4-14-12

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Minnesota Timberwolves +11

Kansas City Royals -135

JIMMY BOYD

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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Our Free Plays are 827- 607 (57 %) over the last 3 years PLUS

Free winner Sat wash nationals -130

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Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at Colorado

The Diamondbacks look to bounce back from yesterday's 7-6 loss to Colorado and take advantage of the Rockies' 0-8 record in their last 8 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Arizona is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 14 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Volstad) 15.169; St. Louis (Lynn) 16.457 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 8 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-200); Over

Game 953-954: Cincinnati at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.575; Washington (Jackson) 15.070 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+110); Under

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Philadelphia (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 13.984; Philadelphia (Worley) 15.336 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-145); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-145); Under

Game 957-958: Houston at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Norris) 14.277; Miami (Zambrano) 13.260 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Miami (-175); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+155); Over

Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.691; Atlanta (Minor) 15.603 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-110); 8 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Collmenter) 15.624; Colorado (Chacin) 14.263 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+130); Over

Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.121; San Francisco (Zito) 14.439 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+130); Under

Game 965-966: San Diego at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Wieland) 15.427; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 16.965 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-135); 7 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-135); Over

Game 967-968: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 14.977; NY Yankees (Hughes) 14.187 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+105); Under

Game 969-970: Texas at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 17.038; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.056 Dunkel Line: Texas by 3; 9 Vegas Line: Texas (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-160); Over

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Toronto (4:07 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hammel) 14.370; Toronto (Alvarez) 15.789 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Toronto (-160); 9 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-160); Under

Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at Boston (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 15.437; Boston (Buchholz) 14.945 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+115); Over

Game 975-976: Detroit at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Wilk) 16.602; White Sox (Floyd) 16.195 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 9 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under

Game 977-978: Cleveland at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Gomez) 14.792; Kansas City (Sanchez) 15.553 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Over

Game 979-980: Oakland at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 14.804; Seattle (Noesi) 16.055 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Under

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Today's NHL Picks

Washington at Boston

The Capitals look to bounce back from their 1-0 loss in Game 1 and build on their 9-1 record in their last 10 games when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Washington is the pick (+165) according to Dunkel, which has the Capitals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+165). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 14 Time Posted 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 73-74: Washington at Boston (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 13.001; Boston 12.225 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-185); 5 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+165); Under

Game 75-76: Ottawa at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 10.766; NY Rangers 11.404 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-165); Over

Game 77-78: San Jose at St. Louis (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.961; St. Louis 10.735 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+150); Under

Game 79-80: Chicago at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 12.457; Phoenix 11.778 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-105); Over

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Today's NBA Picks

Boston at New Jersey

The Celtics look to build on their 8-3 ATS record in their last 11 games at New Jersey. Boston is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 10 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6). Here are all of today's picks

SATURDAY, APRIL 14 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Golden State at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 110.535; LA Clippers 120.607 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 10; 201 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11 1/2; 197 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+11 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Cleveland at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 108.782; Washington 111.125 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 194 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4; 198 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+4); Under

Game 705-706: Boston at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 123.517; New Jersey 113.232 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 10 1/2; 179 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 6; 183 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-6); Under

Game 707-708: Utah at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 119.104; Memphis 128.130 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9; 203 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; No Total Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5 1/2); N/A

Game 709-710: Oklahoma City at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 122.498; Minnesota 112.970 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9 1/2; 198 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+11); Under

Game 711-712: Indiana at Milwaukee (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 121.448; Milwaukee 122.648 Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3 1/2; 205 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Phoenix at San Antonio (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.041; San Antonio 132.325 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 213 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 208 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-9); Over

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Valley Sports
3* Washington (Jackson) Over Cincinnati (Bailey)
3* Milwaukee (Marcum)/Atlanta (Minor) Under The Total
3* San Antonio Spurs -9
3* San Antonio/Phoenix Over 208½
2* Colorado (Chacin) Over Arizona (Collmenter)
2* Detroit (Wilk) Over Chicago White Sox (Floyd)
2* Minnesota Timberwolves +10½
2* Indiana Pacers +3½

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CAPPERS ACCESS

Cardinals(RL)
A's
Spurs

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JOE WIZ DAILY FREE PICK

Under 7 runs bet. Oakland and Seattle

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Turner 4/14
4/14/2012
Game: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Pick: Over 8 (-110)

MLB so far: 5-4
+18,9 Units.

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Sports Wagers MLB

Tampa Bay +126 over BOSTON Pinnacle
Jeremy Hellickson was a big-time prospect that put up big-time ERA and WHIP a year ago but a decaying strikeout rate and control left him with soft skills set that was masked by low hit rate and high strand rate. Minor league pedigree suggests that if no injury involved, the skills should at least partially return and we saw that in his season debut when he three-hit the Yanks in 8.2 innings and shut them out. Hellickson was terrific against righties last year and he was outstanding when he pitched with the bases empty. His ceiling remains high. Clay Buchholz may have been the most fortunate starter in MLB in 2011. He had a 28% hit rate and a 77% strand rate along with a tiny 11% line-drive %. In addition, his average fastball velocity decreased from 94.1 mph in 2010 to 92.6 mph in 2011 to 91.1 in his season debut. He also saw his FB% increase from 32% to 39%. We can blame some of these concerns on a back problem that eventually sidelined him. But keep in mind that he still doesn't own the skills of a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher. We’re not going to put too much weight on Buchholz’s season debut against the Tigers in Detroit but what we are putting weight on is the value that Hellickson and the Rays offer up here. Play: Tampa Bay +126 (Risking 2 units).

Pittsburgh +136 over SAN FRANSICO Pinnacle
The Giants were 0-3 on the season when the 126 Million Dollar Man, Barry Zito took the mound in Colorado. It didn’t look good for the Giants to get into the “W” column. All Zito did was go out and throw a complete game shutout to become the second lefty in history to shut out the Rockies at Coors Field. The old saying is that “even a blind squirrel finds a nut” and that certainly applies here. Zito is not back. His control and strikeout rate have been declining for years. This past spring, Zito continued to be very hittable, posting a 7.91 ERA over 19.IP in which he gave up 32 hits and 12 walks (2.28 WHIP). Opponents hit .405 against him. Whether the Rockies were sleeping that day or not is a mystery but what occurred defies logic. Based on logic and everything we understand about pitching a baseball, Zito remains a great fade because his skills are among the least appealing in the league. Don’t expect a repeat of his performance in Colorado. Play: Pittsburgh +136 (Risking 2 units).

N.Y. Mets +132 over PHILADELPHIA Pinnacle
Jonathon Niese is an in-game adjustment away from becoming one of the NL's best starting pitchers. His skills were off the charts the first time through the lineup and remained elite the second time through. Rib cage strain ended his season in late August, perhaps mercifully, given the July-August hit and strand percentages that were wrecking his numbers. On base average history and health are issues but everything else screams breakout. Niese’s command now at elite levels, his groundball % continues upward creep and was outstanding all last season. Niese is under the radar right now and that allows us to step in and take back a pretty generous offer here. Vance Worley is another starter who could offer up some nice value down the road. He was fantastic in the spring and went 11-3 with a 3.01 ERA for the Phillies last season. He, too, is under the radar but fewer grounders and more line-drives in 2H cause for pause and he’s not the one taking back a tag. Additionally, the Mets are this year’s surprise so far after week one with a 5-2 record while the 3-4 Phillies are more beatable than they’ve been in some time. Play: N.Y. Mets +132 (Risking 2 units).

San Diego +128 over LOS ANGELES Pinnacle
The Dodgers stock is way too high after opening the year with a 7-1 mark. A correction in their W/L record is forthcoming and it could very well begin here. Ted Lilly began the year on the DL but comes off to make this start. Traditionally he’s been a slow starter with a 5-5 record and 4.30 ERA in April over the past three seasons. At the age of 36 and without a full spring training, his risk increases. The Padres send out rookie Joe Wieland. Wieland is a strike-throwing machine who dominates without an overpowering fastball. His heater sits in the 88-92 range but does have some good late tailing action. He complements the fastball with a good curveball and a nice change-up for a solid three-pitch mix. He throws strikes and is fearless. He walked only 21 while striking out 155 in 2011 and has the disposition, arsenal and confidence to succeed at this level. He’s been on our radar for a couple of years and should be on yours too. Play: San Diego +128 (Risking 2 units).

Adam Wilk (LHP) Detroit
In a rather surprising decision, the Tigers have elected to call up Adam Wilk to start today and at least temporarily take the spot vacated by the injured Doug Fister. Wilk made five appearances with the Tigers last season, all in relief, and in 13.1 innings recorded a 5.40 ERA. He struggled during spring training with a 7.50 ERA and just five strikeouts in 12 innings. Wilk allowed just one hit in five innings in his first Triple-A start and it was apparently enough to earn himself at least one start with the Tigers. It's worth noting that he has had some issues with the long ball, as he allowed three home runs in 13.1 innings with Detroit and three more in spring training.

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National Sports Service
4* Dodgers (LILLY) -140 over San Diego (WIELAND)
3* Colorado (CHACIN) -130 over Arizona (COLLMENTER)
3* Oklahoma City -10½ over Minnesota (NBA)

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Sportbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Colorado Rockies + Arizona Diamondbacks UNDER 9.5

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Shaker

MLB: 977 CLE / 978 KAN

OVER 8.5 Justbet triple dime

973 TAM / 974 BOS

OVER 9 Bookmaker.com double dime
NHL: 79 CHI (-105) BetOnline vs 80 PHO double dime (play is chi)

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NSA
20* Golden St @ LA Clippers Under 196
20* Detroit Tigers +105
20* L A Angels +115
10* Cincinnati Reds +105
10* Boston Celtics -6
10* Indiana Pacers +3½

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Paul Leiner:

1500* NBA Over 183 Nets/Celtics

100* MLB Braves -105

50* MLB Over 7 Pirates/Giants