Tweet
Info Plays
7* Atlanta Braves -118
7* Atlanta Braves -118
-
Jeff Scott Sports
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Milwaukee/ San Diego Over 6: I had this play last night and it cashed in the 4th inning. Probably won't be that easy tonight, but with a low OU line it also shouldn't be that hard to get. Edinson Volquez has a 2.88 ERA in his 4 home starts, but 3 of those starts were vs offensively challenged teams (Philly, Washington and Arizona (at the time Arizona was)), but he will be facing a team that hits him hard so he should easily give up a few in this one. Edinson has a 6.44 EA in his last 5 starts vs the Brewers, including a 7.10 ERA in two starts vs them last year. Current brewers have a .314 BA vs him, with 7 HR's and 19 RBI's in 105 AB's. Last night Braun went 4-5 with 2 HR's and 6 RBI's and he has good numbers vs Volquez, with a .368 BA, 1 HR and 3 RBI's in 19 AB's. A hot Braun should produce some runs vs this guy. Shaun Marcum has a 4-13 ERA overall and a 3.46 ERA on the road, while in 2 starts vs the Padres he has a 4.85 ERA. All 8 of Edinson's starts vs the Brewers has resulted in at least 7 runs being scored, while both of Marcum's starts vs the Padres has seen at least 9 runs scored. I expect at least 8 runs here.
NY Yanks/ Baltimore Over 10.5: I like picking over when Brian Matusz is on the mound. This is a bad pitcher that comes in with a career ERA of 5.54 and an ERA of 5.66 in his 4 starts this year The Yanks have hit hime pretty hard in his career as current Yankee players have a .301 BA, with 7 HR's and 23 RBI's vs him. Brian has a 5.10 ERA in 8 starts vs the Yanks and last year he allowed 5 ER in just 1.1 innings of work in his lone start here. Let's also note that Brian has a 7.50 ERA in 5 career starts in May. Phil Hughes has not started of the season good with a 7.88 ERA overall and a 9.43 ERA in his last 3 starts, while in 2 home starts this year he has an 8.31 ERA. Phil has a 5.24 ERA in 13 games (10 Starts) vs the O's and a 6.43 ERA in his last 27 starts at Yankee Stadium. THe O's offense isn't that great at 4.2 rpg but the should be able to get a good amount of runs off of Hughes in this one, while a Yankees team that score 5.5 rpg at home should be able to tag Brian Matusz for a bunch here. This one should hit 13+.
Seattle/ Tampa Bay Over 7.5: Really don't understand why this game came down from 8, but oh well, I still like it. Hector Noesi has really struggled this year, with an 8.83 ERA in his 4 starts, including a 12.38 ERA in his 2 road starts, with those 2 road games putting up 12.5 rpg. Today he will face a Tampa team that is 7th in scoring (4.61 rpg) while at home they have averaged 4.7 rpg on the year. Hector faced the Rays twice last year and didn't get out of the 3rd inning in either start, while posting a 9.64 ERA in the two starts. Current Rays players have a .407 BA vs him, with 2 HR's and 5 RBI's in 27 AB's. Matt Moore is making his 5th start of the year and he has a 4.68 ERA through the first 4. Matt has a 3.75 ERA at home, with his 2 home starts putting up 8 rpg, while his starts overall have averaged 8.3 rpg. Seattle is not a great offense at 21st in scoring, but they do score better on the road as they have averaged 4.3 rpg away from home, as opposed to 3.2 rpg at home. Not a great pitching matchup and with a low OU line we should get an easy Over here.
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
LA Dodgers +106 over Colorado: Dodgers had their chances last night, but they should bounce back tonight behind Ted Lilly who is 4-0 with a 2.27 ERA in his last 5 vs the Rockies. Lilly is 2-0 with an 0.90 ERA on the year, while Chacin is 0-2 with a 5.85 ERA so far. LA bounces back tonight.
BOSTON -1.5 (+120) over Oakland: Boston Bats remain hot and they have averaged 7.2 rpg for this Kid. Oakland averages just 3.1 rpg on the road and won't nearly have enough offense to keep this one close. Another possible rout here.
1 UNIT PLAY
NY Mets/ Houston Under 8: Two lefties on the mound in this one. I really think only one team will score here and that's the Mets. Look for no more than 6 runs in this one.Comment
-
FacingTheBook (FTB) 10* MLB CASH COW
MILWAUKEE BREWERS
The Brewers Ryan Braun went off in yesterday 8-3 victory against the Padres. He had 3 HR & a triple. Today he gets to face Edinson Volquez & he is batting .368 (7 for 19) with one HR in his career against him. Volquez has struggled against the Brew Crew in his career with a high 5.94 ERA. Rickie Weeks is 6 for 10 with 2 HR against Volquez. Shawn Marcum takes the mound for the Brewers looking to get back to his form from the previous 3 years where his ERA sat in 3.50 range. He has actually pitched better than his early season ERA of 4.13 is showing. He has 24 K's in 24 innings. He needs to get a better handle on his control and he should have little trouble getting into the 8th or 9th inning tonight. The Padres offense is putrid. They have the 2nd worst batting average in MLB at .215. They also have the 2nd worst long ball effort with 11. The Brewers by contrast are 3rd in MLB with 32 long balls (Fielder who?). This is as solid a game that I have handicapped this year in MLB.
Comment
-
Bobby Dalton Basketball - Tuesday, May 1
10* #527/528 'UNDER 200' Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Lakers 9:35 PM CT
Bobby Dalton Baseball - Tuesday, May 1
10* #911 Los Angeles Dodgers (Lilly) PK over Colorado Rockies (Chacin) 7:40 PM CT
10* #913 Milwaukee Brewers (Marcum) -110 over San Diego Padres (Volquez) 9:05 PM CT
BEST Baseball - Tuesday, May 1
#909 Pittsburgh Pirates (Morton) +165 over St. Louis Cardinals (Wainwright) 7:15 PM CT
Comment
Comment