7-27-12

[Mr. IWS]

We are looking for someone to post service plays in the evenings from 5pm and on from there. If you can spare some time, the group would really appreciate it.



Note:


ALL PLAYS POSTED ARE UNCONFIRMED UNLESS YOU BUY THEM YOURSELF. THERE IS BAD INFO PASSED AROUND FROM TIME TO TIME, SO PLAY AT YOUR OWN RISK

[Mr. IWS]

Vic Monte

6000* Phillies

[Mr. IWS]

MLBPredictions / Kevin

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies - REDS TO WIN (-108)
Listed Pithers: Arroyo vs Pomeranz
(Note: I'm risking 2.16 units to win 2.00 units)

The Reds enter tonight's game off of a sweep in Houston, and have now won 7 straight games. They are 1st int he NL Central with their 58-40 record (27-22 on the road). The Rockies are a different story, as they have dropped 6 of their last 8 games and continue to slide. They are 5th in the NL West with a 37-60 record, and are just 20-29 at home. Tonight Bronson Arroyo will take the mound for Cincinnati, and he is 5-6 on the season with a 3.98 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, and .273 opponents batting average. He is 4-4 on the road with a lower 3.74 ERA. Over his last three starts he has had two quality starts with a rough outing in the middle - the quality starts included a complete game shutout, and his latest going 6 innings allowing just 5 hits and 2 earned runs. Drew Pomeranz will pitch for Colorado as he looks to improve on his 1-5 record, 4.98 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, and .253 opponents batting average. In his last two starts he has been roughed up for 14 hits and 12 earned runs over just 8 innings of work. Take note that the Reds are one of the leagues hottest teams right now going 14-2 in their last 16 games overall, while the Rockies are one of the coldest teams in the league going 7-14 in their last 21 games. The Reds are 22-8 in their last 30 games as a favorite, and 6-0 in their last 6 road games. Take note that Cincy is 7-2 in Arroyo's last 9 with 5 days rest, 9-4 in his last 13 starts as a favorite, and 19-7 in his last 26 road starts vs a team with a losing record. The Rockies are just 7-21 in their last 28 games as a home underdog, 37-81 in their last 118 games as an underdog overall, and 22-46 in their last 68 vs a team with a winning record. The Rockies are also 1-4 in Pomeranz's last 5 starts. The pitching match up favors the Reds, and I don't see the struggling Rockies ending their winning streak in tonight's ball game. Take the Reds.

[Mr. IWS]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

Baseball Friday

100* Play St. Louis (-175) over Chicago Cubs (MLB TOP PLAY)
Starts at 2:20 PM EST

Lance Lynn has won 9 of the last 10 division games and he has won 7 of the last 8 games when playing as a favorite of -150 or higher. Lance Lynn has won 8 consecutive games coming off a win and he is 2-0 over the last three starts with an ERA of 0.47.

50* Play Pittsburgh (-155) over Houston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

50* Play NY Yankees (-170) over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

[Mr. IWS]

Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons 3* Montreal Analysis: Montreal had a chance last week to~ move to 3-1 and stand alone atop the East standings. The road blowout loss has shown that Montreal has been inconsistent on the road, but we will side with them as they return home to take on the rival Toronto Argonauts. Montreal, who are always in contention has dominated the series between these two clubs, going 8-2 in the last ten meetings, and Toronto has been a brutal 3-11 ATS in the last 14 match-ups. This match-up features a battle of two veteran quarterbacks, both happen to be the #1 & #2 in passing yards in Anthony Calvillo and Ricky Ray. Toronto is coming off a tight victory over the bottom feeding winless Winnipeg Blue Bombers, and Montreal was upset by the rebuilt Hamilton Tigercats. We see more motivation on the Montreal sidelines with the East lead and the incentive to bounce back after the blowout loss at Hamilton. Simply put, Montreal needs its big guns, Calvillo (10 TD/3 INT) to step up and produce. Slotbacks Jamel Richardson and S.J. Green need to step up and take over the Toronto secondary that has given up over 30 points per game throughout the season. Take the Alouettes with the points.

[Mr. IWS]

SPORTS WAGERS

Cincinnati/COLORADO over 10.5

The most extreme hitters' park in baseball thanks to its high altitude, Coors Field remains an offensive boon even since the introduction of humidors to keep baseballs from drying out. No park in baseball has been as hitter-friendly in modern times. The Coors Field effect should definitely come into play here against two horrible starters.

Colorado hits a league-leading .289 at home and they’ll face Bronson Arroyo. Arroyo's last start at Coors didn’t last into the second inning after he gave up six runs in the first. In five starts at Coors Field over the past three years, covering just 26 frames, Arroyo has surrendered eight bombs and posted an ERA of 6.84.

Drew Pomeranz is worse. Starting at pitcher-friendly Petco Park in his last start, Pomeranz gave up nine hits and seven runs in three frames. In 43 innings this season, he’s walked 22 batters and has yet to win at home in three starts. Facing a strong offensive club, Pomeranz is on a strict 80-pitch limit. This looks like a 4½-hour ordeal that has hitters licking their chops. We are too.

Washington +120 over MILWAUKEE

Milwaukee has lost seven straight and the bullpen continues to get abused. Between the starters and bullpen, the Brewers have allowed seven runs or more in four straight games. With the pen struggling so miserably, extra pressure is on the starters to not only perform well but to last deep into games.

Michael Fiers has been one of the only bright spots to a disappointing season for the Brewers. He comes in with a 1.96 ERA after nine starts. He has 58 K’s in 60 frames with just 13 walks issued but his pedigree reeks of skepticism. He’s 27 years old and has been in the minors for years. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball splits are not pretty at 31%/25%/44%. He’s also been greatly aided by an 82% strand rate and an unusually low 3% HR/fb rate for a fly-ball pitcher, With luck turning on the Brewers and having to face a hot foe, chances are luck turns against Fiers too.

Meanwhile, the Nationals have reeled off six in a row in which they’ve scored five or more in each game. Without anyone really noticing, Ross Detwiler has been on fire this month (1.89 ERA). He has an elite 59% groundball rate and it sure doesn’t hurt watching and learning from the best starting pitching staff in baseball. Hot vs. cold and brittle, taking back a price, gets the call.

[Mr. IWS]

GoodFella


Double-Dime Bet 2* Reds Over 10



Double-Dime Bet 2* Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Bryan Leonard

Thursday MLB Total Domination

Double-Dime Bet Texas Under 9

Analysis
Chicago White Sox @ Texas

Chris Sale takes on Yu Darvish in the first game of a critical weekend set for both ballclubs. Sale has been a stud this season, going 11-3 with a 2.37 ERA with 108 strikeouts against just 29 walks. Darvish has had a few ups and downs this season, but they've mostly come in his second or third start against a team. When facing a team for the first time, Darvish has a 2.55 ERA in 10 starts. Darvish prides himself on throwing a lot of different pitches and it takes hitters time to get accustomed to what he's throwing, hence the success the first time out against a team.

Darvish is averaging 10.24 strikeouts per nine innings while Sale is at 8.26. Anytime a ball isn't put in play in Texas, that's a big deal. The Rangers have scored just 62 runs in 18 games so far in July and the White Sox are going just over four runs per game on the road. With two pitchers that neither offense is overly familiar with and a couple of guys who have good swing-and-miss stuff, runs could be at a premium.

PLay: Texas Under

[Mr. IWS]

Hoopsgooroo

951 Cards -175 @ 2:20p
967 Tigers Even @ 7:05p
970 Orioles -110 @ 7:05p
972 Yanks -170 @ 7:05p
954 Marlins -135 @ 7:10p
955 Phillies -110 @ 7:35p
973 White Sox +120 @ 8:05p
960 Brewers -130 @ 8:10p
975 Indians Even @ 8:10p
961 Reds -120 @ 8:40p
978 Angels -170 @ 10:05p

[Mr. IWS]

Matt Rivers

400,000♦Road Warrior Game of the Year
Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Craig Davis

40 Dime
Winner# 6 of 8
Texas

[Mr. IWS]

Jeff Benton

20 Dime
Winner #4 of 6
Oakland A's

[Mr. IWS]

Anthony Redd

25 Dime Each


Philliesl Under
Rockies Under
Yankees Over

[Mr. IWS]

Al Demarco

10 Dime
WINNER # 4 IN A ROW

Reds

[Mr. IWS]

Dom Chambers

40 Dime
WINNER #10 of 17

BOOKIE BASHER

Texas