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SPORTS WAGERS
CHICAGO -1½ +127 over Seattle
The White Sox offense is running on all cylinders lately. Only Texas (167 runs) has scored more than Chicago’s 156 runs in the month of May. At home, the South Side owns a fine .779 OPS and have scored 8.6 runs per game since May 14 over eight games. The now-first-place White Sox swept Seattle in April, they took the opener last night by scoring seven more runs against King Felix and they’ve nine in a row. This is a team that can’t get to the park soon enough. One can only imagine what’s in store for Hector Noesi. In 59 innings, Noesi has a poor BB/K ratio of 20/34. He also has an unfavorable groundball/fly-ball split of 37%/46% to go along with an ERA over 5.00. He won’t be helped by Safeco here and is 0-3 on the road with an ERA of 6.67. Gavin Floyd goes for the Chisox but does it really matter who toes the rubber? We think not. Play: Chicago -1½ +127 (Risking 2 units).
DETROIT +107 over N.Y. Yankees
Baseball is a funny game and we look no further than Rick Porcello’s 2012 campaign for just how whacky it can get. Porcello comes in with a 3-4 record and a 5.21 ERA. Porcello has one win over the Royals but here’s the funny part. Porcello has two wins against the Chicago White Sox in which he’s thrown 14 innings and allowed two earned runs. That’s how good this guy can be and he has the skills to support it. His high ERA is a direct result of bad luck and his numbers are sure to improve. A 51% groundball rate and 15 walks in 57 innings does not line up to a 5.21 ERA. Porcello’s 68% strand rate has done him in but he’s had good success against the Yanks in the past with a .244 BAA and just one jack allowed in 86 AB’s against current Yankee hitters. Hiroki Kuroda is not benefitting from pitching at Chavez Ravine anymore, nor is he thriving against AL opposition. His strikeout rate has dipped dramatically, he’s 1-4 on the road with a 4.55 ERA with his only road win coming at pitcher-friendly Oakland where the A’s are hitting .210. Play: Detroit +107 (Risking 2 units).
CHICAGO -1½ +127 over Seattle
The White Sox offense is running on all cylinders lately. Only Texas (167 runs) has scored more than Chicago’s 156 runs in the month of May. At home, the South Side owns a fine .779 OPS and have scored 8.6 runs per game since May 14 over eight games. The now-first-place White Sox swept Seattle in April, they took the opener last night by scoring seven more runs against King Felix and they’ve nine in a row. This is a team that can’t get to the park soon enough. One can only imagine what’s in store for Hector Noesi. In 59 innings, Noesi has a poor BB/K ratio of 20/34. He also has an unfavorable groundball/fly-ball split of 37%/46% to go along with an ERA over 5.00. He won’t be helped by Safeco here and is 0-3 on the road with an ERA of 6.67. Gavin Floyd goes for the Chisox but does it really matter who toes the rubber? We think not. Play: Chicago -1½ +127 (Risking 2 units).
DETROIT +107 over N.Y. Yankees
Baseball is a funny game and we look no further than Rick Porcello’s 2012 campaign for just how whacky it can get. Porcello comes in with a 3-4 record and a 5.21 ERA. Porcello has one win over the Royals but here’s the funny part. Porcello has two wins against the Chicago White Sox in which he’s thrown 14 innings and allowed two earned runs. That’s how good this guy can be and he has the skills to support it. His high ERA is a direct result of bad luck and his numbers are sure to improve. A 51% groundball rate and 15 walks in 57 innings does not line up to a 5.21 ERA. Porcello’s 68% strand rate has done him in but he’s had good success against the Yanks in the past with a .244 BAA and just one jack allowed in 86 AB’s against current Yankee hitters. Hiroki Kuroda is not benefitting from pitching at Chavez Ravine anymore, nor is he thriving against AL opposition. His strikeout rate has dipped dramatically, he’s 1-4 on the road with a 4.55 ERA with his only road win coming at pitcher-friendly Oakland where the A’s are hitting .210. Play: Detroit +107 (Risking 2 units).
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