5-28-12

[poopoo333]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play Texas (-210) over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST

Seattle has lost 70 of the last 94 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 71 of the last 102 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Seattle has lost 27 of the last 38 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and they have also 85 of the last 131 games vs. division opponents.

50* Play Los Angeles Angles (-150) over New York Yankees (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Toronto (-145) over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[poopoo333]

Denver Money

2* San Fransisco Giants

1* Milwaukee Brewers

1* Baltimore Orioles +120

2* Washington Nationals +105

2* Atlanta Braves -115

2* Chicago White Sox / Tampa Bay Rays UNDER 7.5

[poopoo333]

Free Silver Key Pick for Monday ML Baseball

SAN FRANCISCO ZITO -L +1.5 Runs, -160 over Arizona

[Mr. IWS]

The Sports Capper

Hoops Plays

MONDAY

100* Play Boston (+8.5) over Miami (TOP NBA PLAY)
8:00 PM EST

Miami has lost 19 of the last 27 games coming off three or more OVER the totals and they have also lost 48 of the last 75 home games against the spread after covering the spread in three or more straight games.

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

951 Nationals Even @ 1:10p
954 Mets +120 @ 1:10p
956 Braves -116 @ 1:10p
958 Pirates -110 @ 1:35p
969 Tigers +108 @ 1:35p
974 Rays -115 @ 3:10p
976 Indians -145 @ 4:05p
966 Giants -105 @ 5:05p
968 Dodgers Even @ 8:10p
982 Angels -150 @ 9:05p

[Mr. IWS]

Sports Wagers MLB

Washington +118 over MIAMI Pinnacle
Jordan Zimmermann pitched well in two starts vs. Miami last season. He's always had pinpoint control and the ability to induce groundballs (50% groundball rate) to form a solid skill set. Zimmerman has allowed one earned run in six of his nine starts and his 2.47 ERA is one of the best among qualified starters in the NL. His 3-4 record is the direct result of poor run support and he certainly offers up more value than his counterpart, Carlos Zambrano. Excessive early career workload caught up to him a couple of years ago and he’s been unable to recapture the form he showed in his heyday. Zambrano has average skills right across the board, aside from a strong 50% groundball rate. However, he’s not had a GB % this high in seven years and it could just be an aberration, as he’s not added anything notable to his repertoire. He was rocked by Colorado (in Miami) in his last start and that could be a sign of things to come. The Nationals are warming up again with a weekend sweep over the Braves and there’s no reason they can’t keep it going here. Play: Washington +118 (Risking 2 units).

Chicago +103 over TAMPA BAY Pinnacle
The White Sox are not only scorching hot right now but they’re seeing beach balls at the dish. After scoring 35 runs in a three-game sweep of the Indians, they suddenly find themselves within a half game of first place. The Chisox have scored six or more runs in five straight and in seven of their past eight. They’ve batted .352 during this latest five-game winning streak and will now face a laboring Matt Moore here. There were high expectations for Moore this season but he has not lived up to them and his skills aren’t showing many reasons for optimism. He has a troublesome groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 36%/19%/46%. He’s walking too many batters and his inability to get ahead in the count combined with that high fly-ball rate has caused Moore to be taken deep eight times in nine starts. Chris Sale has transitioned to being a starter well. His dominant skills as a reliever have followed him. Sale has 48 K’s against just 14 walks in 50 IP. His groundball rate is 48% and his skills have him firmly among the top starters in the league. With their ace going and with the way they’re hitting right now, we have no hesitation in pulling the trigger on this sizzling visitor. Play: Chicago +103 (Risking 2 units).

N.Y. Yankees +133 over L.A. ANGELS Pinnacle

The Yankees are coming on with five wins in a row. They’re hitting .284 over that stretch while scoring 17 times over the weekend at pitcher-friendly Oakland. After a slow start in April, Phil Hughes has turned it on in May, where he is 3-2 in five starts and has a 3.45 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP. His overall ERA of 4.94 has him undervalued here but Hughes is enjoying a skill rebirth so far in 2012. His velocity is up on his fastball from 91.2 in 2011 to 92.4 MPH this season. He’s struck out 46 in 47 frames while walking just 14. Current Yanks have seen Jared Weaver plenty of times with 233 career AB’s against him in which they’ve hit a combined .262 with 19 home runs. The Angels are enjoying their own six-game winning streak but it came against Seattle and Oakland that pair is among the bottom feeders in terms of offense. Prior to playing the A’s and M’s, the Halos lost a series to the Padres. In summarizing, they’ve played nine straight against weak hitting opponents and they take a big step up in class in facing this offense. Not often do we get a take-back like this one on the Yankees and we’ll look to take advantage. Play: N.Y. Yankees +133 (Risking 2 units).

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Monday

100* Play Texas (-210) over Toronto (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 8:10 PM EST

Seattle has lost 70 of the last 94 games as an underdog of +150 or higher and they have also lost 71 of the last 102 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers. Seattle has lost 27 of the last 38 games when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs and they have also 85 of the last 131 games vs. division opponents.

50* Play Los Angeles Angles (-150) over New York Yankees (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play Toronto (-145) over Baltimore (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[poopoo333]

National Sports Service
4* Detroit (Fister)/Boston (Doubront) UNDER 9½
3* Philadelphia (Hamels) -130 over N.Y. Mets (Niese)
3* Boston +8 over Miami (NBA)

Please take a moment today, Memorial Day
To remember those that have paid the ultimate price for the freedoms that we all share.

[Mr. IWS]

David Banks

Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat

The Boston Celtics (47-32, 40-37-2 ATS) finally prevailed in seven games
vs. the pesky 76ers Saturday, but Boston is shooting the ball miserably and is
banged up, which is not how you want to enter a series with the Miami Heat
(54-23, 40-37 ATS). The Heat were the favorites to win the East before these
playoffs started and they showed why in the last 2 games of their series
with the Pacers when Indiana was on the verge of taking a 3-1 series lead.
Expect to see the fully motivated Miami team that closed out that series in
every game of these Eastern Conference Finals, which begin on Monday night
from American Airlines Arena in Miami, FL at 8:30 ET on ESPN.

The Celtics had trouble putting Philadelphia away in Game 7 despite several
moments where they had chances to build on leads that would have taken the
Sixers' hearts away. In fact, Philadelphia got to within four points wit a
little more than 5:00 left before Boston finally pulled away for good to the
85-75 triumph, with large help from Ray Allen hitting his only two
three-point shots of the game in seven attempts in those waning moments. Allen is
obviously bothered by his ankle spurs that will likely require surgery when
these playoffs are over, but he has no choice but to play with significantly
more limited mobility than usual, as Boston is thin at the guard spot with
Avery Bradley out until well into next season due to shoulder surgery. The
Celtics followed up their horrific 33.3 percent shooting performance in Game 6
by shooting a still less-than-mediocre 42.5 percent on Saturday, and they
will need to improve on that to compete with a team of the Heat's caliber. The
question is, can they vs. a Miami defense that is allowing 85.5 points per
game on 41.1 percent shooting in the playoffs, especially with the Heat not
having to worry about Allen that much?

The Heat were essentially a two-man show in the last three games vs. the
Pacers, but when those two men are two of the very best players in the NBA in
LeBron James and Dwayne Wade, that is not necessarily a bad thing. In fact,
Miami may have played its best two games of the season to close out that
series despite two guys carrying 90 percent of the offensive load, as the Big
Two did not miss many shots and every player on the court was able to play
defense without feeling any pressure to score. There is even some question as
to whether a return by the injured third member of the Big Three, Chris
Bosh, may actually hurt the team right now, as it has been clicking on all
cylinders lately and Bosh will be looking to take his share of shots when he
comes back. Still, the Heat are deservedly prohibitive favorites to win this
series, and having a few extra days off while the aging Celtics played until
Saturday is an added bonus for Game 1.

These teams met in the playoffs last season with Miami taking out a much
stronger Boston team than this one out in five games. However, the Celtics did
win three of the four regular season meetings this year, winning the last
three matchups after the Heat won the first meeting of the season. Then
again, it is fairly clear that Miami just cruised through the regular season and
that it has been able to flip the switch and take its game to a whole new
level when necessary during these playoffs.

Pick: MIAMI HEAT-7.5

[Mr. IWS]

Reno Sports Advisors

10* TORONTO BLUE JAYS

[Mr. IWS]

4.5-STAR Washington over MIAMI - This line is just crazy. We would much rather have Jordan Zimmermann than Carlos Zambrano. It's not really close. Neither pitcher has really been quite as good as their ERA would suggest but Carlos Zambrano walks over twice as many batters as Zimmermann with a similar amount of strikeouts. His .233 Batting Average on Balls in Play just can't last. Look for the Nats to get to him enough here.
Washington is playing the first game of the series here after a 7-2 win over Atlanta last night. The Nationals are 21-7 since April 08, 2011 after a win and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1799. Opening a series on the road as also been a nice spot for Zimmermann. The Nationals are 4-0 since April 08, 2011 when Jordan Zimmermann starts as a road dog in the first game of a series for a net profit of $503. Washington enters having won three straight games and six of seven after sweeping Atlanta. The Marlins are 8-22 since June 2010 when hosting a team that has won at least their last two games, as long as they are not off a six-plus run loss. Florida meanwhile lost in their attempt for three straight wins yesterday, 3-2 to San Francisco. They left eight on base as a team, while SF has just five. The Marlins are 7-30 since June 04, 2011 after a loss in which they had a higher team-left-on-base than their opponent for a net profit of $2250 when playing against. Also, the Marlins are 1-16 since August 2010 in day games after a loss where they left more on base as a team than their opponent. When expanding that to individuals left on base, the 19-7 gap is even wider. The Marlins are 4-18 since May 19, 2011 after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $1535 when playing against. Zambrano fell apart in his last start, at home vs. Colorado, allowing seven runs after being given a 3-0 lead. The Marlins are 3-17 since May 18, 2011 at home when they blew a lead in their starter's last start and lost for a net profit of $1671 when playing against. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Washington 6, MIAMI 2

[Mr. IWS]

Pro Tech Sports

5* Washington +110

5* St Louis +105

5* LA Dodgers +105

5* Tampa Bay Rays -109

5* NY Yankees +140