5-7-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

MONDAY

100* Play San Antonio (-8) over Utah (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

San Antonio has covered the spread in 12 consecutive games and they have also covered the spread in 18 of the last 22 games after covering the spread in six or seven of the last eight games. San Antonio has covered the spread in 19 of the last 25 games after scoring 100 points or more in two straight games and they are averaging over 107 points a game on offense over the last five games.

50* Play Memphis (+2) over Los Angeles Clippers (BONUS NBA PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* ST. Louis Cardinals -120

50* Chicago White Sox (gm 1) -110

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

2 UNIT PLAY

San Antonio -8 over UTAH: Google News Play. Gonna ride the hot Spurs here one more time. This is an aging team so this is an important game for them if they want some rest afterwards, as the Clippers/ Memphis series will still go on for a few more days. Despite the need for rest the Spurs are truly sending a statement here, winning by 15, 31 and 12 points, while shooting better than 51% for the series, with Utah having no answer for the duo of Tim Duncan and Tony Parker. The Spurs are 8-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS the last 9 in the series and 12-0-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall this season. The Thunder have been the talk all year long about being the best team in the west, but the Spurs are showing right now that they are the best team in Basketball and will continue their winning ways with another DD win here.

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

St. Louis -116 over ARIZONA Pinnacle
Joe Saunders seems to have revised his career in 2011 (3.69 ERA, 1.31 WHIP) and he has been even better so far this season (1.24 ERA, 0.96 WHIP). However, most of his base skills are still borderline. His 21% H%, 92% S%, and 2% HR/F have made his surface stats look elite. This is not an elite pitcher. Saunders numbers are in for a significant regression and the Cardinals are just the team to jumpstart the corrections. Four of his five starts have come against the NL’s worst offenses in San Diego, Pittsburgh, Miami and Washington. His charmed life ends here. Meanwhile, Lance Lynn is no fluke. Unlike Saunders, Lynn’s base skills have been outstanding and include a 56% groundball rate and an elite BB/K ratio. Lynn is in complete command of the count, getting ahead of hitters and getting lots of ground balls and strikeouts. Due to Saunders’ solid numbers on paper, we get a cheap lay on the Cardinals and will gladly step in and look to take advantage. Play: St. Louis -116 (Risking 2 units to win 1.72).

Boston -106 over KANSAS CITY (1st 5 innings) Pinnacle
With Clay Buchholz failing to make it out of the fourth inning yesterday in a 17-inning game Aaron Cook failing to make it out of the third in Saturday's loss, the Red Sox bullpen, which was already in trouble, is now completely taxed and we want no part of it whatsoever. As a result, we’ll play this game in five innings because there is some value on Felix Doubront against Jonathan Sanchez. Both are lefties and Boston has a team OPS of .795 versus lefties, which is good for third best in MLB. Kansas City has a team OPS of .606 versus lefties, worst in the AL. Doubront has 30 k’s in 26 innings and a 3.48 xERA but his 5.19 ERA and 1.54 WHIP show he is a sleeper candidate. Jonathan Sanchez has looked horrible after five starts, both on the surface and beneath it (5.24 ERA, 1.70). It's early but his average fastball velocity has declined for three straight seasons and now sits at 89.6 mph, which doesn't have huge separation from the 83.2 mph change-up that he now throws 28% of the time. The 3.07 ERA, 1.23 WHIP version of Sanchez from 2010 seems like a distant memory and it might not be the best time for him to face a potentially potent offense in a foul mood. Play: Boston -106 in the first innings (Risking 2.12 units to win 2).

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAY

3 UNIT PLAY

LA Angels -1.5 (-115) over MINNESOTA: I have a hunch. I say that Albert Pujols will finally wake up after hitting his first homer of the year last night and what better way to really do that than vs a very bad pitcher in Liriano, even though Albert is 0-8 lifetime vs him. Recently the Twins skipped Liriano's spot on the rotation, because he just wasn't pitching all that well. It didn't work as he came back in his next start and allowed 4 ER in just 5.1 innings of work to these same Angels. Let's face it, he is not a good pitcher right now and even a month off couldn't help him. Liriano is 0-4 with a 9.62 ERA on the year and in 2 starts vs the Halos this year he is 0-1 with a 7.83 ERA. Tyhe Twins have been outscored by 3.6 rpg in his starts overall and 4.3 rpg in his last 3 starts. On the other side we have Jared Weaver, who is 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA (0.78 WHIP) on the year. In 124 AB's, cyurrent twins players are hitting just .194 with 4 HR's off him.He does have some payback in mind here as the Twins tagged him for 5 ER in his lone start vs them this year, but still he has gone 6-2 with a 3.72 ERA in 12 career starts vs the Twins. The Halos have had problems scoring this year, but not while Jared is on the mound, as they have given him 5.5 rpg worth of support, while outscoring their opponents by 3.5 rpg. The Halos are 0-2 in Jared's road starts, but tonight vs a truly bad pitcher that mini road slump should end in easy fashion. Halo's by 3+ runs here.

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAY

Detroit/ Seattle Under 7: Despite a 9-16 mark in this park, Doug Fister has a 3.42 ERA in 34 starts here. Meaning a lot of low scoring games here for him. Detroit Hit's just .230 on the road, while Seattle hits just .205 at home. Here's the clincher. Since 2009 the Mariners have gone 22-0 UNDER when they are off a game that went UNDER the total by 1 run or less. I see 6 runs here, meaning we could have same play tomorrow. LOL

1 UNIT PLAY

Chicago/ Cleveland Over 8.5 (Game 1): Despite throwing a perfect game, Philip Humber still has a 4.62 ERA overall, including a 5.40 ERA in his last 3 starts, while his games have averaged 10 rpg on the year. Humber has 1 start here (last year) and he allowed 7 ER in just 6 innings. Cleveland bats are waking up, while the ChiSox should be able to tag Zach Mcallister (6.11 ERA in 4 career starts, all last year) for a few. Game 1 should provide plenty of runs.

[Mr. IWS]

Indian Cowboy
For Monday, May 7, the comp is a MLB premium play -
the White Sox in game #1 of a doubleheader (1:05pm EDT).

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Los Angeles Angels @ Minnesota Twins - ANGELS -1.5 [Run Line] (+100)

Listed Pitchers: Weaver vs Liriano
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.00 units)

Jered Weaver will try to follow up his no-hitter against the Twins with another solid start against them tonight in Minnesota. The Angels split a 4 game series with the Blue Jays over the weekend, and are now 12-17 on the season. Minnesota dropped 2 of 3 on the weekend in Seattle, and have now lost 11 of their last 13 games. These two teams had a 3 game series in Los Angeles last week with the Angels winning all three games and outscoring the Twins 16-3 (including two shutouts). Jered Weaver is 4-0 on the season with a 1.61 ERA, 0.78 WHIP, and .178 opponents batting average. Tonight’s starter for Minnesota will be Francisco Liriano who has struggled to start the season. He is 0-4 with a 9.97 ERA, 2.22 WHIP, and .360 opponents batting average. Liriano has faced Los Angeles twice already this season allowing 14 hits and 9 earned runs against over 10.1 innings of work. He has struck out 17 while walking 16 batters this year (compare that to Weaver who was struck out 45 and walked just 7). Los Angeles has scored 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 7 games, while holding opponents to just 3 or fewer runs in 5 of their past 7. Albert Pujols’ finally got the monkey off his back with a homerun in yesterday’s game vs Toronto. As a team the Angels are hitting .248 against lefties with a OBP of .304. Against righties the Twins are hitting just .228 with a .292 OBP. Takte note that the Twins are just 15-37 in their last 52 home games, and 12-40 in their last 52 overall dating back to last season. The Twins are 1-5 in Liriano’s last 6 starts. We have a big mis-match on the mound, the Angels look to build on a winning two straight and 5 of 7, while the Twins are already 8.5 games back in the AL Central after losing 11 of their last 13 games. Minnesota’s bats have been quiet for most of the year and I would expect nothing else with Weaver on the mound. Take the Angels to win by 2 or more at even money.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

925 White Sox Even @ 1:05p

916 Indians -135 @ 7:05p

918 Orioles +121 @ 7:05p

904 Astros -109 @ 8:05p

906 Cubs +110 @ 8:05p

908 Brewers -132 @ 8:10p

919 Red Sox -118 @ 8:10p

909 Cards -112 @ 9:40p

911 Rockies +104 @ 10:05p

924 Mariners +122 @ 10:10p

[Mr. IWS]

Rich Sports


Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Detroit Tigers @ Seattle Mariners - Monday May 7, 2012 10:10 pm
Pick: 3 units (Normal) MONEYLINE: Detroit Tigers -140


Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: San Antonio Spurs @ Utah Jazz - Monday May 7, 2012 8:00 pm
Pick: 5 units (Normal) TOTAL: Over 198.5 (-110)


Sport: NHL Hockey
Game: Nashville Predators @ Phoenix Coyotes - Monday May 7, 2012 10:05 pm
Pick: 4 units (Normal) MONEYLINE: Phoenix Coyotes -115

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

***TOP PLAY*** Boyd's 5* NBA Playoffs *BEST BET* (38-16-1 Run)!

Utah Jazz +8.5

*INSANE 45-20 Run* Boyd's 4* 18-0 MLB SMASH!

Milwaukee Brewers -123

[Mr. IWS]

DAVE COKIN
BASEBALL
5/7 Boston (Doubrant -110) over KANSAS CITY (Sanchez)

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
NBA 23-19 Last 42 picks +$660
Game: San Antonio at Utah (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 199 -110

The San Antonio Spurs have taken a commanding 3-0 lead in their opening round series vs. Utah. One thing San Antonio is making clear, is that this isn't the same team that got bounced in the first round a year ago, as they have now won 13 straight games. They have held the jazz to 91 points or less in all three games, and it is the first time all year the Jazz haven't gotten 92 points for three straight games. Utah has one option, and one option only: slow the game down, use their offensive rebounding, and dig in on the defensive end, or it is over and out. First round playoffs Game 4s are notoriously UNDER, especially when both are off exactly one day of rest and the total is greater than 195, as the UNDER is 12-4. The Jazz are now 18-7-1 in their last 26 to the UNDER vs. an opponent with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The last four in this series have all gone UNDER the total. Play on the UNDER.

[Mr. IWS]

JAKE MANTON SPORTS:

4* dodgers
3* OVER 7.5 angels/twins
3* cardinals

[Mr. IWS]

Winning Units

1* Braves -119
1* Angels -169
1* Cardinals -114
1* Coyotes -110