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1* Washington -130 over NY Yankees(7pm) - Play em till they lose. It is like having the big stack at a poker table. You can afford to play more hands than you normally would. You pick up a lot of cheap pots that way.
2** Chicago Cubs +105 over Boston(2:15pm) - The Cubs stink every day except for when Dempster is pitching. 4-1 the last 5 games are the Cubs in his starts. They are scoring almost 8 Runs/Per game during that stretch. You have to figure Theo gave a little motivational speech and the bioys may be fired up for this 1st game. Dice-k looked good in his 1st start back. History shows though that pitchers not named Strasburg struggle for the 1st 10 starts or so after TJ surgery.
4.5-STAR Milwaukee over MINNESOTA - It seems like every time out now Francisco Liriano is getting too much respect. Despite recent respectability he's still a risky play prone to blow up at any time. He's also still playing with the Twins offense behind him. We don't like either at near even money here.
Minnesota enters this series off a 6-1 loss to Philadelphia yesterday. The Twins are 2-18 since May 10, 2011 at home after a loss and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $1645 when playing against. They had seven hits but did not walk in that game. The Twins are 2-12 since May 23, 2011 at home after a loss in which they drew 1 or fewer walks for a net profit of $1030 when playing against. Minnesota has now lost two straight games. The Brewers are 18-5 since May 14, 2011 as a favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games after playing in a night game for a net profit of $1110. That's also a strong situation for their starter, Yovani Gallardo. The Brewers are 16-4 since August 31, 2007 when Yovani Gallardo starts as a favorite vs a team that has lost at least their last two games for a net profit of $951. Milwaukee lost yesterday, 4-3. They blew the lead with two outs in the ninth. The Brewers are 14-1 since April 09, 2011 as a favorite when they are off a loss in which they held the lead in a night game for a net profit of $1275. Gallardo's last start, he went seven innings allowing two runs on five hits to the Padres. The Brewers are 13-3 since September 11, 2007 when Yovani Gallardo starts as a road favorite after going at least 6 innings and giving up 6 or fewer hits for a net profit of $887. Liriano's last start he fanned six and allowed just four hits but four runs as well in a loss to the Cubs. The Twins are 2-9 since April 13, 2011 when Francisco Liriano starts after more strike outs than hits allowed for a net profit of $852 when playing against. SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: Milwaukee 5, MINNESOTA 2
There could be a great pitching duel in store in the opening game of a weekend interleague series when the underrated Chris Sale and the Chicago White Sox (34-28) take on reining Cy Young Award winner Clayton Kershaw and the Los Angeles Dodgers (40-24). Clayton is obviously the bigger name of these two starters, but a case can be made that Sale is having the better season so far. The hurlers look to settle things on Friday night in Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA at 10:10 ET.
The Dodgers currently have the best record in all of baseball at 40-24 after taking two out of three games from the rival Los Angeles Angels earlier this week. Kershaw has obviously been a huge part of that success, although he does deserve to have better than a 5-3 record given the way that he has pitched. He is having no letdown after his Cy Young season as he has a 2.65 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP with 81 strikeouts against just 21 walks in 88.1 innings. The eight home runs that Kershaw has allowed in 13 starts are already more than half of the 15 home runs he allowed in 33 starts last year, but he is able to carry that total given his high strikeout count. The White Sox are probably dreading facing a pitcher of Kershaw's caliber or the first time ever, especially since they are batting a dismal .227 as a team vs. left-handers that they have seen, compared to a solid .264 vs. right-handers. Kershaw is coming off of another Quality Start vs. Seattle where he allowed three runs on only four hits in seven innings with an impressive 12 strikeouts against two walks.
While Kershaw already has a Cy Young Award and is showing no slippage, Sale has the look of a pitcher that could take home some hardware himself at some point in the future. Sale excelled in the long relief role last season, so much so that the White Sox put him in the starting rotation this season and with amazing success. Sale is 8-2 with an outstanding 2.05 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, and he has 76 strikeouts in 74.2 innings compared to only 18 walks. Furthermore, he has allowed only four home runs in 11 starts. To say that Sale is on a major roll would be an understatement, as he has now allowed a grand total of four runs in his last five starts while surrendering only 19 hits plus seven walks in 36.2 innings with 43 strikeouts! He tossed eight shutout innings in his last start vs. Houston while allowing four hits and striking out seven, and he would have had his second consecutive Complete Game if he wasn't pulled with a 10-0 lead. The young southpaw is facing a Dodgers' lineup that has missed the punch that the disabled Matt Kemp usually provides while hitting just .212 vs. left-handed pitching over the last 10 games.
These teams met last year also with the White Sox talking two out of three games back home in Chicago. In fact, Chicago is a nice 38-15 in its last 53 interleague games overall pending the result of Thursdays contest vs. the Cardinals in St. Louis. Now the Dodgers have been a pleasant surprise this year after struggling under league ownership last season, but Los Angeles is still a poor 19-44 in its last 63 interleague games vs. teams with winning records.
Game: San Diego at Oakland (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oakland -120 (moneyline)
You know you're not a good road team when you sweep your last opponent, but stand at 9-21 on the road for the season. The struggle is a spillover from a year ago, and the Padres are now 13-34 in their last 47 on the road, so the low number here certainly has some merit on the A's. That is especially true as the Padres wheel out Anthony Bass, who has been a colossal struggle, yielding 19 earned runs in his last 21 innings of work, so the A's should be able to generate a big inning or two. The Padres have really struggled vs. left-hand pitching which has left them at a woeful 14-40 in their last 54 when facing one. The A's have been super as an interleague favorite where they are now a whopping 93-45 in their last 138. Play on Oakland.
2** Miami +140 over Tampa(7pm) - Big Z got hammered last time out vs TB. Look for a bounce back outing vs the Rays here. The beating is fresh in his mind as it is only 6 days old. Beatings like that are remembered for future use. Moore has been inconsistent. This game looks like a toss up to me.
1* Detroit -1.5 runs +140 over Colorado(7pm) - I am playing this with the mind set of Colorado is in quite a funk right now. You never want to bet against a streak. They are either going to continue their hideous pitching or tonight they break out and get a win. That is why I didn't go with the ML bet at -150. Crosby can throw the ball. Leyland said he was nervous and over threw last start vs the yankees. We don't have to worry about that tonight. I think we see the real Crosby tonight.
2** San Francisco -105 over Seattle(10pm) - I like Vogelsong here to pitch effectively as he has al year. He is on a 5 game win streak and SF is 7-0 in his last 7 starts. Seattle has scored only 12 runs in their last 6 games all losses. Vargas has allowed at least 3 ER in each of his L6 starts
Indian Cowboy IC COMP: Seattle Mariners over San Francisco Giants @10:10pm ET
3-Unit Play. #970. Take Minnesota Twins +105 over Milwaukee Brewers (Friday @ 8:10pm est).
7-Unit Play #608 Tulsa Shock -1.5 over Seattle Storm (Friday @ 8:05 et)
I have made no secret about the fact that I will be watching Tulsa and Chicago closely this year as if you come back to my original video where I do the WNBA Preview (similar to what you will see for Canadian Football which starts in 14 days), you will notice that Tulsa is a much better team this year and far more competitive. Sure, they are still winless but that will change tonight. Tulsa is headed by Indiana's former Assistant coach and they are significantly more talented this year than the previous year. After all, this team took Chicago to overtime on the road, nearly beat Phoenix both times they played them, and lost to the Sparks by 1 point on the road and Washington by 3 points on the road - none of which they would have done last year. Tulsa faced Seattle earlier this year and had a terrible game probably a let down from the close game against the Sparks at Staples the day before in which they fell by a bucket. And, you might think that Seattle is much better than Tulsa but note that Seattle's only win comes against Tulsa which was a home game in Seattle. Tulsa was actually down by 2 points at the half before the wheels fell off in the second half. With Tulsa having revenge today, being at home with a friendly crowd and being able to score with more ease at home, I like the Shock's chances here as they come off a tough loss to the defending champs at home. Tulsa also goes 9 deep with players seeing at least double-digit minutes action and this team will be more fresh later in the game than Seattle which has a shorter rotation. I like Tulsa to hang tough today, get their revenge and their first win of the season as they have played competitive all year and its been coming. The Storm are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall and the Shock are 6-2-1 ATS as a favorite at home (which doesn't happen often but when it does its indicative of a likely Shock win).
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