5-23-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.




Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers

The Boston Celtics (46-31, 39-36-2 ATS) and the Philadelphia 76ers (41-36, 39-37-1 ATS) continued to alternate wins over the first five games of this series with the Celtics dominating the second half of Game 5 at home to take a 3-2 series lead. The Celtics went on a deciding 43-19 run spanning the third and fourth quarters en route to what became an easy 101-85 win Monday. Thus far, each team has won once on the road with the 76ers stealing Game 2 in Boston and the Celtics bouncing back with a blowout win on the road in Game 3, and the Celts now have a chance to close things out on the road in Game 6 from the Wells ***** Center from Philadelphia, PA on Wednesday night at 8:00 ET on ESPN.

Curiously it was not one of Boston's Big Three or even Rajon Rondo that carried the scoring load for the Celtics on Monday, but rather it was the least heralded member of the starting lineup Brandon Bass who poured in a career high 27 points at the most opportune time. Bass hit on nine of his 13 field goal attempts including quite a few mid-range jumpers that the Sixers were basically giving him. Bass scored 18 of his points in the third quarter alone to allow the Celtics to stay close before commencing on their monster run beginning at the tail end of the quarter. Kevin Garnett added 20 points and Rondo had his customary 14 assists, but was a quiet night for the other members of the Big Three as Paul Pierce had 16 points and Ray Allen scored only five while uncharacteristically making just one of his five three-point attempts. Boston still ended up shooting a blistering 52.2 percent (36-for-69) for the game however as even backup Greg Stiemsma was a perfect five for five from the field. Now the Celtics also dominated the first half of Game 4 here in Philadelphia before falling apart in the second half, a fate they would like to avoid this time around.

The 76ers actually played very well in the first half on Monday, yet Boston hung around and trailed only 50-47 despite Philadelphia appearing to be carrying the play by a much wider margin to the naked eye. That inability to gain separation proved costly in the end, and it just goes to show you just how much better a team Boston is in this series. Still, the Sixers did not win two games by accident as this is an excellent defensive team most of the time, although that was not apparent in Game 5. Perhaps the return home will motivate the 76ers to make some stops as they are allowing only 85.7 points per game on 44.1 percent shooting in this building all year combining the regular season and playoffs. Philadelphia held Boston to 42.3 percent shooting in Game 4, when the 76ers overcame a 15-point halftime deficit by holding the Celtics to 37 points in the second half. The Sixers will need that kind of defensive intensity from start to finish here to avoid beginning to make their summer plans.

Given that both of these teams are known for defense, it is rather surprising that the 'over' is 4-1 in this series so far, as well as 6-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings overall. Also, when the Celtics reclaimed home court advantage by winning Game 3 here after losing Game 2 at home, it marked the only time in their last six trips to Philadelphia that the Celtics covered the point spread.

PICK: BOSTON +2

[Mr. IWS]

Chase Diamond

50 Dimes Brewers

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Investing Strategies

(903)SAN FRANCISCO (ZITO) at (904)MILWAUKEE (ESTRADA)
Pick: San Francisco
Moneyline only,5% starting bankroll

(909)COLORADO (WHITE) at (910)MIAMI (ZAMBRANO)
Pick: Miami
Moneyline only, 5% starting bankroll

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

3 UNIT PLAY

Philadelphia/ Boston Over 175.5: Would love to pick my Sixers in this one, but just can't pull the trigger, so I will look to the OVER in this one. These teams have been running a bit more lately and it has resulted in the teams averaging 186.3 ppg in the last 3 games of this series. Philadelphia has played some great defense this year and have allowed just 85.7 ppg at home, but Boston did score 101 and 107 points vs them in 2 of the last 3 games, including putting up 107 points on them in this building in game 3. Phily is not a great scoring team, but they still average 92 ppg at home while the Celtics give up 93 ppg on the road. Both teams are pushing tempo right now and with this being a possible elimination game for Philly you can expect them to throw everything offensively at the C's that they can, plus if they are down late they will start fouling as well. Both teams should hit 90+ points in this one as it goes over the total with ease.

3 UNIT PLAY

Baltimore/ Boston Over 9: I know Scotti will love this one right off the bat. Last night I had an easy winner on the Under in this game, but we will go the other way today. This is a day game in a hitters park and with the temps looking to be around 78 the ball should really carry in this one. We also have two pitchers on the mound who have been struggling. Daniel Bard comes in with a 5.50 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging 11 rpg, while on the road he carries a 6.20 ERA with him, with those games averaging 10.8 rpg. In his last 2 road starts, Bard has allowed 5 ER's in each and has given up 9 walks to just 4 K's in the two starts. Lot of baserunners to put on, especially when facing an O's team that is tops in HR's. Jake Arietta has really been struggling as he comes in with a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts, while at home this year he has a 6.41 ERA, with his home starts averaging 10.6 rpg. Jake has also faced Boston 3 times in his career and has a 5.51 ERA in those 3 starts. Boston was held in check by Lefty Matusz last night, but they do hit better vs righties on the road (.266) than lefties (.245) and they also score 5.05 rp/9 off of righties on the road. Baltimore puts up 4.5 rpg at home, but should be able to get a little more than that vs Bard. THis one should be fun, with about 12 runs put up.

More later

[Mr. IWS]

Paul Leiner

100* Sixers / Celtics Over 175

50* Rays -120

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

400,000♦ Celtics

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

WEDNESDAY

100* Play Boston (+2) over Philadelphia (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Boston has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 road games after allowing 85 points or less in their last game and they have also won and covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games coming off two or more division games.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS NHL

New Jersey +110 over N.Y. RANGERS

We have the Devils in the series but have no hesitation in playing them in this pivotal game five as well. One could argue that the Rangers should already be watching from the rail after being dominated in all four games by a significant margin. This is a one-sided series and the Rangers have few answers in slowing down the Devils. Getting outplayed by such a notable margin is not only disheartening but it’s exhausting and when you combine that with the Rangers' back-to-back seven game series against Ottawa and Washington, it adds to the fatigue. Brad Richards and Marion Gaborik have disappeared. The Rangers extensive use of four defensemen is taking its toll each and every game. Those numerous blocked shots are also taking its toll, as players keep taking pucks to the ankles, knees and mid-section. If this were a prize fight, the referee would have waved his hands already and declared a TKO. The Devils know they can beat this team and the Rangers know their only chance is Henrik Lundqvist bailing them out again. It’s time to put the Rangers out of their misery. Play: New Jersey +110 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Info Plays

7* Detroit Tigers -107

[Mr. IWS]

FantasySportsGametime

Baseball Wednesday

100* Play St. Louis (-205) over San Diego (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST

San Diego has lost 7 of the last 8 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 road games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Jeff Suppan has lost 23 of the last 24 games as an underdog of +175 to +250 and he has lost 9 of the last 11 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less.

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50* Play Los Angeles Angels (-150) over Oakland (MLB BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Miami (-150) over Colorado (MLB BONUS PLAY)

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[Mr. IWS]

TEDDY COVERS
5/23/12
MLB
10* Detroit -110 (927)

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Scott Sports

TOP PLAYS

3 UNIT PLAYS

Baltimore/ Boston Over 9: I know Scotti will love this one right off the bat. Last night I had an easy winner on the Under in this game, but we will go the other way today. This is a day game in a hitters park and with the temps looking to be around 78 the ball should really carry in this one. We also have two pitchers on the mound who have been struggling. Daniel Bard comes in with a 5.50 ERA in his last 3 starts, with those games averaging 11 rpg, while on the road he carries a 6.20 ERA with him, with those games averaging 10.8 rpg. In his last 2 road starts, Bard has allowed 5 ER's in each and has given up 9 walks to just 4 K's in the two starts. Lot of baserunners to put on, especially when facing an O's team that is tops in HR's. Jake Arietta has really been struggling as he comes in with a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts, while at home this year he has a 6.41 ERA, with his home starts averaging 10.6 rpg. Jake has also faced Boston 3 times in his career and has a 5.51 ERA in those 3 starts. Boston was held in check by Lefty Matusz last night, but they do hit better vs righties on the road (.266) than lefties (.245) and they also score 5.05 rp/9 off of righties on the road. Baltimore puts up 4.5 rpg at home, but should be able to get a little more than that vs Bard. This one should be fun, with about 12 runs put up.

LA Angels/ Oakland Under 6.5: On the surface it would look like these starters are struggling right now as Weaver has a 6.06 ERA in his last 3 starts, while Parker has a 6.14 ERA in his last 3 starts, but a closer look will paint a different picture for us. Jered Weaver has just 1 bad start on the year and it was at Texas (no shame there) on ESPN in a game in which he allowed 8 ER in just 3.1 innings of work, but in his other 6 starts this year he has allowed 3 runs just once and 2 runs or less in 5 of those starts. In those starts he pitched 6.2 shutout innings vs Oakland in his first start of the year and that now gives him a 1.50 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the A's and a 2.71 ERA in 21 starts vs them overall. Plus we note that Jered has a 2.69 ERA in 48 career day starts. Jarod Parker also has 1 bad start this year and it was in his last game, on the road vs the Giants, in a game in which he allowed 6 ER in just 2 innings. Now in his other 4 starts this year he allowed 2 ER's or less in each game and he has a 2.37 ERA at home this year. The Halos struggle to score this year and having never faced Parker should mean advantage to the pitcher. Oakland also struggles to score, especially at home where they have averaged just 3.3 rpg, plus current Okland players have hit just .229 with 4 HR's and a mere 13 RBI's in 188 AB's vs Weaver. This one has pitchers duel written all over it, especially when we add in the fact that when Oakland faces a righty this year the UNDER is 22-7-1.

OTHER PLAY

1 UNIT PLAY

TAMPA BAY -113 over Toronto

[Mr. IWS]

Jimmy Boyd

Celtics/76ers 4* 100% Perfect Game 6 *BEST BET*
Philadelphia 76ers -1


Boyd's 4* 'Never Lost' 7-0 MLB *BEST BET*
Atlanta Braves

[Mr. IWS]

WUNDERDOG
MLB 142-174 Season-to-Date ($3550)
Game: Chicago Cubs at Houston (8:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Houston -125 (moneyline)

The Chicago Cubs are known for losing, and also for the phrase of one of their best ever Ernie Banks, who said, "Let's play two." The reality for the Cubs right now isn't to play two, but to pray for rain. The losing streak has now reached eight games. The Astros, who lost 106 games a year ago, are 15-10 at home and are getting treated like they are last year's team by the oddsmakers. The lines are simply too short on them, especially vs. a bad team that is going bad right now. The Cubs are just 23-48 in their last 71 as a road dog, while the rejuvenated Astros have collected the money seven straight times as a favorite of -110 to -150. Rodriguez is also their best pitching option, and he has beaten the Cubs five of the last six times he has faced them. Play on Houston.