4-7-12

[Mr. IWS]

Lines2win

2-1 (+.81 Units) - Last Night. We took a small loss in the afternoon and covered it later in the night with the Dodgers. St Louis gets to Gallardo early and often leaving him now with just 1 victory in 13 starts against St Louis. We will keep an eye on that matchup later on in the year. Minnesota can't find any offense as they lose to the Orioles while the Dodgers shut out the Padres in the nightcap. MLB now 4-2 (+2.81 Units) to start the season.

MLB

Atlanta -113 (1.5 Units) - Jurrgens pitches very well against the Mets while Dickey has just 1 win in 5 career starts. The Mets snuck by in game 1 as it turned into a pitchers duel with Santana and Hanson. Dickey's primary pitch is the knuckeball and if the knuckeball is off even just a bit, its gonna be a long day for the Mets. Atlanta to take this one.

[Mr. IWS]

Robert Ferringo

2-Unit Play. Take #903 Atlanta (-110) over N.Y. Mets (1 p.m.)

The Mets are kind of like the Little Engine That Could right now. But today they can't. Atlanta has had two days to stew over their loss in the opener and I think they even things up here. R.A. Dickey has traditionally been a slow starter, with a career ERA over 5.00 in April. He usually gets more control over his knuckleball as the season wears on. Dickey is just 1-4 in his career against the Braves and I think that they will get to him today. Jair Jurrjens is 8-4 with a 2.94 ERA in his career against the Mets and only one guy (Dan Murphy) is hitting over .270 against him. I think that his Spring Training struggles were a bit of an aberration and that he will have his sharp stuff today.

2-Unit Play. Take #909 Colorado (-120) over Houston (7 p.m.)

If I see the Astros against a favorite laying less than -150 this year I think that it will be nearly an automatic play. They looked awful yesterday in their loss and I think that it's going to be even tougher today. They are trotting out Lucas Harrell, who has all of five starts in his career, against a very motivated Jamie Moyer today. I think Harrell is going to have tough sledding against a very potent Rockies lineup and I can see Colorado gaining some momentum with another win here today.

2-Unit Play. Take #917 Toronto (-110) over Cleveland (1 p.m.)

Cleveland has had to sit and think about that brutal Opening Day loss for the last day-and-a-half and I think that one has to be a kick in the groin. Now they are going up against Brandon Morrow, who has the stuff to be light's out. The Jays will get their licks in against Ubaldo Jiminez. Not only does Jiminez have bad karma right now, but he was lit up for a 5.10 ERA after switching over to the American League last year. He wasn't good in Spring Training and posted a 7.43 ERA in his seven starts this spring. I think that Toronto is the better team here and I think that they will jump out early and keep twisting the knife into the Indians.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #922 L.A. Angels (-1.5, -105) over Kansas City (4 p.m.)

Let's keep banging the drum with the Angels. I am not a fan of Luke Hochevar. But the Angels are. The current Angels hit .375 against Hochevar and a lot of Angels starts just abuse him. He is 0-3 with a 8.02 ERA in his career against the Halos and I think he will get hit hard again today. Dan Haren is 4-1 with a 1.91 ERA in eight career starts against the Royals and I definitely trust his stuff more than Hochevar's. I think the Angels will keep on mashing today.

0.5-Unit Play. Take #923 Minnesota (-105) over Baltimore (7 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #908 Arizona (-120) over San Francisco (4 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #915 L.A. Dodgers (+105) over San Diego (8:30 p.m.)

Today's Totals

1.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 L.A. Dodgers at San Diego (8:30 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 7.0 Kansas City at L.A. Angels (4 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.0 St. Louis at Milwaukee (4 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 7.5 Boston at Detroit (4 p.m.)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 6.5 Seattle at Oakland (9 p.m.)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner:

1500* NBA Over 198 Suns/Lakers

100* MLB Twins -105

50* MLB Over 7 Braves/Mets

[Mr. IWS]

JR ODonnell

Suns/Lakers UNDER 199 (Double Dime) 10:05

[Mr. IWS]

Stephen Nover

Dallas Mavs +3.5 over Grizzlies (Double Dime) 8:05

[Mr. IWS]

Greg Shaker

Arizona/Giants OVER 8 (Double Dime) 4:05

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

905 Cards +110 @ 4:05p

907 Giants +104 @ 4:05p

920 Tigers -108 @ 4:05p

921 Royals +164 @ 4:05p

910 Astros +113 @ 7:05p

912 Pirates +147 @ 7:05p

924 Orioles Even @ 7:05p

913 Marlins +135 @ 7:10p

927 White Sox +162 @ 8:05p

929 Mariners -117 @ 9:05p

[Mr. IWS]

Andy Iskoe SATURDAY

Magic at Sixers: The home team has won both meetings this season although Orlando covered each time. Philadelphia has been one of the more reliable team this season with the 76ers whacking the weaker teams on its schedule much more often that not while at the same time struggling against the better teams it has faced. Orlando has been both strong and weak at various times this season.

Despite holding the third seed in the East, Orlando has at times looked like one of the bottom feeders in the league, twice this season being held to under 60 points in a game and twice more to under 70. Eleven of their 21 losses have been by double digits. The Magic started this week on a three game losing streak that followed three straight wins. Philly has alternated wins and losses over the past two weeks but has been a solid 19-10 at home this season. Orlando is 14-11 on the road.

Although the 76ers do have a big game on Sunday at Boston, they enter this game with an extra day of rest. The look ahead for Philly might actually depress this line a bit, offering added value in backing them against an inconsistent foe. SIXERS.

[Mr. IWS]

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