4-6-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

moved

Sports Wagers MLB

HOUSTON +116 over Colorado Pinnacle
Colorado has a strong offensive team but that’s not the problem. Jeremy Guthrie starts the opener followed by 49-year-old Jamie Moyer and that has to be considered one of the worst, if not the worst top two opening day starters in MLB history. Guthrie comes over from Baltimore where he proved again that he's durable, consistent but not awful, has little room for error and that he offers very little as the chalk. Guthrie’s strikeout rate is mediocre and his groundball % is barely adequate. Also troubling is the 110 jacks and .437 slugging % he’s allowed over the past four seasons. Even with support or a division change, at age 33, his most recent seasons are now benchmarks. Only the hardest of the hardcore fans will recognize more than a few of the names on Houston's every day lineup. That’s fine because a group of young, talented and enthusiastic kids, with no expectations or pressure could actually compete on most nights. Wandy Rodriguez gets the opening day start and he’s deserving of it. His prior reputation of inconsistency is a thing of past. Four years of xERAs in the 3.60-3.70 range and the ERA results to match confirm his reliability. Colorado might be playing a lot of catch-up this season and will be much more appealing taking back a tag than laying one. That applies here. Play: Houston +116 (Risking 2 units).

TAMPA BAY +118 over N.Y. Yankees Pinnacle
If this game were played at Yankee Stadium, the price would make sense but at the Trop, it’s incorrect. These two split 18 games right down the middle a year ago and both will likely battle all summer long for the AL East title. In the “not exactly shocking news” category, NYY manager Joe Girardi has declared CC Sabathia his Opening Day starter. In an effort to stay strong throughout the year, Sabathia came into camp with a bit less weight that he was carrying last season. Going into 2011, it looked like he might be declining slightly – lefties hit him harder than usual in 2010, and his command had dropped for three straight years. But he recovered his command and dominated LH hitters in his usual fashion. He was great last year and his value has never been higher. Sabathia has averaged 240 IP over the last five years and while his skills were once again elite last year, the mileage on his arm could catch up to him. However, this isn’t about wagering against Sabathia. This is about wagering on the Rays at home with James Shields on the hill, a combination that might not be a dog again all year. For Shields, it was almost a carbon copy, skills-wise of 2010 but with very different results. You can count on his skills, reliability says that. His opening day price suggests that the oddsmakers believe the public will they be looking at 2011 as lucky as with 2010 in the back of their minds? Don’t buy into 2010 numbers. Shields’ is for real with great control, a high strikeout rate and 16 games won that could have easily been 22. Definite overlay. Play: Tampa Bay +118 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play LA Angels (-220) over Kansas City (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 10:00 PM EST

Kansas City has lost 18 of the last 25 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and they have lost 95 of the last 151 road games as an underdog of +100 or higher.

50* Play Texas (-180) over Chicago WhiteSox (MBL BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Baltimore (-135) over Minnesota (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Minnesota/ Baltimore Under 9: Gotta look to the weather in this one. Early reports are that the wind will be blowing in from center at 15+ mph and that can make this great hitting park into an average hitting park. The Pitchers on the mound will not instill fear in the hitters, but then again both of these offenses are below average at best. The Twins last year hit just .247 and scored 3.8 rpg and they did little in the offseason to upgrade the offense. The O's did hit better (.257) scored more runs (4.4 rp) than the Twins, but still not a great offense and outside of Reynolds, Hardy and Jones they just don't have a whole lot of power. Let's also not that the UNDER is 15-5-2 in the last 22 meetings, while 7 of the 8 games last year put 9 or less runs on the board, with the Twins scoring 1 or less runs in 6 of those games. with the wind blowing in like that we may not get a HR and it's hard to reach 9 runs with out the long ball. I see about 6 runs in this one.

2 UNIT PLAY

Texas -1.5 (+110) Over Chicago (AL): This had to be a tough offseason for the Rangers as they were one out away from winning it all last year and then their top hitter Josh Hamilton had some problems with alcohol during the winter as well. If there was ever a team that wants to get back on the field and get off to a good start this year, it is the Rangers. Today they will be facing a Chicago team that has little pop, especially after losing Quentin to the Padres. The Sox still have Dunn and Rios, but both have really seen their numbers go down recently and im not expecting much of an increase this year. The Rangers will once again field a very impressive offense and Lewis is the better starter in this one over Danks. The Rangers at home will look to start the year with a big win so they can erase some of the bad taste the winter has left in their mouths. Texas by at least 4 runs in this one.

1 UNIT PLAY

Ny Yanks/ Tampa Bay Under 7: I know all about the offense that is on the field for these two teams, but I feel the offenses are a bit slower to get going in the early season than the Pitching and we have two good starters on the mound in this one. CC Sabathia has struggled in the Preseason, with an over 5.00 ERA, but he has always struggled in the preseason (5.27 Career ERA in spring) and he has gone on to fine years. CC has a 3.10 ERA vs Tampa All-time and a 3.64 ERA at the Trop, plus in 112 career day starts he has a 3.12 ERA. Shield's had a nice spring, with a 2.08 ERA, while he owns a 3.03 ERA in April/ March in his career and a 2.33 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Yanks. This game will be all about pitching as no more than 5 runs are scored.

[Mr. IWS]

Marc Lawrence

3* Thunder
3* A's

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

Friday's Action
100 Dime Winner # 6 Oklahoma City Thunder

[Mr. IWS]

EAGLE EYE SPORTS
Handicapper Mike CLark
Memphis -vs-Miami Under 188.5
Seattle Mariners vs Oakland Athletics Over 6.5

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

500* NBA Over 189 Heat/Grizzlies
100* MLB Orioles -130
50* MLB Rockies -120

10-8 NBA Totals Run
4-2 500 NBA Totals run
1-3 run on MLB
0-1 on 100 MLB
1-1 on 50 MLB

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

100* Play Memphis (+7.5) over Miami (FREE PLAY)
7:30 PM EST

Memphis has won 5 of the last 7 games and they have also won 8 of the last 10 games coming off a division game. Memphis has won 11 of the last 15 games after having won three of the last four games and they have also won 4 of the last 5 games coming off a division loss.

[Mr. IWS]

Mike Hook

Orioles -133 over Twins (Double Dime) 3:05

A's -145 over Mariners (Double Dime) 10:05

Padres -131 over Dodgers (Double Dime) 10:05

Lakers -6 over Rockets (Double Dime) 10:35

Pacers +3.5 over Thunder (Dime) 7:05

Masters: Larry Mize -135 over Ian Woosnam (Triple Dime)
I'm not sure on tee time

[Mr. IWS]

Prediction Machine

Top 3 sides today

Tampa Bay Rays, Arizona D`Backs, Minnesota Twins

Top 3 totals today

OVER Seattle/Oakland, UNDER Chisox/Texas, UNDER Houston/Colorado

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
Game: Minnesota at Baltimore (3:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Baltimore -120 (moneyline)

The Baltimore Orioles have not had a winning season since 1997, and likely won't this season, but they are becoming more competitive. The Twins are coming off a season where they lost 99 games, and there simply isn't anything added to this team to expect anything different. They added Josh Willingham, but lost Michael Cuddyer to free agency, and that move is a wash in my opinion, losing contact and average for a bit more pop. The O's closed last year winning four straight series openers, and behind Arrieta they have been 8-3 in series lid-lifters.
The Twins closed last season at 14-42 as an underdog, so play on Baltimore.

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard NBA GOY on Toronto-8

[Mr. IWS]

Frank Patron

100,000 OKC Thunder - 3 1/2

[Mr. IWS]

DAVE COKIN

Friday Under the Hat Baseball Winner!!!

HOUSTON (Rodriguez +110) over Colorado (Guthrie)