment
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Re: 11-11-08
Rocky Atkinson
Rocketman Sports TOP RATED 5* NHL Underdog play Tuesday!
Nashville Predators vs. San Jose Sharks (Nov 11 10:35 PM)
Nashville Predators (190)
Nashville @ San Jose 10:35 PM EST
Play On: 5* Nashville +200
Who in their right mind would take a Nashville team that is 1-7 on the road this year against a San Jose team that is a perfect 9-0 at home? Only me! We don't have a lot of stats or trends backing us in this game. San Jose main Goalie Nabokov is listed as questionable so I think the Sharks will be going with Boucher in this one tonight which gives us a little better opportunity in my opinion. We'll play Nashville for 5 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, Rocky
Dallas Stars vs. Los Angeles Kings (Nov 11 10:35 PM)
Dallas Stars (-115)
Dallas @ Los Angeles 10:35 PM EST
Play On: 3* Dallas -115
Los Angeles is 10-31 last 3 years after a win by 2 goals or more. Los Angeles is 12-43 last 3 years after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game. Dallas is 12-4 SU and ATS overall vs Los Angeles last 3 years. Stars are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games. Stars are 8-3 in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Kings are 22-46 in their last 68 vs. Western Conference. Kings are 27-59 in their last 86 vs. Pacific. Kings are 15-36 in their last 51 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Kings are 2-5 in their last 7 home games. Kings are 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Kings are 16-45 in their last 61 games following a win. Kings are 4-17 in their last 21 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Kings are 1-5 in their last 6 Tuesday games. Kings are 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. We'll play Dallas for 3 units tonight! Thanks and good luck, RockyComment
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Re: 11-11-08
Vernon Croy's **20 Unit NHL SMASH OF THE WEEK**
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames (Nov 11 9:35 PM)
Calgary Flames (-145)
20 Units, Take Calgary ML, The Flames are the superior team here Tuesday night and the Leafs are just 1-4 in their last 5 games when playing with 2 days rest. The Leafs had had trouble killing penalties with opponents converting at over 45% against them over their last 5 games and now they have to play with-out Mike Van Ryan who has turned out to be one of their top defensemen. The Flames are 4-1 over their last 5 home games and the home team is a perfect 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. The Flames bounce back with s strong performance at home tonight against a Leafs team that has allowed 4.2 goals per game over their last 5 games. Take Calgary as my NHL Smash of the Week.Comment
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